A Note on Costs Minimization with Stochastic Target Constraints
Yan Dolinsky, Benjamin Gottesman, Ori Gurel-Gurevich

TL;DR
This paper investigates minimizing expected costs under stochastic terminal constraints, deriving a differential equation for power costs and analyzing the triviality of exponential costs in optimal control.
Contribution
It provides a novel characterization of the value function via a semi-linear ODE for power costs and explores the case of exponential costs.
Findings
Value function is the minimal positive solution of a semi-linear ODE for power costs.
Exponential costs lead to a trivial optimal control.
Established the form of the optimal control under stochastic terminal constraints.
Abstract
We study the minimization of the expected costs under stochastic constraint at the terminal time. The first and the main result says that for a power type of costs, the value function is the minimal positive solution of a second order semi--linear ordinary differential equation (ODE). Moreover, we establish the optimal control. In the second example we show that the case of exponential costs leads to a trivial optimal control.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Economic theories and models · Risk and Portfolio Optimization
A Note on Costs Minimization with Stochastic Target Constraints
Yan Dolinsky, Benjamin Gottesman and Ori Gurel-Gurevich
Hebrew University
Department of Statistics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem
e.mail: [email protected]
Department of Statistics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem
e.mail: [email protected]
Department of Mathematics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem
e.mail: [email protected]
Abstract.
We study the minimization of the expected costs under stochastic constraint at the terminal time. The first and the main result says that for a power type of costs, the value function is the minimal positive solution of a second order semi–linear ordinary differential equation (ODE). Moreover, we establish the optimal control. In the second example we show that the case of exponential costs leads to a trivial optimal control.
Key words and phrases:
Optimal stochastic control, backward stochastic differential equations
2010 Mathematics Subject Classification:
49J15, 60H30, 93E20
1. Introduction and Main Results
This note was inspired by a series of papers which dealt with stochastic tracking problems; see, e.g., [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10] and the references therein.
Consider a complete probability space together with a standard one–dimensional Brownian motion and the Brownian filtration completed by the null sets.
For any and a progressively measurable processes which satisfies the integrability condition a.s. we denote
[TABLE]
For any let be the set of all progressively measurable processes (with the above integrability condition) which satisfy a.s. As usual, we set if an event occurs and if not.
For a given introduce the stochastic control problem
[TABLE]
For a given we say that is optimal if Let be the set of all such that a.s. and a.s.
Lemma 1.1**.**
For any
[TABLE]
Proof.
Let . Define
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Observe that,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
This completes the proof. ∎
The following Proposition will be crucial for deriving the main results.
Proposition 1.2**.**
For any
[TABLE]
Proof.
The statement is obvious for . Thus assume that .
We use the scaling property of Brownian motion. Define the Brownian motion , . Let be the filtration generated by completed with the null sets. Clearly, , . Let be the set of all stochastic processes which are non negative, progressively measurable with respect to and satisfy
[TABLE]
We notice that there is a bijection which is given by
[TABLE]
Thus, from Lemma 1.1
[TABLE]
∎
Next, let be the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution. For any and consider the martingale given by
[TABLE]
Define the function by
[TABLE]
where is the inverse function. From Proposition 1.2 we have
[TABLE]
Now, we are ready to state the main results which will be proved in Section 2.
Theorem 1.3**.**
(I) Let be given by The function is a non increasing solution of the ODE
[TABLE]
with the boundary conditions
[TABLE]
Moreover, the following minimality holds. If is another solution to (1.4) ( for some ) and satisfies
[TABLE]
*then for all .
(II) Let . The optimal control is given by*
[TABLE]
Namely, for the optimal control we have the ODE:
[TABLE]
(III) Let and . Then the pair given by
[TABLE]
is the minimal solution of the backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE)
[TABLE]
with the singular terminal condition . This terminal condition means that a.s. where we use the convention .
Remark 1.4**.**
It is easy to see that the optimal control is unique. Indeed, if by contradiction are optimal controls and . Then, the process satisfies and from the strict convexity of the function we have
[TABLE]
which is a contradiction.
