A new estimator for gravitational lensing using galaxy and intensity mapping surveys
Mona Jalilvand, Elisabetta Majerotto, Camille Bonvin, Fabien Lacasa,, Martin Kunz, Warren Naidoo, Kavilan Moodley

TL;DR
The paper introduces GIMCO, a novel cross-correlation estimator combining galaxy and intensity mapping surveys to enhance gravitational lensing detection, reduce systematics, and improve signal-to-noise ratios for cosmological studies.
Contribution
It presents a new estimator that isolates the lensing signal by combining intensity mapping and galaxy counts, significantly reducing cosmic variance and systematic effects.
Findings
SNR improved by a factor of 4-5 over traditional methods.
Estimator reduces contamination from density-density correlations.
Effective especially at low to intermediate redshifts for dark energy studies.
Abstract
We introduce the Galaxy Intensity Mapping cross-COrrelation estimator (GIMCO), which is a new tomographic estimator for the gravitational lensing potential, based on a combination of intensity mapping (IM) and galaxy number counts. The estimator can be written schematically as IMgalaxy galaxyIM for a pair of distinct redshifts ; this combination allows to greatly reduce the contamination by density-density correlations, thus isolating the lensing signal. As an estimator constructed only from cross-correlations, it is additionally less susceptible to systematic effects. We show that the new estimator strongly suppresses cosmic variance and consequently improves the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for the detection of lensing, especially on linear scales and intermediate redshifts. %This makes it particularly valuable for future studies…
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A new estimator for gravitational lensing using galaxy and intensity mapping surveys
Mona Jalilvand
Elisabetta Majerotto
Camille Bonvin
Fabien Lacasa
Martin Kunz
Université de Genève, Département de Physique Théorique and Centre for Astroparticle Physics, 24 quai Ernest-Ansermet, CH-1211 Genève 4, Switzerland
Warren Naidoo
Kavilan Moodley
Astrophysics & Cosmology Research Unit, School of Mathematics, Statistics & Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Westville Campus, Durban 4000, South Africa
Abstract
We introduce the Galaxy Intensity Mapping cross-COrrelation estimator (GIMCO), which is a new tomographic estimator for the gravitational lensing potential, based on a combination of intensity mapping (IM) and galaxy number counts. The estimator can be written schematically as IMgalaxy galaxyIM for a pair of distinct redshifts ; this combination allows to greatly reduce the contamination by density-density correlations, thus isolating the lensing signal. As an estimator constructed only from cross-correlations, it is additionally less susceptible to systematic effects. We show that the new estimator strongly suppresses cosmic variance and consequently improves the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for the detection of lensing, especially on linear scales and intermediate redshifts. For cosmic variance dominated surveys, the SNR of our estimator is a factor 30 larger than the SNR obtained from the correlation of galaxy number counts only. Shot noise and interferometer noise reduce the SNR. For the specific example of the Dark Energy Survey (DES) cross-correlated with the Hydrogen Intensity mapping and Real time Analysis eXperiment (HIRAX), the SNR is around 4, whereas for Euclid cross-correlated with HIRAX it reaches 52. This corresponds to an improvement of a factor 4-5 compared to the SNR from DES alone. For Euclid cross-correlated with HIRAX the improvement with respect to Euclid alone strongly depends on the redshift. We find that the improvement is particularly important for redshifts below 1.6, where it reaches a factor of 5. This makes our estimator especially valuable to test dark energy and modified gravity, that are expected to leave an impact at low and intermediate redshifts.
pacs:
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Introduction. Gravitational lensing is a powerful probe of the matter distribution in our Universe. It describes the deflection of light rays by metric perturbations along the photon trajectory from their distant sources. Weak gravitational lensing refers to the regime where the deflections are small enough to not induce caustics. The most common approach to observe weak lensing is through the distortion of the observed shape of galaxies, which generates correlations between their ellipticity. This effect, referred to as cosmic shear, has been detected for the first time in the early 2000s Bacon et al. (2000); Wittman et al. (2000); van Waerbeke et al. (2000); Kaiser et al. (2000), and has been subsequently measured in various surveys providing tests of the consistency of the CDM model Troxel et al. (2018); Hildebrandt et al. (2018); Hamana et al. (2019); Jee et al. (2016). But weak lensing also modifies the observed number of distant galaxies, via the effect of lensing magnification (also called magnification bias): weak lensing modifies on one hand the observed size of the solid angle in which we count how many galaxies we detect, consequently diluting the number of galaxies per unit of solid angle. On the other hand, weak lensing modifies the observed luminosity of galaxies, enhancing consequently the number of galaxies that are above the magnitude threshold of a given survey. These two effects combine to distort the number counts of galaxies Scranton et al. (2005); Duncan et al. (2014).
