A free boundary problem for spreading under shifting climate
Yuanyang Hu, Xinan Hao, Xianfa Song, Yihong Du

TL;DR
This paper studies a free boundary model for invasive species spreading under shifting climate conditions, revealing a critical speed that determines whether the species spreads or vanishes, with detailed long-term behavior classification.
Contribution
It introduces a refined free boundary model for species spread under climate shift and classifies the long-term dynamics based on the shifting speed.
Findings
Existence of a critical shifting speed c_0 for spreading or vanishing.
Spreading profile determined by a semi-wave with forced speed c when c < c_0.
Spreading profile determined by a semi-wave with speed c_0 when c β₯ c_0.
Abstract
In this paper we consider a free boundary problem which models the spreading of an invasive species whose spreading is enhanced by the changing climate. We assume that the climate is shifting with speed c and obtain a complete classification of the long-time dynamical behaviour of the species. The model is similar to that in [9] with a slight refinement in the free boundary condition. While [9], like many works in the literature, investigates the case that unfavourable environment is shifting into the favourable habitat of the concerned species, here we examine the situation that the unfavourable habitat of an invasive species is replaced by a favourable environment with a shifting speed c. We show that a spreading-vanishing dichotomy holds, and there exists a critical speed such that when spreading happens in the case , the spreading profile is determined by a semi-waveβ¦
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Taxonomy
TopicsMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models Β· Evolution and Genetic Dynamics Β· Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation
A free boundary problem for spreading
under shifting climateΒ§
Yuanyang Hu1, Xinan Hao2, Xianfa Song3 and Yihong Du4
Abstract.
In this paper we consider a free boundary problem which models the spreading of an invasive species whose spreading is enhanced by the changing climate. We assume that the climate is shifting with speed and obtain a complete classification of the long-time dynamical behaviour of the species. The model is similar to that in [10] with a slight refinement in the free boundary condition. While [10], like many works in the literature, investigates the case that unfavourable environment is shifting into the favourable habitat of the concerned species, here we examine the situation that the unfavourable habitat of an invasive species is replaced by a favourable environment with a shifting speed . We show that a spreading-vanishing dichotomy holds, and there exists a critical speed such that when spreading happens in the case , the spreading profile is determined by a semi-wave with forced speed , but when , the spreading profile is determined by the usual semi-wave with speed .
Key words and phrases:
Diffusive logistic equation, free boundary problem, spreading and vanishing, shifting climate.
Β§ X. Hao was supported by NSFC (11501318, 11871302), the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2017M612230) and the International Cooperation Program of Key Professors by Qufu Normal University, and Y. Du was supported by the Australian Research Council.
1 School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui 230026, P.R. China.
2 School of Mathematical Sciences, Qufu Normal University, Qufu 273165, Shandong, P.R. China.
3 Department of Mathematics, School of Mathematics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, P.R. China.
4 School of Science and Technology, University of New England, Armidale, NSW 2351, Australia.
Emails: [email protected] (Y. Hu), [email protected] (X. Hao), [email protected] (X. Song), [email protected] (Y. Du).
1. Introduction
It is widely accepted that climate change has profound impacts on the survival and spreading of ecological species. In recent years, increasing efforts have been devoted to the development and analysis of mathematical models addressing such impacts; see, for example, [2, 3, 10, 11, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20] and the references therein.
Most of these models focus on the situation that climate change causes the living environment of the concerned species changing from favourable to unfavourable, and hence endangers the survival of the species. In the case that unfavourable environment shifts into the favourable habitat of the concerned species with speed , a basic feature of the existing models is that there exists a critical speed determined by the favourable environment and the concerned species, such that if , then the species will vanish eventually, and if , then the species may survive over a moving band of the environment.
