Persistence and exit times for some additive functionals of skew Bessel processes
Christophe Profeta (LaMME)

TL;DR
This paper analyzes the asymptotic behavior of first passage times and exit probabilities for additive functionals of skew Bessel processes, extending previous results on Brownian motion to a broader class of processes.
Contribution
It provides new asymptotic formulas for passage times and exit probabilities for additive functionals of skew Bessel processes, generalizing prior Brownian motion results.
Findings
Asymptotic formulas for first passage times to fixed levels.
Probabilities of reaching certain levels before others.
Behavior of the process when exiting bounded intervals.
Abstract
Let X be some homogeneous additive functional of a skew Bessel process Y. In this note, we compute the asymptotics of the first passage time of X to some fixed level b, and study the position of Y when X exits a bounded interval [a, b]. As a by-product, we obtain the probability that X reaches the level b before the level a. Our results extend some previous works on additive functionals of Brownian motion by Isozaki and Kotani for the persistence problem, and by Lachal for the exit time problem.
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Persistence and exit times for some additive functionals of skew Bessel processes
Christophe Profeta
Laboratoire de Mathématiques et Modélisation d’Evry (LaMME), Université d’Evry-Val-d’Essonne, UMR CNRS 8071, F-91037 Evry Cedex. Email : [email protected]
Abstract.
Let be some homogeneous additive functional of a skew Bessel process . In this note, we compute the asymptotics of the first passage time of to some fixed level , and study the position of when exits a bounded interval . As a by-product, we obtain the probability that reaches the level before the level . Our results extend some previous works on additive functionals of Brownian motion by Isozaki and Kotani for the persistence problem, and by Lachal for the exit time problem.
Key words and phrases:
Bessel processes - Skew processes - Persistence problem - Exit time problem
2010 Mathematics Subject Classification:
60J60 - 60G40 - 60G18
1. Introduction
1.1. Statement of the results
Let be a skew Bessel process with dimension and skewness parameter . is a linear diffusion on with scale function and speed measure given by :
[TABLE]
Heuristically, may be constructed by starting from a standard Bessel process and flipping independently each excursion to the negative half-line with probability . The study of the stochastic differential equation satisfied by the skew Bessel process was undertaken by Blei [3], while its semi-group was computed for instance in Alili-Aylwin [1]. We also refer to Lejay [17] for a nice account in the special case of skew Brownian motion, i.e when .
For and , let us set and consider the homogeneous additive functional
[TABLE]
We denote by the law of when started from , with the convention that . The pair is Markovian and satisfies the following scaling property : for any , the law of under is the same as that of under . Define, for , the stopping time
[TABLE]
We start by computing the asymptotics of the survival function as . Such studies are known as persistence problems, and have received a lot of interest recently. We refer to the survey [2] for a review of the mathematical literature (as well as several conjectures), and to [4] for a more physics point of view and many applications.
In the case of the integrated Brownian motion (i.e. ), the rate of decay was computed by Groeneboom, Jongbloed and Wellner [10] using the explicit density of the pair obtained by Lachal [13]. We also refer to [14] for the study of the passage time of the integrated Brownian motion, and to [18] for its asymptotics and some application to penalizations. The case of an additive functional of Brownian motion (i.e. ) was then solved by Isozaki and Kotani [11] using excursion theory and a Tauberian theorem.
We shall first extend these results to the case of skew Bessel processes. To this end, let us set
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Define next the first hitting time of 0 by :
[TABLE]
and consider the harmonic function defined on by
[TABLE]
where . The function is increasing in , decreasing in , and satisfies for the scaling property :
[TABLE]
Our first result is the following asymptotics.
Theorem 1**.**
Assume that or . Then there exists a constant independent from such that
[TABLE]
One may observe that the influences of the parameters and on the persistence exponent are similar. This is due to the fact that they play similar roles in the expression of , i.e. they put different weights on the positive and negative excursions of .
The power decay of Theorem 1 is typical of self-similar processes, but computing the value of is generally a difficult task. Other examples for which is explicitly known are for instance the fractional Brownian motion ([2, Section 3.3]), stable Lévy processes ([2, Section 2.2]) as well as their integrals [19]. Conversely, it still remains an open problem for instance to find the value of the persistence exponent for the integrated fractional Brownian motion, or for the twice integrated Brownian motion.
Letting formally in Theorem 1, we obtain , and by scaling, we may infer that
[TABLE]
In the standard Brownian case (when and ), this exponent agrees with the conjecture in Janson [12, eq. (261)].
The general idea of the proof of Theorem 1 is to work with the first zero of after has crossed the level :
[TABLE]
This stopping time turns out to be easier to study than , and yields far more simpler expressions. We shall then retrieve information on by applying the Markov property, see Section 2.