One challenge in measuring cosmic shear comes from the fact that it requires precise images of galaxies. Lensing magnification has the advantage of not relying on precise imaging, since the effect is measured from the galaxy number counts. However, it is affected by intrinsic fluctuations in the number counts of galaxies, which generically strongly dominate over lensing magnification Schneider et al. (1992). This can be overcome by correlating galaxies at widely separated redshifts. In this case, density fluctuations become uncorrelated, and the only remaining signal of cosmological interest comes from lensing. Lensing magnification has been robustly measured using this technique: for example Scranton et al. (2005) has measured the cross-correlation of quasars at redshift , with foreground galaxies at mean redshift 0.3 in SDSS; whereas Garcia-Fernandez et al. (2018) has used the cross-correlation of background galaxies at redshift with foreground galaxies at in DES.
A new approach to map the large-scale structure of the Universe up to high redshifts is intensity mapping with radio telescopes.These surveys will observe the intensity fluctuations of some emission line, typically the 21 cm line emitted by neutral hydrogen that is expected to trace the fluctuations in the galaxy distribution Pritchard and Loeb (2012). Various existing or planned post-reionisation radio surveys, like BINGO, HIRAX, CHIME, MeerKLASS, Tianlai, PUMA, and the SKA Battye et al. (2013); Newburgh et al. (2016, 2014); Santos et al. (2017); Xu et al. (2015); Slosar et al. (2019); Bull (2016) will detect these fluctuations and measure the power spectrum of the 21 cm radiation.
In this letter we propose a novel method to measure lensing magnification by correlating the fluctuations in 21 cm intensity mapping (or intensity mapping of other lines) with the galaxy number counts, in such a way as to isolate lensing magnification. The main idea is that lensing magnification affects the galaxy number counts, but has no impact on intensity mapping. Due to the conservation of surface brightness, the number of photons that are lensed into our solid angle of observation by gravitational lensing is exactly compensated by the apparent increase of this solid angle Hall et al. (2013) 111This is not the case at second-order in perturbation theory, where fluctuations in the 21 cm intensity are themselves lensed Jalilvand et al. (2019).. As a consequence, the following schematic estimator, named GIMCO, isolates the lensing magnification contribution
[TABLE]
where refers to the background redshift, and is the foreground redshift. In the first term of Eq. (1), galaxies in the background are lensed by the presence of foreground matter perturbations, responsible for the 21 cm signal. In the second term, however, the 21 cm intensity in the background is not lensed. By subtracting the two terms, we cancel the density-density correlations that affect both terms in the same way (up to bias differences), while keeping the lensing magnification contribution. This method, therefore, provides a way to isolate lensing magnification, without restricting ourselves to wide redshifts separations. In the next section, we elaborate on this idea, and we show how the GIMCO estimator increases the signal-to-noise of lensing magnification by a factor of 30 for cosmic variance dominated surveys, and a factor of 4-5 for specific examples like DESHIRAX and EuclidHIRAX.
Estimator. The galaxy number counts in direction and redshift are given by Schneider et al. (1992)
[TABLE]
where is the galaxy bias, is the slope of the luminosity function and denotes the matter density fluctuations. Lensing magnification (also called magnification bias), is the second contribution, proportional to the lensing potential
[TABLE]
with the conformal distance to the source, and the two metric potentials, and the angular part of the Laplacian.
Intensity mapping is generically expressed in terms of the brightness temperature, whose fluctuations are a biased tracer of matter density
[TABLE]
where is the bias of neutral hydrogen. We neglect in Eq. (2) and (4) the contribution from redshift space distortions since we will average our estimator over thick redshift bins of size . We also neglect the contribution from relativistic effects Yoo et al. (2009); Bonvin and Durrer (2011); Challinor and Lewis (2011); Jeong et al. (2012); Hall et al. (2013) which are subdominant in the regime we are interested in.
We can expand the number counts and the brightness temperature fluctuations in spherical harmonics
[TABLE]
with . We now define the GIMCO estimator which cross-correlates galaxies and 21 cm intensity mapping:
[TABLE]
Here is a general estimator for the angular power spectrum, and the second equality holds for the standard full-sky estimator. The expectation value of is
[TABLE]
The first line is the contribution we want to measure: it represents the lensing potential of background galaxies generated by a foreground density at . The second line, which contains the correlation between the lensing potential in the foreground and the density in the background, is negligible. The last line is a residual contamination from density fluctuations. If the two biases have the same redshift dependence, this term would exactly vanish, allowing us to perfectly isolate lensing magnification. In practice however the two biases evolve differently, and a small density contribution remains.