However, some species may benefit from the climate change ([12]), that is, their living environment is improved by the climate change. Understanding this kind of effect of climate change is particularly relevant in invasion ecology, as some invasive species may take advantage of the climate change to enhance their invasion. In this paper we consider such a situation based on the model of [10], which has the following form:
[TABLE]
Here stands for the population density of the concerned species, whose range is the changing interval ; are positive constants; and the initial function satisfies
[TABLE]
So in this model, the range of the species is the varying interval , and the species can invade the environment from the right end of the range (), with speed proportional to the population gradient there, while at the fixed boundary , a no-flux boundary condition is assumed. A deduction of the free boundary condition from ecological considerations can be found in [4].
The function represents the assumption that the environment is changing at a constant speed in the increasing direction of . We assume that is a Liptschitz continuous function on satisfying
[TABLE]
and is strictly monotone over . Here , and are constants, with . In [10], it is assumed (essentially) that , representing the situation that unfavourable environment is shifting into the favourable habitat of the species with speed . In this paper, we assume instead that
[TABLE]
and therefore, the environment is changing from unfavourable to favourable at speed . Moreover, taking into account that the expanding rate of the population range at its spreading front will most likely vary when the environment changes, we modify (1.1) slightly by changing the free boundary condition to
[TABLE]
where the function is assumed to be continuous and increasing over , with
[TABLE]
Thus our revised model in this paper has the following form:
[TABLE]
The case that and in (1.4) are replaced by positive constants and respectively, which depicts the spreading of the species in a favourable homogeneous environment, was first studied in [5]. When spreading happens, it follows from [4, 5, 8] that for , there exists a unique such that
[TABLE]
for some constant , and
[TABLE]
where is the unique positive solution of
[TABLE]
We note that is usually called a semi-wave with speed , and it has the following properties:
[TABLE]
In order to state our main theorems, apart from the above defined and , we also need the following result on an auxiliary elliptic problem, which supplies a semi-wave to (1.4) with speed .
Proposition 1.1**.**
Suppose that . Then we have the following conclusions:
*Β For any , the problem*
[TABLE]
has a unique positive solution . Moreover, it satisfies and for .
*Β The mapping is strictly increasing for .*
*Β There exists a unique such that . Moreover, if and only if , and in such a case, we have .*
We are now ready to describe the main results of this paper, which completely determine the long-time dynamical behaviour of the unique solution of (1.4).
Theorem 1.2**.**
Assume that . Then one of the following must occur:
* Vanishing: and*
[TABLE]
* Spreading with forced speed: , and*
[TABLE]
where and are given in Proposition 1.1.
Theorem 1.3**.**
Suppose that . Then one of the following must happen:
* Vanishing: and*
[TABLE]
* Spreading: There exists a constant such that*
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Theorem 1.4**.**
Assume that . Then either
* Vanishing: and*
[TABLE]
or
* Spreading: There exists such that*
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Theorem 1.5**.**
Suppose . If , then vanishing cannot happen and hence spreading always happens. If and for some satisfying (1.2), then there exists such that vanishing happens if and only if .
Remark 1.6**.**
Whether can actually happen is an open problem. Some partial answers to this question can be found in [13], where certain sufficient conditions for are given. For nonlinearities other than the logistic type used in (1.4), an example for can be found in [6].
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In section 2, we collect some basic results on (1.4), which can be proved by similar arguments to those in the existing literature, and we also give the proof of Proposition 1.1, which gives the semi-wave with forced speed , and plays a key role in the long-time behaviour of (1.4) for the case . Sections 3, 4, 5 and 6 are devoted to the proofs of Theorems 1.2, 1.3, 1.4 and 1.5, respectively.
2. Some basic results
2.1. Existence and uniqueness
The following local existence and uniqueness result can be proved as in [5] (see [21] for some corrections).
Theorem 2.1**.**
For any given satisfying (1.2) and any , there is a such that problem (1.4) admits a unique solution
[TABLE]
furthermore,
[TABLE]
where and only depend on and .
To prove that the local solution acquired in Theorem 2.1 can be extended to all , we need the following estimates.
