Uncertainty quantification using periodic random variables
Vesa Kaarnioja, Frances Y. Kuo, Ian H. Sloan

TL;DR
This paper introduces a novel periodic random variable model for uncertainty quantification in PDEs, achieving higher convergence rates with lattice cubature rules, and compares it to traditional affine models.
Contribution
The paper proposes a periodic random field model with the same mean and covariance as the affine model, improving convergence in uncertainty quantification.
Findings
Higher order cubature convergence rate of O(n^{-1/p})
Periodic model performs comparably or better than affine model
Numerical examples validate the theoretical convergence improvements
Abstract
Many studies in uncertainty quantification have been carried out under the assumption of an input random field in which a countable number of independent random variables are each uniformly distributed on an interval, with these random variables entering linearly in the input random field (the so-called affine model). In this paper we consider an alternative model of the random field, in which the random variables have the same uniform distribution on an interval, but the random variables enter the input field as periodic functions. The field is constructed in such a way as to have the same mean and covariance function as the affine random field. Higher moments differ from the affine case, but in general the periodic model seems no less desirable. The new model of the random field is used to compute expected values of a quantity of interest arising from an elliptic PDE with randomâŚ
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Uncertainty quantification using periodic random variables
V. Kaarnioja222School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney NSW 2052, Australia ([email protected], [email protected], [email protected])
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F. Y. Kuo222School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney NSW 2052, Australia ([email protected], [email protected], [email protected])
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I. H. Sloan222School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney NSW 2052, Australia ([email protected], [email protected], [email protected])
Abstract
Many studies in uncertainty quantification have been carried out under the assumption of an input random field in which a countable number of independent random variables are each uniformly distributed on an interval, with these random variables entering linearly in the input random field (the so-called affine model). In this paper we consider an alternative model of the random field, in which the random variables have the same uniform distribution on an interval, but the random variables enter the input field as periodic functions. The field is constructed in such a way as to have the same mean and covariance function as the affine random field. Higher moments differ from the affine case, but in general the periodic model seems no less desirable. The new model of the random field is used to compute expected values of a quantity of interest arising from an elliptic PDE with random coefficients. The periodicity is shown to yield a higher order cubature convergence rate of independently of the dimension when used in conjunction with rank-1 lattice cubature rules constructed using suitably chosen smoothness-driven product and order dependent weights, where is the number of lattice points and is the summability exponent of the fluctuations in the series expansion of the random coefficient. We present numerical examples that assess the performance of our method.
1 Introduction
This paper is concerned with the development and use of specially designed random fields on a physical domain , where , , or . For simplicity we assume that the boundary is Lipschitz.
Many studies in uncertainty quantification are modeled by PDEs over the domain , in which one or more of the coefficients is a random field over . In particular, many recent papers (including [3, 5, 6, 9, 16, 17, 23]) have used an âaffineâ model of the random field, taking the form
[TABLE]
where is a probability space, are independently and identically distributed random variables uniformly distributed on and are real-valued functions on satisfying
[TABLE]
and otherwise for the moment not specified. With these definitions the sum in (1.1) converges uniformly on for all values of the , and the random field is pointwise well defined. The expected value at is
[TABLE]
since for
The fact that the random variable in (1.1) occurs linearly seems to be a result of history, rather than something imposed by modeling assumptions. Suppose instead that we replace in (1.1) by , where is a continuous function with the properties
[TABLE]
both of which are satisfied by the special affine choice . Thus we replace (1.1) by
[TABLE]
It has exactly the same mean as (1.1) because and also has the same covariance
[TABLE]
because vanishes for by the independence of and (and hence of and ), and from (1.3). In particular, the variance, obtained by setting , is
[TABLE]
independently of the choice of the function .
In this paper we explore a periodic choice of satisfying (1.3), namely,
[TABLE]
thus our model of the random field, instead of (1.1), becomes
[TABLE]
An ensemble of randomly generated realizations of a pair of affine and periodic random fields is illustrated in Figure 1â with the choices and for and . While the individual realizations of the affine and periodic fields are obviously different, the statistical moments of the fields coincide up to second order, but all higher moments will be different; see Figure 2. We note that the fourth central moment (or nonstandardized kurtosis) of the random field is
[TABLE]
for the periodic model, whereas the factor is replaced by for the affine model. We are not aware of any modeling reason to prefer the affine model over the periodic model.