Remark 1.5**.**
A natural question is whether there exists a unique positive, non increasing solution to the ODE (1.4) with the boundary conditions (1.5). Due to the fact that takes the value [math] at the end points the uniqueness seems to be far from obvious and we leave it for future research.
2. Proof of the Main Results
We start with the following regularity result.
Lemma 2.1**.**
The function is concave, non increasing and satisfies .
Proof.
The fact that is non increasing is obvious.
Next, we establish the equality . From the Jensen inequality it follows that for any
[TABLE]
Thus, and we conclude that .
It remains to prove concavity. Fix . Let us show that
[TABLE]
Let . Choose . There exists such that
[TABLE]
Consider the martingale given by (1.2). Observe that . Define the stopping time
[TABLE]
Clearly, a.s. and so from the equality we conclude that
[TABLE]
Next, let . From the Holder inequality
[TABLE]
From (1.3), the fact that is a Brownian motion independent of , and the inequality (notice that ) we get
[TABLE]
Thus,
[TABLE]
By combining (2.1)–(2.4), the fact that and the simple inequality for we obtain
[TABLE]
Since was arbitrary we complete the proof. ∎
The proof of the main results will be based on the theory developed in [8]. We start with preparations. For any introduce the optimal position targeting problem
[TABLE]
where the infimum is taken over all progressively measurable processes , and as before, we use the convention .
Using same arguments as in Lemma 1.1 gives that
[TABLE]
where is the set of all progressively measurable processes such that a.s., a.s. and on the event .
Clearly, there is a bijection given by . Moreover, for any we have
[TABLE]
Thus, from Lemma 1.1 we conclude that
[TABLE]
This brings us to the following corollary.
Corollary 2.2**.**
Let and . There exists a progressively measurable process such that the pair is the minimal supersolution (see Definition 1 in [8]) to the BSDE given by (1.7) with the singular terminal condition .
Proof.
From Theorem 3 in [8] it follows that there exists a minimal supersoution to the above BSDE. Moreover, by combining Theorem 3 in [8] together with the Markov property of Brownian motion, (1.3) and (2.6) we obtain that , . ∎
Remark 2.3**.**
A priori we do not know that is continuously differentiable and so we can not apply the Ito formula and find . In the proof of Theorem 1.3 we will show that satisfies the ODE (1.4) and then we will find .
Now, we are ready to prove Theorem 1.3.
Proof.
Proof of Theorem 1.3.
**First step: Proving that the minimal supersolution is a solution.
**Fix and . Let . Let us show that the supersolution from Corollary 2.2 is actually a solution. To that end, we need to establish the inequality .
We wish to apply Theorem 4 in [9]. There is a technical problem that the indicator function is not continuous and so condition (4) in [9] does not hold. Still, this issue can be simply solved by the following density argument. Define a sequence of functions , by
[TABLE]
Observe that for any , satisfies condition (4) in [9]. Hence, from Theorem 4 in [9] there exists a pair which satisfies the BSDE (1.7) with the terminal constraint . Since , then from the minimality property of we obtain that for any , a.s. for any . Thus,
[TABLE]
as required.
**Second step: Establishing statement (I) in Theorem 1.3.
**From Corollary 2.2 and the previous step it follows that on the event . Clearly, on the event , and so we conclude that This together with the boundary condition (was established in Lemma 2.1) gives (1.5).
Next, we prove (1.4). Extend the function to the closed interval by and . Choose . Let . Consider the martingale . From Lemma 2.1 it follows that is concave and continuous. Thus, , is a continuous and uniformly integrable super–martingale. From Doob’s decomposition
[TABLE]
where is a martingale and is a continuous, non decreasing process with .
Recall the minimal supersolution from Corollary 2.2. From the product rule and (1.7) we get
[TABLE]
Hence,
[TABLE]
We conclude that,
[TABLE]
Next, observe that and define the function by
[TABLE]
Notice that and , .
For any consider the stopping time . Clearly, a.s.
We notice that , and so from the Ito Formula and (2.7) we obtain
[TABLE]
Hence,
[TABLE]
Similarly, to (2.2)
[TABLE]
This together with (2.8) yields that is a linear function on the interval . In particular
[TABLE]
Since was arbitrary we complete the proof of (1.4).