Lemma 2.2**.**
Let be a solution to problem (1.4) defined for for some . Then there exist constants and independent of such that
[TABLE]
The proof of Lemma 2.2 is similar to the corresponding result in [5]. It follows from that is well defined.
Combining Theorem 2.1 with Lemma 2.2, as in [5], we obtain the following global existence result.
Theorem 2.3**.**
The solution of problem (1.4) is defined for all .
2.2. Comparison principle
We give a comparison principle for the free boundary problem, which can be proved similarly as Lemma 3.5 in [5].
Theorem 2.4**.**
Suppose that with , and
[TABLE]
If
[TABLE]
then the solution of the problem (1.4) satisfies
[TABLE]
Remark 2.5**.**
* is called a supersolution (or an upper solution) to problem (1.4). A subsolution (or a lower solution) can be defined analogously by reserving all the inequalities, and a similar comparison principle holds. Theorem 2.4 has a few obvious variations with similar proofs, which may also be used in the paper.*
2.3. The case of vanishing
Theorem 2.6**.**
Suppose that . If , then
[TABLE]
Proof.
Due to , there exists such that for . Therefore, for ,
[TABLE]
By the argument in Lemma 3.1 of [5], we deduce that
[TABLE]
β
2.4. Proof of Proposition 1.1
Define
[TABLE]
Due to and for , it is easily checked that is a lower solution of problem (1.5). Clearly, is an upper solution. By the standard upper and lower solutions argument over an unbounded domain, problem (1.5) admits at least one solution satisfying
[TABLE]
For any nontrivial nonnegative solution of problem (1.5), it follows from the strong maximum principle and Serrinβs sweeping argument that for .
We claim that any positive solution of (1.5) satisfies . Indeed,
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
It follows that is decreasing in . Since is bounded, there exists a sequence such that and . Thus,
[TABLE]
Hence is decreasing in and exists. Applying (1.5), we easily obtain .
We now prove the uniqueness. Assume that are two positive solutions of problem (1.5). For any , let then it is evident that
[TABLE]
Since and , there exists large such that
[TABLE]
It follows from Lemma 2.1 of [7] that
[TABLE]
Therefore
[TABLE]
Letting , we deduce that . This implies that is the unique positive solution of problem (1.5).
We next prove conclusion (ii). It suffices to prove that
[TABLE]
Define ; then satisfies
[TABLE]
Due to , by Lemma 2.1 of [7], we obtain
[TABLE]
Then using strong maximum principle and the Hopf lemma, we conclude that .
Next, we show that . Define , then
[TABLE]
Let be an increasing sequence that converges to and . Applying the comparison principle (see [7]), we obtain
[TABLE]
Owing to is well-defined on . By theory, Sobolev embeddings, there exists a subsequence of denoted still by such that for some , and that satisfies
[TABLE]
We claim that as . By standard regularity consideration, and
[TABLE]
Then
[TABLE]
From this, is nondecreasing in . As is bounded, we can find a sequence such that
[TABLE]
Therefore
[TABLE]
Hence, we obtain i.e. is a nondecreasing nonnegative function in In view of , we see that , and hence
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Thanks to and for , we have
[TABLE]
Since
[TABLE]
and , it follows from the comparison principle and the Hopf boundary lemma that either , which is possible only if , or and
[TABLE]
thereby
[TABLE]
By (2.1) and (2.2), the continuous dependence of on and the monotonicity of in , there exists a unique such that
[TABLE]
This completes the proof.
Remark 2.7**.**
If , then due to for , it is easily seen that in this case the unique positive solution of (1.5) is given by . In particular, when , then for .
3. Proof of Theorem 1.2
This section is devoted to the proof of Theorem 1.2. Clearly the vanishing case (i) follows directly from Theorem 2.6. So we only need to consider the spreading case (ii). Accordingly, unless otherwise specified, we always assume and in the rest of this section. Since the proof is quite long, for clarity, we carry it out in two subsections.