To give further insight into the proposed new model, we note that we are in effect replacing each of the countably infinite number of uniformly distributed random variables by new random variables (when renormalized to lie between and ). It is easily seen that the probability density function for each of these new random variables is for , which in the context of orthogonal polynomials is the weight function associated with Chebyshev polynomials of the first kind.
This observation means that there is a close connection between our new model and generalized polynomial chaos (GPC) (see [28]) in which the dependence of the solution on the stochastic variables is expressed as a linear combination of multivariate basis functions of orthogonal polynomials with respect to a variety of weight functions. In the GPC setting we have merely changed from the uniform probability distribution to the one associated with Chebyshev polynomials of the first kind: a popular choice (see [1, 2, 12, 22, 25]) because of the attractive simplicity of the Chebyshev polynomials. Nevertheless, it should be emphasized that the proposed approximation scheme is not the same as GPC, since the input field (and hence also the solution) is here made to be periodic, and the natural approximation is by trigonometric rather than algebraic polynomials.
We use the random field (1.6) to model the uncertain diffusion coefficient of the following PDE problem: find that satisfies
[TABLE]
for almost all events . Then we approximate , where is a bounded, linear functional of the solution to (1.9). The motivation for the choice (1.6) of the random field is that the random field is now a 1-periodic function of the random variable , and periodic integrands are known to be especially advantageous in the context of so-called lattice cubature rules [26]. By using the periodic model of random fields instead of the affine model, it is possible to carry out lattice rule calculations of expected values in high dimensions with higher order convergence rates, instead of being restricted, as, for example, in [16, 17, 23], to a convergence rate of at best .
In this paper we leave open the choice of the fluctuations but note that if the covariance function of the field is specified, then the appropriate choice is to take the to be suitably normalized eigenfunctions of the integral operator with kernel :
[TABLE]
where are the eigenvalues of the integral operator, and the eigenfunctions are orthogonal with respect to the -inner product and normalized by
[TABLE]
In this case (1.5) becomes Mercerâs theorem for the covariance function, and (1.4) is a version of the KarhunenâLoève expansion; see [11, 18, 24]. The only nonstandard point in the proof of the KarhunenâLoève theorem is the occurrence of the function , but the only properties that are needed are those in (1.3).
The main result in this paper is as follows. We show that if in addition to (1.2), the fluctuation operators satisfy
[TABLE]
as well as certain regularity assumptions to be made precise later, the overall error of the discretized PDE problem (1.9) with the diffusion coefficient truncated to the first terms is given by
[TABLE]
using a first order finite element solver with mesh size and rank-1 lattice cubature points in generated using the component-by-component (CBC) algorithm. The error term (1.10) consists of the dimension truncation error, first order finite element discretization error, and the cubature error, respectively, and the implied coefficient is independent of the truncated dimension as well as and . In particular, we note that we are able to obtain a higher order lattice cubature convergence rate beating the , , rate for randomly shifted lattice rules in, e.g., [16, 23]. The same rate has been obtained for the affine model in, e.g., [6] but with interlaced polynomial lattice rules, which are more complicated than rank-1 lattice rules in their construction. Moreover, the dimension truncation error rate in (1.10) matches the recent result for affine-parametric operator equations [8]. We also discuss the case . Higher order convergence for the finite element error can potentially be obtained by using higher order elements.
This paper is structured as follows. We present the notations and discuss the preliminaries in Subsection 1.1. The periodic parametric mathematical model is introduced in Section 2. We assess the regularity of this model with respect to the parametric variable in Subsection 2.1 and consider the dimension truncation error and finite element discretization errors in Subsection 2.2. The quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method as it applies to the periodic framework is discussed in Section 3, and we show in Subsection 3.1 that the use of rank-1 lattice rules in the periodic setting yields a higher order convergence rate for our model provided that appropriate smoothness-driven product and order dependent (SPOD) weights are used in the lattice rule construction. To this end, Subsection 3.2 contains a description of the fast CBC algorithm for rank-1 lattice cubature rules using SPOD weights. The overall error estimate for the discretized PDE problem is presented in Section 4. We present numerical experiments in Section 5 that assess the cubature convergence rate. We end this paper with some conclusions on our results.