We compare the GIMCO estimator with the standard estimator used to measure lensing magnification whose expectation value is
[TABLE]
The first and third line correspond to the lensing signal that we want to measure. The third line is due to the fact that both the background and foreground galaxies are lensed by the same structures in front of the foreground galaxies. This contribution is absent in because 21 cm is not lensed. As before, the second line is negligible. Finally the last line represents the contamination from density fluctuations. The standard way of minimising this contamination consists of choosing and sufficiently far away to make it negligible.
Contamination and signal-to-noise ratio. Let us now study two questions: does the GIMCO estimator reduce the contamination from density fluctuations? And does GIMCO improve the SNR of lensing magnification? By considering and sufficiently far away, the standard estimator minimises the density contamination in the signal. This contamination reappears however in the variance, where it dominates. We will see that the GIMCO estimator has the advantage of strongly reducing the density contribution also in the variance, consequently increasing the SNR.
We split the signal into a lensing magnification contribution, that we want to measure, and the contamination from density: and . The lensing magnification contribution corresponds to the terms in Eqs. (7) and (8) that involve the lensing potential , while the contamination are the terms proportional to . To give a quantitative example of how the contamination is reduced for , we use the specifications of DES DES and HIRAX Newburgh et al. (2016). For the cosmological parameters, we use throughout the paper the values from Planck Planck Collaboration et al. (2018). For redshift pairs separated by , we find typically that the contamination in the signal is about 1% for , whereas it is 30-40% for . A figure can be found in the Appendix. The GIMCO estimator allows us therefore to extract lensing magnification from closer pairs than . This is due to a double suppression of the contamination in : firstly because the density correlation quickly decreases with redshift separation (similarly to the standard estimator), and secondly by the bias difference. The second suppression is especially effective at small redshift separation, when the bias has not evolved much between and .
We now calculate the covariance of the GIMCO estimator. We first concentrate on the cosmic variance contribution. The full expression is given in the Appendix and used for the forecasts. For illustration we discuss here the diagonal part of the covariance, given by and , corresponding to the variance for the redshift pair . It is dominated by the density contribution taken at the same redshift. We obtain for the standard estimator
[TABLE]
and for GIMCO
[TABLE]
This confirms that has the advantage of suppressing the density contribution not only in the mean of the estimator, but also in its variance, thanks to the bias difference which appears in Eq. (10). The cosmic variance suppression made explicit by GIMCO is, as usual, also implicitly present in the full likelihood that combines all possible correlations – indeed, in terms of SNR the likelihood cannot be beaten. However, the GIMCO estimator is nearly optimal, it is more compact, and it has the additional advantage to reduce the density contamination also in the signal.
In Fig. 1 (top panel) we plot the SNR per multipole of and for and , for DESHIRAX. We assume a sky coverage of 5000 deg2 for both estimators, since HIRAX will overlap with DES. For this case, the contamination is less than 0.01 in both estimators, so that the signal is simply given by the lensing magnification. Note that the lensing magnification in contains both and , which cancel around . In only is present. The cumulative SNR, for this redshift pair, from to is for and 54 for . If we reduce to 200, to exclude non-linear scales, the cumulative SNR is for and for . The GIMCO estimator therefore improves the detection of lensing magnification by a factor of with respect to the conventional method.
The SNR calculated above corresponds to a survey which is cosmic variance limited over the whole range of multipoles. In reality, two additional sources of errors contribute to the variance. First, galaxies are discrete objects, which generate a shot noise contribution to the variance. Shot noise affects both the galaxy number counts and 21 cm intensity mapping. However, for the latter it has been shown that shot noise is always negligible with respect to the interferometer noise Castorina and Villaescusa-Navarro (2017). As a consequence we simply replace in the expression for the covariance where denotes the mean number of galaxies per redshift bin and per steradian.