We now turn our attention to the study of the exit time of from the interval with :
[TABLE]
In the Brownian case, i.e. when , the distribution of was computed by Lachal [15, 16] using excursion theory for the bivariate process . Following his notation, but changing the signs to keep positive parameters, we set
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Notice that with these definitions
[TABLE]
In the following, we shall denote by the modified Bessel function of the first kind and we recall the definition of the hypergeometric functions and (see for instance [9, Chapters 9.1 and 9.2]):
[TABLE]
where for .
Theorem 2**.**
Assume that . The probability density function of admits the expression :
[TABLE]
where the constants and are given by
[TABLE]
Observe that the expressions we obtain are almost the same as those in [15], except for the occurrence of the parameter . The general idea to prove Theorem 2 is similar to that of Theorem 1. We shall first compute the law of where
[TABLE]
and then retrieve the distribution of via a modified Laplace transform, see Section 3. More generally, Theorem 2 and the Markov property allow to express the law of also in the case .
Theorem 3**.**
Assume that . The probability density function of is given as follows.
- (1)
If and then :
[TABLE] 2. (2)
If and then :
[TABLE]
As a consequence of Theorems 2 and 3, we may obtain the probability that reaches one level before the other one.
Corollary 4**.**
The probability that hits the level before the level is given as follows.
- (1)
If and :
[TABLE] 2. (2)
If and :
[TABLE] 3. (3)
If and :
[TABLE]
Remark 5**.**
We believe our results remain valid when , but our proofs unfortunately do not apply to this case as we need to be a semimartingale in order to apply the Itô-Tanaka formula, see Section 2.2.
1.2. Explicit expressions for
Before going to the proofs of the Theorems, we mention the following Lemma which allows to obtain an explicit expression for the harmonic function .
Lemma 6**.**
The probability density function of is given by :
[TABLE]
Proof.
This result is classic : one may for instance inverse the Laplace transform of which was computed by Cetin [5, Corollary 2.1]. Another option is to use Dufresne’s formula combined with the Lamperti transform for the geometric Brownian motion, see [21, p.15-16].
Lemma 6 allows to give explicit expressions for in terms of Whittaker’s functions , see [9, Section 9.22]. Indeed, when and , using [9, p. 367], we obtain :
[TABLE]
while for and , still from [9, p. 368] :
[TABLE]
In particular, letting , we deduce that for :
[TABLE]
2. Proof of Theorem 1
The proof is divided in three steps :
we first compute the Mellin transform of in Sections 2.1 and 2.2, 2.
we then deduce in Section 2.3 some crude estimates on the survival function of , 3.
and we finally prove in Section 2.4 the asymptotics of Theorem 1.
2.1. Study of the first zero of after
Define
[TABLE]
The value of the ratio will be the key to compute the persistence exponent of . We give its value in the following lemma, whose proof is postponed to the next Section 2.2.
Lemma 7**.**
The moments and are finite and their ratio equals :
[TABLE]
We start by computing the Mellin transform of .
Proposition 8**.**
Let or . The Mellin transform of is given for by :
[TABLE]
*As a consequence, *
[TABLE]
The Mellin transform of may easily be inverted using Lemma 6. In particular, when , then and the random variable follows a Beta distribution :
[TABLE]
Proof.
Observe first that using the Markov property and the scaling property, we have
[TABLE]
From Lemma 6, we deduce that the Mellin transform of equals
[TABLE]
which yields the Mellin transform of by (2.5). It remains thus to compute the Mellin transform of . Applying the strong Markov property and using the continuity of , we first write for
[TABLE]
where is an independent copy of started from . Integrating in and , we deduce that for :
[TABLE]
The scaling property and the change of variable then yield
[TABLE]
Now the integral on the right hand-side of (2.6) may be computed by separating the two cases and . On the one hand, using the change of variable and Fubini-Tonelli’s theorem, we obtain
[TABLE]
where denote the usual Beta function. On the other hand, we get similarly
[TABLE]
To compute the left hand-side of (2.6), observe first that
[TABLE]
Indeed, if , we either have when , or when . Then, applying the Markov property and denoting as before an independent copy of started from :
[TABLE]
where the last equality follows by scaling and the changes of variables . The first integral in (2.9) is the same one as in the right hand-side of (2.6) while the second one equals
[TABLE]
Plugging relations (2.6) - (2.10) together and setting , we finally obtain :
[TABLE]
The two classic identities for the Beta function and the Gamma function , i.e.
[TABLE]
yield then the simplification
[TABLE]
and Proposition 8 now follows from Lemma 7.