1.1 Notations and preliminaries
We follow the convention and use to denote the set of natural numbers including zero. Moreover, we use the shorthand notation for integers such that and set
[TABLE]
We define the integral over the set by
[TABLE]
For fixed , we introduce the set and write
[TABLE]
to mean integration over the variables .
Let the set of all multi-indices with finite support be denoted by
[TABLE]
where we define the support of a multi-index by , and is the cardinality of the support. Here and throughout this manuscript, we refer to the component of a multi-index as . Moreover, we define
[TABLE]
for multi-indices . Let be a sequence and . We denote
[TABLE]
In addition, we use the notation to signify that for all .
We assume in the sequel that , , is a bounded domain with a Lipschitz regular boundary. This assumption also justifies us taking the Sobolev norm of the space to be
[TABLE]
The duality pairing between of is denoted by .
We establish the following notations and assumptions regarding the finite element approximation of . Let us assume that is a convex and bounded polyhedron with plane faces. We denote by a family of finite element subspaces , parametrized by the mesh size , which are spanned by continuous, piecewise linear finite element basis functions such that each is obtained from an initial, regular triangulation of by recursive, uniform bisection of simplices. We use the notation to denote the finite element approximation of in the finite element space .
2 Parametric weak formulation
The parametric weak formulation of (1.9) is, for , to find such that
[TABLE]
where , and the diffusion coefficient is assumed to have the form
[TABLE]
consistently with (1.6). Furthermore, let be a bounded, linear mapping. As the quantity of interest, we consider the expectation of taken over the parametric space:
[TABLE]
We state the following assumptions which are the same as the assumptions in [16]:
- (A1)
and ;
- (A2)
there exist positive constants and such that for all and ;
- (A3)
for some ;
- (A4)
and , where
[TABLE]
- (A5)
;
- (A6)
the physical domain , , is a convex and bounded polyhedron with plane faces.
We refer to these assumptions as they are needed.
For convenience, we introduce the following notation to mean the dimensionally truncated exact solution to (2.1):
[TABLE]
and we define for all to mean the dimensionally truncated finite element solution to (2.1).
2.1 Parametric regularity of the solution
We proceed to derive a regularity estimate for the problem (2.1) with respect to the parametric variable . The approach we take here follows the argument of [16], where a uniform affine model of the uncertain diffusion coefficient was considered.
We begin by remarking that a straightforward application of the LaxâMilgram lemma ensures that (2.1) is uniquely solvable over the whole parametric domain and that the solution can be bounded a priori.
Lemma 2.1**.**
Under the assumptions (A1) and (A2), the weak formulation (2.1) has a unique solution for any such that
[TABLE]
for any source term .
Let be a multi-index. It is easy to see that the mixed partial derivatives of (2.2) with respect to are
[TABLE]
where denotes the multi-index whose component is and all other components are [math]. This is due to the dependence of on each being in separate additive terms: if we differentiate once or more with respect to , then we obtain an expression depending only on and , and if we then differentiate with respect to a different component of the variable, we get [math].
Let be a multi-index with . We differentiate (2.1) on both sides to get
[TABLE]
which, after an application of the Leibniz product rule, yields
[TABLE]
Plugging in (2.4) and separating out the case , we obtain
[TABLE]
for all . In particular, we can choose to test this formula against . By applying the ellipticity assumption on the left-hand side and as well as the CauchyâSchwarz inequality on the right-hand side, we obtain
[TABLE]
Eliminating the common factor on both sides and using (1.12) yields for
[TABLE]
where we set
[TABLE]
This differs from the definition of in [16] by the factor .
