Functional central limit theorems for occupancies and missing mass process in infinite urn models
Mikhail Chebunin, Sergei Zuyev

TL;DR
This paper establishes functional central limit theorems for occupancy and missing mass processes in infinite urn models, extending previous non-functional results to a more comprehensive probabilistic framework.
Contribution
It introduces functional CLTs for both discrete and poissonized versions of the urn occupancy and missing mass processes, advancing the theoretical understanding of infinite urn schemes.
Findings
Proves functional CLTs for occupancy processes
Extends results to missing mass processes
Includes both discrete and poissonized models
Abstract
We study the infinite urn scheme when the balls are sequentially distributed over an infinite number of urns labelled 1,2,... so that the urn at every draw gets a ball with probability , . We prove functional central limit theorems for discrete time and the poissonised version for the urn occupancies process, for the odd-occupancy and for the missing mass processes extending the known non-functional central limit theorems.
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Functional central limit theorems for occupancies and missing mass
process in infinite urn models
Mikhail Chebunin
Sobolev Institute of Mathematics SB RAS and Novosibirsk State University, Novosibirsk, Russia, E-mail: [email protected]
Sergei Zuyev Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden. E-mail: [email protected]
Abstract
We study the infinite urn scheme when the balls are sequentially distributed over an infinite number of urns labelled 1,2,…so that the urn at every draw gets a ball with probability , . We prove functional central limit theorems for discrete time and the poissonised version for the urn occupancies process, for the odd-occupancy and for the missing mass processes extending the known non-functional central limit theorems.
Keywords: infinite urn scheme, regular variation, functional CLT, occupancy process, missing mass process.
2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. Primary: 60F17, 60G22; Secondary: 60G15, 60G18
1 Introduction
In this paper we study the following classical urn model first considered by Karlin [12]: balls are distributed one by one over an infinite number of urns enumerated from 1 to infinity. The ball distributed at step , call it th ball, gets into urn with probability , , independently of the other balls. Such multinomial occupancy schemes arise in many different applications, in Biology [11], Computer science [13], [14] and in many other areas, see, e. g., [10] and the references therein.
Let be the urn the th ball gets into and let be the number of balls the th urn contains after balls are distributed:
[TABLE]
Of a particular interest is the asymptotic behaviour of the following quantities: the number of urns containing at least balls and containing exactly balls:
[TABLE]
the number of urns with an odd number of balls and the scaled missing mass introduced in [12]:
[TABLE]
We also use notation for the number of non-empty urns. Renumbering the urns if necessary, we may assume that the sequence is monotonely decaying. We further assume that it is regularly varying:
[TABLE]
where is a slowly varying function as .
Following Karlin’s [12] original approach, we will consider a Poissonised version of the model when the balls are put into urns at the times of jumps of a homogeneous Poisson point processes with intensity 1 on . According to the independent marking theorem for Poisson processes, are independent homogeneous Poisson processes with intensities . To ease the notation, we write simply
[TABLE]
and we introduce the following poissonised version of the scaled missing mass:
[TABLE]
It differs from by the scaling factor vs. , but, when properly scaled, it is asymptotically equivalent to it.
Ordinary (not functional) central limit theorems for the above quantities were established under various conditions in [2], [3], [9], [10],[12], [13], [14]. In particular, under rather general conditions on the sequence involving an unbounded growth of the variances, the following results are available: a strong law of large numbers and asymptotic normality of , an asymptotic normality of the vector , local limit theorems, etc.
We acknowledge a novel method of a randomised decomposition for proving FCLTs developed in a recent paper [8], but we do not use it here. As a particular case of their Theorem 2.3, a FCLT holds for the processes and when .
Our goal here is to establish a FCLT for the triplet of processes: the occupancy, odd-occupancy and the scaled missing mass when . In particular, we obtain previously unknown FCLT for for and for when . Up to a normalising constant, the FCLT stated in Theorem 1 also holds for the original (non-scaled) missing mass on any interval , , separated from 0. The paper extends the results of [7] and [6], where a functional central limit theorem (FCLT) was shown under condition (3) for the vector process
in the case .