3.1. Behaviour of
In this subsection, we completely determine the long-time behaviour of .
Lemma 3.1**.**
For any given and , the problem
[TABLE]
has a unique positive solution , where . Moreover, when is large enough,
[TABLE]
Proof.
It is easy to check that is a supersolution of problem (3.1), and is a subsolution of problem (3.1). It now follows from the supersolution and subsolution argument, and the comparison principle for logistic equations (see [7]) that problem (3.1) admits a unique positive solution satisfying for .
Let be an arbitrary increasing sequence satisfying and . By standard estimates, the Sobolev embedding theorem, and a diagonal process, we can find a subsequence of , for simplicity, still represented by itself, such that
[TABLE]
where . It is clear that satisfies
[TABLE]
By Proposition 1.1, we see that
[TABLE]
Therefore,
[TABLE]
Since , we have
[TABLE]
Combining this with (3.2), we conclude that for all sufficiently large ,
[TABLE]
The proof of this lemma is complete. β
Lemma 3.2**.**
.
Proof.
According to Lemma 3.1, for , we can choose a large constant such that
[TABLE]
Since achieves its maximum at , we have . Choose , and define
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Then it is easy to check that for and , in the weak sense,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
On account of the comparison principle, we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
From (3.3), we obtain . β
Lemma 3.3**.**
.
Proof.
Since for large , the problem
[TABLE]
admits a unique positive solution (see the proof of Proposition 2.1 in [4]). For any given , let
[TABLE]
Then it is easily seen that is a subsolution and is a supersolution of the problem
[TABLE]
Thus, on account of supersolution and subsolution argument, and the comparison principle for logistic equations (see [7]), problem (3.4) has a unique positive solution .
Now, we choose satisfying . Let be an arbitrary sequence satisfying . Similar to the discussion in the proof of Lemma 3.1, we can find a subsequence of , represented still by for the sake of convenience, such that
[TABLE]
It follows that
[TABLE]
Due to , we have
[TABLE]
for all sufficiently large . By the strong maximum principle, there exists such that
[TABLE]
Set
[TABLE]
due to . Since for and for such and . A slight change (substituting for ) in the proof of Lemma 3.2 in [5] shows that
[TABLE]
We can select such that for . Thanks to there exists such that for all . We now define
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
From (3.5), there exists such that
[TABLE]
Explicit computations show that
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
It follows from the comparison principle that
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
This proves the lemma.β
Combining Lemmas 3.2 and 3.3, we obtain the following result.
Lemma 3.4**.**
There exists constant such that
[TABLE]
Lemma 3.5**.**
.
Proof.
Suppose the lemma is false; then . By Lemma 3.4,
[TABLE]
Let be a positive sequence satisfying . We define
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Then
[TABLE]
for ,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Let us observe that, for and with any fixed ,
[TABLE]
Therefore, for any given , and , we can apply the parabolic estimate to (3.7) and (3.8) over , to conclude that there exists a positive integer such that
[TABLE]
for some constant which depends on and but does not depend on and . Hence, by Sobolev imbeddings, we conclude that there exists such that
[TABLE]
for some constant which depends on and but does not depend on and . Combining (3.9) with (3.10), we obtain
[TABLE]
where is a constant independent of and . Thus, there exists a subsequence of , denoted still by for convenience, such that
[TABLE]
for some . It follows that, subject to passing to a further subsequence,
[TABLE]
By the parabolic Schauder estimate, we know satisfies the following equations in the classical sense:
[TABLE]
Let and . Then it is easy to check that satisfies
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Set and , then satisfies
[TABLE]
From (3.6) and (3.11), we obtain
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
In view of , we have
[TABLE]
which implies that , and hence
[TABLE]
Due to , by Lemma 3.1, we can find a large constant such that
[TABLE]
where is the unique positive solution of
[TABLE]
Consider the solution of
[TABLE]
Since is a super solution of the corresponding elliptic problem, it follows from a well-known result on parabolic equations that is decreasing in and
[TABLE]
Since , we have , and so we can use the comparison principle to conclude that
[TABLE]
Choosing , we obtain for . Combining this with (3.13), we have
[TABLE]
It follows from the strong maximum principle and the Hopf boundary lemma that
[TABLE]
which contradicts (3.12). The proof is now complete.β
Lemma 3.6**.**
.