2.2. Computation of and
It does not seem evident to evaluate and as we do not know in general the distribution of the pair . We may nevertheless compute these specific moments by relying on a special (complex) instance of the Feyman-Kac formula (see for instance [12, Appendix C]). To do so, we first notice that
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Define the integral
[TABLE]
Using the scaling property, the change of variable and assuming that one can exchange the integral and the expectation, we obtain :
[TABLE]
and similarly
[TABLE]
Therefore, the evaluation of and is reduced to that of . Now, to compute , let us consider the two following functions
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
where denotes the modified Bessel function of the second kind and the constant equals
[TABLE]
Both functions are continuous on , twice differentiable in and are solutions of the differential equation
[TABLE]
Notice also that using the asymptotics (see [9, Section 8.4]) :
[TABLE]
we deduce that as well as the limits
[TABLE]
Furthermore, since and are solutions of (2.14), their Wronskien
[TABLE]
is such that for any . Therefore, is a step function, and we set
[TABLE]
Lemma 9**.**
Let be a measurable and bounded function on and define
[TABLE]
Then for any :
[TABLE]
Proof.
Notice first that the function is continuous and such that Indeed, for , using integral representations for and (see for instance [9, Section 8.43]), we have :
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
hence, from (2.12), we deduce that there exist two constants such that for :
[TABLE]
Recalling the asymptotics and applying Watson’s lemma we deduce that there exists such that for large enough :
[TABLE]
Proceeding similarly for the second integral in (2.13), we conclude that , and by similar arguments that we also have . Next, differentiating for , we obtain
[TABLE]
It thus follows from (2.14) that
[TABLE]
where denotes the Dirac measure at 0. Let us set
[TABLE]
From Blei [3, Theorem 2.22], is the unique strong solution of the SDE :
[TABLE]
where denotes the semimartigale symmetric local time of . Consider now the process
[TABLE]
We apply the symmetric Itô-Tanaka formula (see [17, Section 5.1]) setting (resp. ) for the right-derivative (resp. the left-derivative) of :
[TABLE]
Using (2.15), (2.16) and the occupation time formula, we then obtain
[TABLE]
which proves that is a local martingale. Furthermore, going back to the definition (2.17) of , we have the estimate for :
[TABLE]
Therefore is bounded on which implies that is a martingale and the equality yields
[TABLE]
Lemma 9 now follows by letting , applying Fubini’s theorem on the first expectation, and the scaling property and the dominated convergence theorem on the second since .
To compute and , we shall now apply Lemma 9 with and . Using [9, p. 676, Formula 16], we obtain :
[TABLE]
where is a positive constant, and it remains to prove that we may exchange the integral and the expectation on the left hand-side of (2.18). To do so, it is sufficient by Lemma 1 in [19] to prove that . To this end, to simplify the notation, let us define for
[TABLE]
and for
[TABLE]
Integrating twice by parts, we deduce that
[TABLE]
Then, applying Fatou’s lemma and the Fubini-Tonelli theorem, we obtain
[TABLE]
and it remains to prove that the limit on the left hand-side is finite. Let . Since is finite from (2.18), we may choose large enough such that
[TABLE]
We then decompose
[TABLE]
The first term on the right hand-side goes to zero as by the dominated convergence theorem while integrating by parts, the second term equals :
[TABLE]
This implies that is continuous at , hence
[TABLE]
Finally, taking the real and imaginary parts in (2.18), we deduce that :
[TABLE]
which ends the proof of Lemma 7.
Remark 10**.**
*One may observe that the ratio admits a finite limit when . However, when , the process is always non negative, and one can check that both moments and are no longer finite, see for instance Janson [12, Section 29] in the Brownian case.
2.3. The asymptotics of
We momentarily assume that and first prove the following crude asymptotics.
Lemma 11**.**
There exist two constants such that
[TABLE]
Proof.
The lower bound is easy to obtain. Indeed, from the Markov property and the scaling property, we have
[TABLE]
where on the right hand-side, is independent from the pair and has the same law as under , which is given (see [8, Equation (13)]) by
[TABLE]
This yields the lower bound
[TABLE]
From (2.19), the asymptotics of equals
[TABLE]
while, using (2.3) and the converse mapping for Mellin transform (see [7, Theorem 4]), that of equals :
[TABLE]
for some constant . Finally, since , the leading term in the product on the right hand-side of (2.20) is , and the lower bound follows by applying Lemma 2.2 in [20].