Our goal is to use the recurrence (2.5) to derive an explicit upper bound on the term for all . It turns out that Stirling numbers of the second kind (or Stirling partition numbers) play a large role in the forthcoming analysis; they are defined by
[TABLE]
for except for . The bound on (see Theorem 2.3 below) follows from the following result, stated in a general form in case it is useful in other contexts.
Lemma 2.2**.**
Let , and let and be sequences of non-negative real numbers that satisfy the recurrence
[TABLE]
Then
[TABLE]
Moreover, if equalities hold in the formulae (2.7), then there is equality in (2.8).
Proof.
We prove this result by carrying out an induction argument on based on the recurrence (2.7). The base step is resolved immediately. For arbitrary , suppose that the claim holds for all multi-indices of order . In particular, if for some , then the induction hypothesis gives
[TABLE]
Applying the recursion (2.7) in conjunction with the inequality above yields
[TABLE]
For given , , and an index , we define , , and , respectively. Then we may write the term in the outer sum from (2.9) as
[TABLE]
where we swapped the order of the sums over and . Furthermore, it holds that
[TABLE]
which can be verified either by direct calculation based on the definition of or as a consequence of [21, equation (9.25)]. Thus (2.1) becomes
[TABLE]
and together with (2.9) this yields
[TABLE]
Since for all , a straightforward computation shows that
[TABLE]
which simplifies the upper bound into
[TABLE]
completing the proof.ââ
The desired result can be obtained as an immediate corollary to Lemma 2.2 using Lemma 2.2 and (2.5).
Theorem 2.3**.**
Under the assumptions (A1) and (A2), for any , let be the solution of the problem (2.1) with the source term , and let be the sequence defined by (2.6). Then for any multi-index we have
[TABLE]
The result also holds for the dimension-truncated finite element solution for all , .
2.2 Dimension truncation and finite element discretization errors
In practice, it is generally only possible to solve the problem (2.1) approximately using, e.g., the finite element method and with the series (2.2) truncated to finitely many terms. In this section, we discuss the approximation errors caused by the finite element discretization and dimension truncation.
In the affine setting, the fundamental dimension truncation error bound has already been discussed in [16] leading to an error bound of the order . While this analysis can also be applied to the periodic setting with only minuscule changes to the argument, Gantner [8] has recently proved an improved bound of order in the context of affine-parametric operator equations. In the following, we prove an analogous result for the problem (2.1)â(2.3). While the proof technique we use is the same as in [8], we present the proof for completeness in order to highlight that the result holds also in the periodic framework. The following proof also differs from [8] insofar as we do not need to put a restriction on the size of the sum, e.g., .
Lemma 2.4** (cf. [8, Theorem 1]).**
Under the assumptions (A1)â(A3) and (A5), for any , let denote the solution to the problem (2.1) with the source term , and let . If , then for any there exists a constant such that
[TABLE]
If , then
[TABLE]
In both cases, denotes a generic constant that does not depend on , , or .
Proof.
We define the operators for , and for , by setting for all , and for all , respectively. Moreover, we define and denote and for all , . These definitions lead to the identity
[TABLE]
Let . Lemma 2.1 and (1.12) together with
[TABLE]
imply that both operators and are boundedly invertible linear maps for all . Furthermore, we obtain
[TABLE]
where the sequence is defined as in (2.6). In consequence, this yields
[TABLE]
In what follows, we omit the argument and denote the operator norm by for brevity.
Since the sequence is summable, there exists such that for all the upper bound in (2.12) is at most . Let us assume that . For future reference, we note that this implies for all
[TABLE]
It follows from (2.12) and our assumption that the Neumann series
[TABLE]
is well defined. Moreover, we have the representation
[TABLE]
For each , we note that the integrand in (2.14) can be expanded as
[TABLE]
where the product symbol is assumed to respect the order of the noncommutative operators. Using the independence of the components of and (1.11), the integral over in (2.14) can be written as a product of integrals
[TABLE]
where because it can be written as a product of univariate integrals of the form for , which take values between [math] and (importantly, this expression is zero when ), while we can estimate by
[TABLE]
Thus
[TABLE]
where we have used the multinomial theorem together with for , Lemma 2.1, and the bound (2.11). The key observation is that this term vanishes whenever any component of is equal to , and consequently the term vanishes when .
