Global Stellar Budget for LIGO Black Holes
Karan Jani, Abraham Loeb

TL;DR
This paper establishes a fundamental constraint linking the stellar material available in the universe to the formation and merger rates of black holes observed by LIGO, highlighting limitations on high-redshift detections and the stellar origin of massive black holes.
Contribution
It introduces a novel separation-budget constraint that connects stellar resources to black hole merger rates, offering a new framework for testing binary black hole formation scenarios.
Findings
Only about 14% of the stellar budget contributes to observed 30 solar mass black hole mergers.
High-redshift stellar-mass black hole mergers are unlikely to be detected by current and future gravitational-wave detectors.
Less than 0.8% of massive stars produce black holes in the pair-instability mass gap.
Abstract
The binary black hole mergers observed by LIGO-Virgo gravitational-wave detectors pose two major challenges: (i) how to produce these massive black holes from stellar processes; and (ii) how to bring them close enough to merge within the age of the universe? We derive a fundamental constraint relating the binary separation and the available stellar budget in the universe to produce the observed black hole mergers. We find that of the entire budget contributes to the observed merger rate of black holes, if the separation is around the diameter of their progenitor stars. Furthermore, the upgraded LIGO detector and third-generation gravitational-wave detectors are not expected to find stellar-mass black hole mergers at high redshifts. From LIGO's strong constraints on the mergers of black holes in the pair-instability mass-gap…
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