The upper bound is much more involved, and we shall follow the idea of Profeta-Simon [19]. Applying the Markov property and Fubini’s theorem, we have for and taking :
[TABLE]
Integrating by parts, we then deduce
[TABLE]
Inverting the Laplace transforms shows that
[TABLE]
with the notation
[TABLE]
To get the asymptotics of , we shall compute the Mellin transform of its derivative. Proceeding as for (2.6) and applying Proposition 8, we have for :
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
This identity may be extended by analytic continuation to , using that to ensure that the negative moments of are finite from Lemma 7. Since the pole at is simple, we deduce from the converse mapping for Mellin transform, upon integration, that
[TABLE]
for some constant . Then, going back to (2.22), applying the Markov property and denoting as before an independent copy of started at , we have
[TABLE]
We finally obtain
[TABLE]
and the upper bound of Lemma 11 follows from (2.24) and (2.4).
2.4. Proof of Theorem 1
We first prove that is harmonic for the killed process. Indeed, observe first that from Proposition 8, there exists a constant independent from such that for or :
[TABLE]
Then, applying the Markov property, we deduce that for any ,
[TABLE]
since
[TABLE]
This allows to define a new probability measure by the absolute continuity formula
[TABLE]
where denotes the natural filtration of the process . The measure is in fact the law where is conditioned to remain negative. By translation and scaling, we deduce using (1.2) that
[TABLE]
Since is increasing in its first variable, we deduce from the monotone convergence theorem that
[TABLE]
and this last quantity is finite since from Lemma 11
[TABLE]
Finally, when starting from or , we have applying the Markov property
[TABLE]
since from (2.21), recalling that ,
[TABLE]
3. The exit time problem
We now prove Theorems 2, 3 and Corollary 4. Recall for the definitions
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
We start by studying the random variable . We shall proceed as in Section 2 but write this time a system of equations since take values in .
3.1. The distribution of
Let . Applying the strong Markov property and using the continuity of , we deduce that
[TABLE]
where is an independent copy of started from . Integrating in and , we obtain for :
[TABLE]
From (2.10), the left hand-side equals
[TABLE]
Separating the cases and and proceeding as in (2.7) and (2.8), we obtain
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
where we have used that a.s. Setting and using Lemma 7, we thus obtain the equation :
[TABLE]
Similarly, we obtain by symmetrical arguments
[TABLE]
Notice that in this system, the dependence in the parameters and only appears through and .
Lemma 12**.**
We set . The system of integral equations :
[TABLE]
where are two positive measures, admits an unique solution which is given by :
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Proof.
We first check that the pair is solution of (3.1). Recall the integral representation of the hypergeometric function [9, p.317]:
[TABLE]
for and . On the one hand, using (3.2) and setting , we have :
[TABLE]
On the other hand, still from (3.2),
[TABLE]
Applying the Gauss transformation (see [9, Section 9.132]) on (3.4), we deduce that
[TABLE]
The result now follows by adding (3.3) and (3.4), using (3.5) and the complement formula for the Gamma function. This proves that the first equation of (3.1) is satisfied and similar computations show that the second equation also holds.
Now, assume that is another solution of (3.1). Then, using (2.4) and inverting the first Mellin transform of each equation, we deduce that the measures admit densities. Keeping the same notation for the densities, we obtain by difference
[TABLE]
Let . Integrating against on , we obtain the inequalities :
[TABLE]
hence
[TABLE]
Recall finally that and are positive and smaller than . Therefore, we may take small enough so that and this implies that a.s., and thus also a.s.
3.2. Proof of Theorem 2 when
To retrieve the distribution of observe that applying the Markov property and using Lemma 6, we have
[TABLE]
hence, the modified Laplace transform of is given by :
[TABLE]
and similarly
[TABLE]
In the Brownian case (when ), these modified Laplace transforms are the exact same ones obtained by Lachal [16]. Theorem 2 now follows by inverting these two transforms, using for instance [6, p.238, Formula (8)].
3.3. Proof of Theorem 2 for
We give the proof of the probability distribution of only for , the case being similar. Assume first that . We decompose
[TABLE]
The first Mellin transform of the right hand-side may easily be inverted using Theorem 2 and the distribution of given in Lemma 6. For the second one, notice that
[TABLE]
Therefore, using (2.3) and (2.2), this implies that
[TABLE]
and we deduce from Lemma 6 that
[TABLE]
This expression may finally be inverted thanks to [6, p.364 Formula (24)], with :
[TABLE]
Next, when , we must have . Therefore,
[TABLE]
and we conclude again by using Theorem 2 and Lemma 6.
3.4. Proof of Corollary 4
Assume first that . Then, from Lemma 12 and (3.2), we have
[TABLE]
and the expression given in Corollary 4 is a consequence of the compensation formula for the Gamma function. When , the result follows by noticing that
[TABLE]
and taking in the previous Mellin transforms of Section 3.3.
Acknowledgements. We wish to thank T. Simon for his comments on an earlier version of this manuscript.
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