Proof.
Assume by contradiction that . By Lemma 3.4, for . Set
[TABLE]
Let be a positive sequence satisfying . We define
[TABLE]
By the same argument as in the proof of Lemma 3.5, we obtain, by passing to a subsequence,
[TABLE]
for some ; moreover, and satisfy
[TABLE]
Due to and , we have , and hence
[TABLE]
Due to , by Proposition 1.1 and Remark 2.7 we have , where . It follows that
[TABLE]
Similar to the proof of Lemma 3.1, we find that for all large constant ,
[TABLE]
where is the unique positive solution of
[TABLE]
On the other hand, from the proof of Lemma 3.3, we have
[TABLE]
for
[TABLE]
It follows that
[TABLE]
for
[TABLE]
This implies that
[TABLE]
By choosing and then large enough, we can guarantee that
[TABLE]
We then choose nonnegative and satisfy for , for , and consider the solution of
[TABLE]
It is well known that uniformly for as . By (3.15) and the choice of , and the fact that , we can apply the comparison principle to obtain
[TABLE]
Choosing , we have for . Letting , we obtain
[TABLE]
Hence we can use the strong maximum principle and the Hopf boundary lemma to conclude that
[TABLE]
which contradicts (3.14). The proof is complete.β
From Lemmas 3.5 and 3.6 we immediately obtain the following result.
Theorem 3.7**.**
.
3.2. Behaviour of
In this subsection, we completely determine the long-time behaviour of .
Lemma 3.8**.**
Assume that is the unique solution of problem (1.4) and . If there exists a constant such that for , then
[TABLE]
Proof.
Assume the assertion of the lemma is false. Then we could find and a sequence of positive numbers such that
[TABLE]
Thus there exist two sequences of numbers and such that
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
By (3.5), for any small, there is a large such that
[TABLE]
We may also assume that
[TABLE]
Since , the problem
[TABLE]
admits a unique solution , and it satisfies and (see the proof of Proposition 2.1 in [4]). Define
[TABLE]
Then for , we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
We can now use the comparison principle over to deduce
[TABLE]
Since and for all large , we get
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
On the other hand, applying the comparison principle, we conclude that
[TABLE]
where is the unique solution of
[TABLE]
By virtue of (3.18) and (3.16), we obtain
[TABLE]
which contradicts (3.17) if is small enough. The proof is complete.β
Theorem 3.9**.**
.
Proof.
Define
[TABLE]
For any sequence satisfying , denote
[TABLE]
Then due to Theorem 3.7 we can duplicate the demonstration in the proof of Theorem 3.13 in [10] to conclude that
[TABLE]
for some It follows that
[TABLE]
Thanks to , by Lemma 3.8, we have
[TABLE]
From (3.20) and (3.21), we deduce that
[TABLE]
Letting , then the desired conclusion follows.β
Clearly the conclusion in case (ii) of Theorem 1.2 follows directly from Theorems 3.7 and 3.9.
4. Proof of Theorem 1.3
If , it follows from Theorem 2.6 that
[TABLE]
Next we consider the case . Let be the unique solution of problem (1.4) with replaced by and replaced by . Since and , by the comparison principle, we conclude that
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Since , necessarily , and we conclude from Theorem 1.2 of [8] that
[TABLE]
for some , and hence
[TABLE]
We show below that
[TABLE]
Firstly, we choose large so that . Fix satisfying for , , where . Then the auxiliary free boundary problem
[TABLE]
has a unique solution . By the comparison principle, for ,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Hence for and , we have and in view of the definitions of and . It follows from this fact and that (see Theorem 3.4 in [5]) and for some (see Theorem 1.2 in [8]). Thus
[TABLE]
as we wanted.
