Standard-model prediction of $\epsilon_K$ with manifest CKM unitarity
Joachim Brod, Martin Gorbahn, Emmanuel Stamou

TL;DR
This paper improves the standard-model prediction of the CP violation parameter $_K$ in the neutral kaon system by reducing uncertainties, especially from charm-quark contributions, using CKM unitarity constraints.
Contribution
It introduces a unique form of the $| S=2|$ weak effective Lagrangian that significantly reduces charm-related uncertainties in $_K$ prediction.
Findings
Charm-quark contribution uncertainty reduced to percent level.
Updated $_K$ prediction: 2.16(6)(8)(15) x 10^{-3}.
CKM unitarity enforces a specific effective Lagrangian form.
Abstract
The parameter describes CP violation in the neutral kaon system and is one of the most sensitive probes of new physics. The large uncertainties related to the charm-quark contribution to have so far prevented a reliable standard-model prediction. We show that CKM unitarity enforces a unique form of the weak effective Lagrangian in which the short-distance theory uncertainty of the imaginary part is dramatically reduced. The uncertainty related to the charm-quark contribution is now at the percent level. We present the updated standard-model prediction , where the errors in brackets correspond to QCD short-distance and long-distance, and parametric uncertainties, respectively.
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