Extending the FCLT to the case would require additional to (3) conditions. As it was mentioned in [12] and in [2], does not imply that the variances grow to infinity and various asymptotic behaviour is possible for different statistics. We also argue that even an infinite growth of variances does not guarantee per se the required relative compactness.
When , we need a function
[TABLE]
It is known (see [12]) that is slowly varying when .
Finally, for introduce the following notation:
[TABLE]
We are now ready to formulate the main result of the paper.
Theorem 1**.**
When , the vector process
[TABLE]
converges weakly in the uniform metric on to a 3-dimensional Gaussian process with zero mean and the covariance function with the following components: when ,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
When , , is given by
[TABLE]
Thus, when , and are Wiener processes. For a general , the process is self-similar with the Hurst parameter which includes, in particular, a fractional Brownian motion, a bi-fractional Brownian motion with parameter (see, e.g. [8]) with a new self-similar process .
2 Proof of Theorem 1
We start with formulating a couple of lemmas proved in [7]. We will generally use the letter and its variants to denote a constant whose value is of no importance for us and note in parentheses the parameters it depends upon. This should not lead to a confusion when the same notation is used for, actually, different constants in different contexts, the same way notation is used.
Lemma 2**.**
When , there exist and such that
[TABLE]
holds for any and .
Lemma 3**.**
For any there exists an such that for any ,
[TABLE]
In preparation of the proof, let us introduce some further notation and establish a few inequalities we will be using.
In view of (7), let
[TABLE]
For any two positive , define
[TABLE]
their expectations are denoted by
[TABLE]
Similarly for ,
[TABLE]
Clearly, for all natural ,
[TABLE]
Similarly,
[TABLE]
As a result,
[TABLE]
We are using the same notation and without explicitly specifying the corresponding values of , this should not create a confusion. The following lemma will be used in the proof of the relative compactness of the process .
Lemma 4**.**
Let and . Then there exist and such that
[TABLE]
for all and .
Proof.
Put and . Since the variance of an indicator does not exceed its expectation, we have that
[TABLE]
By [12, Th. 2.1 and (23)],
[TABLE]
therefore there exists an such that for all ,
[TABLE]
According to Karamata (see, e.g. [5, Th. 2,1, Eq. A6.2.10]), there exists an such that for all and satisfying , one has
[TABLE]
Let , then
[TABLE]
Choose such that for all we have . Then, provided ,
[TABLE]
Now take . Since , then for all we obtain
[TABLE]
∎
We are ready to prove Theorem 1. The proof is broken into four steps.
Step 1: Covariance.
The first rather technical step consists in establishing a formulae for the covariances which is put in Appendix.
Step 2: Convergence of finite-dimensional distributions.
Along the lines of the proof of [9, Th. 12], one can show that for
[TABLE]
the triangular array of -dimensional vectors (i.e. independent in for every )
[TABLE]
satisfies the Lindeberg condition (see, e. g., [5, Th. 6.2]). Similarly, the convergence of the finite-dimensional distributions is shown for the process .
Step 3: Relative compactness.
We shall follow the following plan:
- (a)
prove the continuity of the limiting process;
- (b)
prove that and ( and ) are sufficiently close;
- (c)
prove the relative compactness of ().
- a(U)
Take for . Then
[TABLE]
We have used above the independence of the summands, inequality (10) and Lemma 2.
Since the covariance function has a limit, [1, Th. 1.4] will imply that the limiting Gaussian process a.s. has a continuous modification on .
Since the trajectories of the limiting Gaussian process belong a.s. to the class , then the weak convergence in the Skorohod topology implies the weak convergence in the uniform metric, see, e. g., [4]. Therefore, it is sufficient to prove the relative compactness of (with as in Lemma 2) in the Skorohod topology.
- b(U)
Since with probability one we have
[TABLE]
then
[TABLE]
Hence, for all ,
[TABLE]
when . Therefore, it is sufficient to show the relative compactness of (with as in Lemma 2) in the Skorokhod topology.
- c(U)
For any satisfying we have that
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Put , .