For interferometer noise, we concentrate on HIRAX which will measure the neutral hydrogen distribution in the redshift range of 0.8 to 2.5 covering 15000 square degrees of the southern sky Newburgh et al. (2016). In the literature we can find several expressions for the noise: two widely used prescriptions are Bull et al. (2015) and Zaldarriaga et al. (2004); Pourtsidou and Metcalf (2014). We discuss them in some detail in the Appendix. We find that for the specific case of HIRAX the two expressions differ by four orders of magnitude, which has a significant impact on the forecasts. The main difference is that Bull et al. (2015) assumes that each field of view is observed sequentially, whereas Zaldarriaga et al. (2004); Pourtsidou and Metcalf (2014) assume that the whole sky is observed at once. In our forecasts, we show the results for the first scenario since the second one is very optimistic and not achievable with near future surveys. We label the first scenario as “RadioFisher”. In addition, preliminary simulations of the HIRAX interferometer noise based on Shaw et al. (2014, 2015) find a noise curve which is about a factor 10 better than RadioFisher. We also include results for this case, that we label as “HIRAX”.
In Fig. 1 (bottom panel), we plot the SNR for and including shot noise and interferometer noise, for the two cases discussed above. We use the galaxy number density from DES Font-Ribera et al. (2014). We see that shot noise and interferometer noise significantly reduce the SNR of at large . Since cosmic variance is larger for , the impact of shot noise is less relevant for this estimator. The two vertical lines in Fig. 1 correspond respectively to and . The latter applies in the case where the calibration of each field of view (FOV) is not known, such that only modes smaller than the FOV of the interferometer can be observed. The cumulative SNR up to is for and for . For we find for and for . This improvement by a factor of 4 allows a marginal detection of lensing with from a single redshift pair, for which cannot detect anything. This is particularly useful to follow the redshift evolution of dark energy or modified gravity.
Forecasts on the lensing amplitude . As an application of GIMCO, we forecast the precision with which we will be able to measure the amplitude of the lensing potential . For this we replace in Eq. (3) and we forecast the error on , with fiducial value . We fix all cosmological and astrophysical parameters to their fiducial value, and we compute the Fisher element for
[TABLE]
and similarly for . We use Gaussian redshift bins of width , spaced by , and we sum over all possible pairs of redshifts accessible in the survey, with the condition that the contamination for each pair is below 1%. This means that in both cases, we exclude pairs with redshift difference smaller than 0.3. For we could consider pairs down to a difference of but that would require finer redshift bins than the current analysis. This negligible amount of contamination ensures that we measure in a model-independent way, i.e. without having to model the evolution of density fluctuations.
We compute the Fisher matrix for both estimators for two combinations of surveys: DESHIRAX, and Euclid (photometric)HIRAX. For the second case, we use (where ) for since HIRAX will not completely overlap with Euclid. We focus on the common redshift range, which is for DESHIRAX and for EuclidHIRAX. For the standard estimator we also use this range as a point of comparison. Our goal is to understand how improves over over the common range. An ideal analysis would then combine over the common range, with over the rest of the optical range. We restrict the -range to , which is comparable to Ho et al. (2012); DES Collaboration et al. (2019) but more conservative to ensure that linear theory is valid.
In Fig. 2 we show the precision on the measurement of , , as a function of the maximum redshift included in Eq. (11), for DESHIRAX (top panel) and EuclidHIRAX (bottom panel). For the case , we see that our estimator allows to measure the lensing amplitude with a precision of 0.3 (using the HIRAX noise curve). This corresponds to an improvement of a factor 4.7 compared to the standard estimator in that same redshift range. If we use , the improvement is slightly smaller, but still interesting: 3.7 in the realistic case. This clearly shows that, over the common redshift range, our estimator is an excellent tool to measure gravitational lensing. To reach a similar improvement using a single survey we would need to increase the sky coverage by a factor 14 in that redshift range.
Using EuclidHIRAX, we reach for and if we include pairs up to (realistic case, and ). Comparing with the standard estimator, in the same redshift range, we find an improvement of a factor 3.6 at , whereas at the standard estimator is slightly better. This is due to the fact that at high redshift, the signal becomes larger for than for , due to the lensing-lensing contribution, , which strongly increases with redshift and which is present in but not in . The GIMCO estimator is therefore mainly valuable at intermediate redshift, where it allows a clean and better measurement of on its own. Moreover, combining the two estimators would provide separate measurements of and . This is particularly useful to measure the evolution of the lensing potential, and study the impact of dark energy and modified gravity as a function of redshift.
