# Adult sex ratio as an index for male strategy in primates

## TL;DR

This study uses a mathematical model to explore how adult sex ratio (ASR) can predict male reproductive strategies in primates, highlighting its dependence on life history traits and guarding effectiveness.

## Contribution

It introduces an ODE model linking ASR to male strategies, demonstrating ASR's potential as a predictive index for strategy choice in primates.

## Key findings

- ASR is influenced by life history parameters.
- Dominant strategy shifts from multiple mating to guarding along ASR contours.
- ASR can predict male strategy with limited ecological information.

## Abstract

The adult sex ratio (ASR) is defined as the number of fertile males divided by the number of fertile females in a population. We build an ODE model with minimal age structure, in which males compete for paternities using either a multiple-mating or searching-then-guarding strategy, to investigate the value of ASR as an index for predicting which strategy males will adopt, with a focus in our investigation on the differences of strategy choice between chimpanzees Pan troglodytes and human hunter-gatherers Homo sapiens. Parameters in the model characterise aspects of life history and behaviour, and determine both dominant strategy and the ASR when the population is at or near equilibrium. Sensitivity analysis on the model parameters informs us that ASR is strongly influenced by parameters characterising life history, while dominant strategy is affected most strongly by the effectiveness of guarding (average length of time a guarded pair persists, and resistance to paternity theft) and moderately by some life history traits. For fixed effectiveness of guarding and other parameters, dominant strategy tends to change from multiple mating to guarding along a curve that aligns well with a contour of constant ASR, under variation of parameters such as longevity and age female fertility ends. This confirms the hypothesis that ASR may be a useful index for predicting the optimal male mating strategy, provided we have some limited information about ecology and behaviour.