Recall the Rosenthal inequality [15]: if are independent random variables with , then for all there exists a constant such that
[TABLE]
For all (with as in Lemma 2) we then have
[TABLE]
where , and depend only on their arguments.
Above, we have used (13) in the first inequality, (10) in the second and finally, (12) and Lemma 2 alongside with the bound
[TABLE]
If , then or for all , therefore
[TABLE]
If , then there are the following three cases:
if , , then the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality implies
[TABLE] 2. 2.
If , , then since
[TABLE]
the same inequality yields
[TABLE] 3. 3.
If , , then since
[TABLE]
we have that
[TABLE]
Now the relative compactness follows from, e.g., [4, Th. 13.5].
- a(M)
Because the covariance function has a limit, it is sufficient to appeal to Lemma 4 and [1, Th. 1.4] to establish existence of an almost sure continuous on modification of the limiting Gaussian process. Since the trajectories of this process are a.s. in , then the weak convergence in the Skorohod topology implies the uniform convergence, see [4]. Thus it is sufficient to prove a relative compactness of the family in the Skorohod topology (here is the same as in Lemma 2).
- b(M)
Set and . Since , then
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Let and . Then we have almost surely,
[TABLE]
We know that for any integer
[TABLE]
Using the independence of the terms and Rosenthal inequality, for any ,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Hence, for and all
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Therefore, it is sufficient to show the local compactness of in the Skorohod topology.
- c(M)
Let and , then (12) holds. Set , .
Again, by independence and the Rosenthal inequality,
[TABLE]
where , and depend only on their arguments.
Above, we have used inequalities (11), (12) and Lemmas 4, 2 alongside with the bound
[TABLE]
When , then or for any . Thus
[TABLE]
When , we have the following three cases:
if , , then the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality gives
[TABLE] 2. 2.
if , , then since for any ,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality yields the bound
[TABLE] 3. 3.
finally, , , is similar to the previous case.
Thus the required compactness follows from [4, Th. 13.5].
Finally, for the next step we need to show that , when time scaled, is close to its fully Poissonised version
[TABLE]
Namely, we aim to show that
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Introduce and . Since , then
[TABLE]
as and it is bounded by 1. Thus there exists a sufficiently small such that for
[TABLE]
when .
By the Strong Law of Large Numbers for and the well-known asymptotic behaviour of (see, e.g., [12, Eq. (23)]), we conclude that for any , a.s. when . Moreover, according to the Central Limit theorem is asymptotically standard normal for large .
Finally, we have almost surely,
[TABLE]
Using this inequality, the fact that and that is a continuous functional, we readily obtain 15.
Step 4: Approximation of the initial process.
Since is monotone, the Strong Law of Large Numbers implies that for any there is an integer such that for all one has
[TABLE]
see Lemma 3. Here and below, stands for or . The relative compactness of the distributions implies that for any and there exist and an integer such that for all ,
[TABLE]
Hence, since
[TABLE]
then for all ,
[TABLE]
which proves Theorem 1.
Acknowledgements.
MC’s research is supported by RSF Grant 17-11-01173-Ext. He also acknowledges hospitality of Chalmers university where a part of this work has been done. The authors are thankful to Sergey Foss for his interest in this research and valuable comments and to the anonymous reviewer for thorough reading and spotting some inaccuracies in the previous version of the manuscript.
Appendix
An explicit expression for the covariance between and can be found in [7]. Take . The
[TABLE]
Hence (since as )
[TABLE]
cf. [12, Eq. (21)].
Next,
[TABLE]
Since when ),
[TABLE]
cf. [12, Eq. (23)].
Continuing,
[TABLE]
Similarly,
[TABLE]
Because when , for we have that
[TABLE]
For this reduces to
[TABLE]
cf. [12, Th. 1].
Next,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Finally,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Because when , for we obtain
[TABLE]
cf. [12, Eq. (23)].
Clearly, as . According to [12, Lem. 4], in the case the function when is slowly varying and
[TABLE]
Therefore, in the case ,
[TABLE]
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