# Multivariate Conditional Transformation Models

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a flexible, likelihood-based framework for multivariate conditional transformation models that capture complex dependencies and nonlinear effects of covariates, improving upon existing simplistic models.

## Contribution

It proposes a general, scalable framework for multivariate conditional transformation models that allows covariate-dependent dependence structures and nonlinear effects.

## Key findings

- Framework scales beyond bivariate responses
- Empirical benefits shown in childhood undernutrition analysis
- Allows flexible, interpretable modeling of complex multivariate data

## Abstract

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that they often rely on rather simplistic assumptions, e.g. a constant dependency structure that is not allowed to vary with the covariates or the restriction to linear dependence between the responses only. We propose a general framework for multivariate conditional transformation models that overcomes these limitations and describes the entire distribution in a tractable and interpretable yet flexible way conditional on nonlinear effects of covariates. The framework can be embedded into likelihood-based inference, including results on asymptotic normality, and allows the dependence structure to vary with covariates. In addition, the framework scales well beyond bivariate response situations, which were the main focus of most earlier investigations. We illustrate the application of multivariate conditional transformation models in a trivariate analysis of childhood undernutrition and demonstrate empirically that our approach can be beneficial compared to existing benchmarks such that complex truly multivariate data-generating processes can be inferred from observations.