Conclusion. We have constructed a new estimator, GIMCO, to measure lensing magnification, using the correlation of galaxy clustering and 21 cm intensity mapping. The GIMCO estimator improves over standard lensing magnification estimators from galaxy clustering in several ways. First, it allows us to significantly reduce the contamination from density correlations, when the foreground and background redshifts are close. Second, the cosmic variance of the GIMCO estimator is significantly reduced with respect to the standard estimator. GIMCO improves the SNR by a factor of 30 for cosmic variance limited surveys, relative to the standard estimator. Shot noise and interferometer noise reduce this improvement, but it still reaches a factor 4-5 at intermediate redshift. Finally, as it involves only cross-correlations, the GIMCO estimator will be robust to most systematics from galaxy and IM surveys, except for correlated foregrounds e.g. from the Milky Way which should be projected out by approaches such as DES Collaboration et al. (2016, 2018). It is also possible to extend the estimator to remove the density contribution completely, a development that we will discuss in a future publication. This letter already shows that the fundamental idea of combining intensity mapping and galaxy surveys to isolate lensing magnification holds considerable promise for upcoming surveys.
Acknowledgements We thank Alkistis Pourtsidou, Stefano Camera and Phil Bull for enlightening us about the intensity mapping noise, Moumita Aich for providing us intensity mapping bias, Devin Crichton and Azadeh Moradinezhad for useful discussions about HIRAX and intensity mapping forecasts. CB, MJ, MK and FL acknowledge funding by the Swiss National Science Foundation. EM acknowledges financial support from the Swiss National Science Foundation through the Marie Heim-Vögtlin Fellowship No. PMPDP2_171332. KM acknowledges support from the National Research Foundation of South Africa (grant number 98957). WN acknowledges the financial assistance of the South African Radio Astronomy Observatory (SARAO) towards this research (www.ska.ac.za).
Appendix A Covariances
Here we give the full covariances from cosmic variance for the two estimators. For the standard estimator, , it reads
[TABLE]
For the GIMCO estimator, , we obtain
[TABLE]
Appendix B Contamination
In Fig. 3, we show a plot of the ratio of contamination for the case DESHIRAX and for the specific redshift pair and . We see that GIMCO is much less contaminated by the density contribution than the standard estimator. Note that a similarly high contamination from density would be present in each term of the full likelihood that combines all possible correlations.
Appendix C Interferometer noise
Reference Bull et al. (2015) gives the noise spectrum as
[TABLE]
where is the addition of antenna and sky temperature, is the observed area of the sky, is the observed wavelength of 21cm line at redshift , is the number of polarizations, is the total observation time, is the frequency bin corresponding to the redshift bin width, is the beam number, is the effective area of each dish and the factor is the efficiency of the dish, is the beam of the telescope, and is the number density of baselines in the plane. Expression (14) assumes that each field of view (FOV) of the interferometer is observed sequentially. If on the other hand one assumes that the whole sky area is observed at once (instantaneous FOV), we obtain the expression presented in Zaldarriaga et al. (2004); Pourtsidou and Metcalf (2014)
[TABLE]
where and is the diameter of the telescope array, is the effective collecting area of the telescope. For HIRAX the difference between the two noise curves is of the order of . However, we do not show the results for this noise as it appears too optimistic for near future surveys.
Appendix D Galaxy and IM specifications
Here we give a list of the specifications used for galaxy and IM surveys.
DES
For DES survey, we use the following relation for bias Font-Ribera et al. (2014)
[TABLE]
where is the growth factor. For number density, we use the following relation Font-Ribera et al. (2014)
[TABLE]
where , , , and is the normalization factor given by
[TABLE]
where is the Gamma function and is the total number of galaxies per arcmin2. For DES, . We use a constant value, for the magnification bias following Garcia-Fernandez et al. (2018).
Euclid
For Euclid photometric survey, we use the following specifications Montanari and Durrer (2015)
[TABLE]
where , , , , and . The normalization factor in number density is determined by demanding a total number of arcmin*-2* galaxies from to . We find a different normalization factor from Montanari and Durrer (2015).
HIRAX
For HIRAX bias, we use the fitting formula from RadioFisher codeBull (2015)
[TABLE]
In Fig. 4, we show bias as a function of redshift for HIRAX, Euclid and DES surveys and in Fig. 5, we show for Euclid and DES.
Appendix E Redshift pairs
Here we give explicitly the list of redshift pairs that has been used for Fisher analysis. For both and , we use redshift pairs in the common redshift range of the galaxy and intensity mapping survey that are far enough so that the density contamination is negligible which translates to . The center of redshift bins are separated by . For DESHIRAX, we use the following pairs
[TABLE]
and for Euclid HIRAX, we use
[TABLE]
The reference list from the paper itself. Each links out to its DOI / PubMed record.
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