We now continue our discussion according to the following three possibilities:
[TABLE]
In case (I), there exists such that
[TABLE]
By the definitions of and , we see that for ,
[TABLE]
Therefore, from [8], we see that
[TABLE]
In case (II), for any , let denote the unique positive solution of
[TABLE]
By Proposition 1.1 (ii),
[TABLE]
We may now take and use the same argument as in the proof of Lemma 3.5 to deduce a contradiction. Therefore case (II) cannot occur.
In case (III), we have . Choose such that for all . Let be an arbitrary positive sequence satisfying . Define
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
By the same argument as in the proof of Theorem 3.7, we deduce that, by passing to a subsequence, as ,
[TABLE]
where and satisfies
[TABLE]
Let
[TABLE]
We observe that , and hence satisfies
[TABLE]
By the results in section 4.2 of [9], we see that there exists such that
[TABLE]
If , then we may repeat the argument in section 3.3 of [8] to conclude that
[TABLE]
a contradiction to . Hence we always have . Since is an arbitrary sequence converging to , this implies that
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
which infers that
[TABLE]
For any given , let
[TABLE]
then we have
[TABLE]
Combining the fact and Lemma 3.8, we obtain
[TABLE]
Obviously,
[TABLE]
Letting in (4.3), we deduce from (4.2) that
[TABLE]
This completes the proof.
5. Proof of Theorem 1.4
Let denote the unique solution of problem (1.4) with replaced by and replaced by . By Theorems 3.3 and 4.2 in [5], we see that there exists , such that and the following alternative holds:
Either
(i) and
[TABLE]
or
(ii) uniformly for in any bounded subset of and
[TABLE]
Since and , by the comparison principle, we conclude that
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
If , by Theorem 2.6, we obtain .
If , we have . Thanks to , there exists such that
[TABLE]
Hence, for , we obtain
[TABLE]
Using Theorem 1.2 in [8], we obtain
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
The proof is complete.
6. Proof of Theorem 1.5
Define . Fix , and for , let denote the unique positive solution of problem (1.4) with initial value . Clearly . We complete the proof by several lemmas.
Lemma 6.1**.**
* If vanishing happens for , then vanishing occurs when .*
* If spreading happens for , then spreading also happens when .*
Proof.
The lemma follows from the comparison principle immediately.β
Define
[TABLE]
Clearly .
Lemma 6.2**.**
For any , if there exists such that , then .
Proof.
To obtain a contradiction, suppose that . It follows that there exists such that
[TABLE]
Therefore, for ,
[TABLE]
Due to
[TABLE]
By the arguments in the proof of Lemma 3.1 in [5], we derive a contradiction. β
Lemma 6.3**.**
If , then .
Proof.
By Lemma 6.2, we deduce that for all , and hence .β
Lemma 6.4**.**
If , then .
Proof.
For any , let denote the unique solution of problem (1.4) with replaced by and replaced by , and initial value . By Lemma 3.8 in [5], vanishing happens for for all small , and so for such . It follows from the comparison principle that for all small . Thus . This completes the proof.β
Lemma 6.5**.**
* Vanishing happens for when .*
* Spreading happens for when .*
Proof.
If , then there is nothing left to prove. We suppose next .
If , then by Lemma 6.3, and the desired conclusion follows trivially.
Hereinafter, we assume that . To complete the proof, it suffices to show that vanishing happens when . Suppose on the contrary that spreading happens when . Then there exists such that . Since the solution of problem (1.4) depends continuously on its initial value, we deduce that
[TABLE]
for all small . By Lemma 6.2, it follows that
[TABLE]
which implies that spreading happens for . But this is a contradiction to the definition of . The proof is complete.β
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