Finally, we prove minimality. Assume that there exists a positive function which satisfies (1.4) and (1.6). Define the pair by
[TABLE]
From the Ito formula ( satisfies (1.4) and so continuously differentiable) it follows that the pair is a supersolution to the BSDE (1.7) with the singular terminal condition . From Corollary 2.2 we conclude that a.s. for any . Thus, for all .
Let us argue strict inequality. Indeed, assume by contradiction that there is for which , then clearly is a minimum point for the function . Hence, . Since is bounded away from zero if is bounded away from the end points , then from standard uniqueness for initial value problems we conclude that on the interval . This is a contradiction and the proof of (I) is completed.
Third step: Completion of the proof.
In this step we complete the proof of statements (II)–(III) in Theorem 1.3. Since is continuously differentiable (satisfies (1.4)) then from the Ito formula, Corollary 2.2 and the first step of the proof we obtain statement (III).
It remains to prove Statement (II). Let and let . From Theorem 3 in [8] and Corollary 2.2 it follows that the optimal control for the optimization problem
[TABLE]
is given by
[TABLE]
From (2.5)–(2.6) we obtain that
[TABLE]
is the optimal control for the optimization problem (1.1), as required. ∎
3. The Exponential Case
Let and consider the optimization problem
[TABLE]
Namely, we consider a stochastic target problem with exponential costs and the same stochastic target as in (1.1).
The following result says that for any the optimal control is targeting towards with a constant speed.
Theorem 3.1**.**
Let . Then
[TABLE]
and the unique optimal control is given by a.s.
Proof.
Choose . The statement is obvious for . Hence, without loss of generality we assume that . The cost function is strictly convex, and so, by using the same arguments as in Remark 1.4 we obtain that the optimal control is unique. Thus, in order to prove the theorem it is sufficient to show that the value function satisfies the inequality
[TABLE]
Let be the set of all adapted, continuous and uniformly bounded processes. Let be the set of all strictly positive and uniformly bounded martingales with .
Applying the standard technique of Lagrange multipliers we obtain
[TABLE]
Observe that for a given and a martingale the minimum of the above expression is obtained by taking , . Hence,
[TABLE]
Clearly for a given and we have . We conclude that
[TABLE]
and (3.1) follows from the following lemma. ∎
Lemma 3.2**.**
For any there exists such that
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Proof.
Choose . First, assume that we found a strictly positive martingale with which satisfy (3.2)–(3.3). Then for any define by , where . Clearly,
[TABLE]
Thus, from the Jensen inequality for the function and the Fubini theorem
[TABLE]
Next, from the Fatou Lemma and the fact that as
[TABLE]
We conclude that in order to prove the statement, it is sufficient to find a strictly positive martingale which satisfy (3.2)–(3.3).
To this end, consider a strictly positive martingale of the form
[TABLE]
where is a continuous deterministic function. There exists a probability measure such that Moreover, from the Girsanov theorem the process , is a Brownian motion under . Thus,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Observe that for the sequence of continuous functions , given by
[TABLE]
we have
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
This together with (3.4)–(3) yields that for sufficiently large the martingale given by , satisfies (3.2)–(3.3).
∎
4. Numerical Results
In this section we focus on the case of quadratic costs (i.e. ) and provide numerical results for the value function and simulations for the optimal control.
From (1.3) we have
[TABLE]
By approximating the Brownian motion with scaled random walks we compute numerically the right hand side of the above equality. The result is . Then, we apply the shooting method and look for the correct value of the derivative . Namely we look for a real number such that the unique ( in the interval ) solution of the initial value problem
[TABLE]
will satisfy the boundary conditions and . We get (numerically) a unique value . The result is illustrated in Figure 1.
Next, for and we simulate a path of the optimal control and the corresponding strategy , . This is done by simulating a Brownian path and applying Theorem 1.3 (see Figures 2-3 below).
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their suggestions and comments which improved the paper. We also would like to thank Peter Bank, Asaf Cohen and Ross Pinsky for valuable discussions. This research was partially supported by the ISF grant no 160/17 and the ISF grant no 1707/16.
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