On the hierarchical triple nature of the former red nova precursor candidate KIC 9832227
Geza Kovacs, Joel D. Hartman, Gaspar A. Bakos

TL;DR
This study analyzes the period variations of KIC 9832227, supporting a hierarchical triple system model with a W UMa binary and a distant low-mass companion, and compares its behavior to other nova precursors.
Contribution
It provides the first detailed timing analysis supporting the hierarchical triple nature of KIC 9832227 using Kepler and ground-based data.
Findings
Supports a model with a W UMa binary and a 13.5-year orbiting low-mass companion.
Finds a linear period decrease in the binary consistent with similar systems.
Derives a minimum mass for the outer companion consistent with spectroscopic non-detection.
Abstract
We revisit the issue of period variation of the recently claimed red nova precursor candidate KIC 9832227. By using the data gathered during the main mission of the Kepler satellite, those collected by ground-based wide-field surveys and other monitoring programs (such as ASAS-SN), we find that the currently available timing data strongly support a model consisting of the known W UMa binary and a distant low-mass companion with an orbital period of ~13.5 years. The period of the W UMa component exhibits a linear period decrease with a pace of (1.10+/-0.05)x10^{-6} days per year, within the range of many other similar systems. This rate of decrease is several orders of magnitude lower than that of V1309 Sco, the first (and so far the only) well-established binary precursor of a nova observed a few years before the outburst. The high-fidelity fit of the timing data and the conformity of…
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