Revisiting the balance heuristic for estimating normalising constants
Felipe J Medina-Aguayo, Richard G Everitt

TL;DR
This paper explores improvements to the balance heuristic importance sampling estimator, introducing an extended-space representation to reduce variance and handle scenarios with limited proposal distributions or joint proposal-label functions.
Contribution
It proposes a novel extended-space framework for the balance heuristic, enabling variance reduction and addressing intractable proposal density scenarios.
Findings
Extended-space representation simplifies variance reduction schemes
Annealing methods improve estimator stability
Correlated unbiased estimators enhance robustness in complex scenarios
Abstract
Multiple importance sampling estimators are widely used for computing intractable constants due to its reliability and robustness. The celebrated balance heuristic estimator belongs to this class of methods and has proved very successful in computer graphics. The basic ingredients for computing the estimator are: a set of proposal distributions, indexed by some discrete label, and a predetermined number of draws from each of these proposals. However, if the number of available proposals is much larger than the number of permitted importance points, one needs to select, possibly at random, which of these distributions will be used. The focus of this work lies within the previous context, exploring some improvements and variations of the balance heuristic via a novel extended-space representation of the estimator, leading to straightforward annealing schemes for variance reduction…
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Taxonomy
TopicsProbabilistic and Robust Engineering Design · Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods and Inference