We may now estimate (2.14) by splitting the sum into the terms and the terms for a value of to be specified later. We obtain
[TABLE]
Consider first the case . The terms can be bounded using the geometric series as
[TABLE]
where we used the inequality (see [16, Theorem 5.1]), and the ensuing constant is independent of , , and . On the other hand, for each we use the estimate
[TABLE]
where we used both inequalities in (2.13), the inequalities for all and , and the resulting constant is independent of , , and . Hence we conclude that
[TABLE]
We therefore choose to balance the two terms. This proves the assertion for after a trivial adjustment of the constant factors. The result can be extended to all by noticing that
[TABLE]
holds for all , and the claim follows by a trivial adjustment of all of the constants involved.
For we amend the above argument slightly to obtain
[TABLE]
where is a constant independent of , , and .ââ
Regarding the finite element approximation error, it is clear that an analogous result to the one presented in [16] holds.
Lemma 2.5** (cf. [16, Theorem 5.1]).**
Under assumptions (A1), (A2), (A4), and (A6), for any , let denote the solution to (2.1) with the source term such that , and let with . Then the finite element approximations satisfy the following asymptotic convergence estimate as :
[TABLE]
where and the constant is independent of and .
Remark. We note that the limiting case in Lemma 2.5 corresponds to taking and , where the dual of is identified with itself, resulting in a convergence rate of .
3 QMC in the periodic setting
QMC methods are a class of numerical methods designed to approximate multivariate integrals such as
[TABLE]
for a continuous integrand by using an equal weight cubature formula of the form
[TABLE]
where are prescribed cubature nodes.
We consider rank-1 lattice rules, where the QMC nodes are taken to be of the form
[TABLE]
where denotes taking the componentwise fractional part of and is called the generating vector of a lattice rule. It is well known that the lattice rule error for functions with absolutely convergent Fourier series is precisely [27]
[TABLE]
where for and we denote the dual lattice by , which is defined with respect to the generating vector of the rank-1 lattice rule.
Let be a 1-periodic function with respect to each of its variables, and set
[TABLE]
where and denotes a collection of nonnegative weights. Using the error formula (3.1), we obtain
[TABLE]
where the factor depending only on the QMC nodes is defined by
[TABLE]
and the norm is given by
[TABLE]
Since the inequality (3.2) is sharp, we see that is the worst-case error in the space with . The quantity is well known in classical lattice rule literature (at least for the unweighted case , see [26]) and coincides with the squared error term in the Hilbert space setting considered in the paper [7], leading us to conclude the following.
Lemma 3.1**.**
Let and prime , and let be a collection of nonnegative weights. Let be a 1-periodic function with respect to each of its variables such that . Then a generating vector can be constructed by the CBC algorithm such that
[TABLE]
for . Here, denotes the Riemann zeta function for .
Proof.
It can be readily verified that has an absolutely convergent Fourier series given that . The claim then follows from the previous discussion in conjunction with [7, Theorem 5].ââ
The result can be extended to nonprime by replacing with Eulerâs totient function . In particular, if is a prime power.
When is an integer, it can be shown that
[TABLE]
provided that has mixed partial derivatives of order . Furthermore, when is even, we can write
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
and denotes the Bernoulli polynomial of degree .
3.1 Higher order convergence in the PDE context
In this section, we let the assumptions (A1)â(A3) be in effect. We are interested in the expectation of the functional , where denotes a bounded, linear functional , is the solution to the weak formulation (2.1), and we let .
For an integer , we estimate the norm as follows:
[TABLE]
We thus obtain, using (3.3) and Theorem 2.3,
[TABLE]
since for . We now choose the weights to be
[TABLE]
which ensures that is bounded. These weights have a very specific form: they are SPOD weights, first seen in [6]. We then observe that the bound for the error term in Lemma 3.1 becomes
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
for and a prime power.
Finally, we need to choose in such a way that is bounded independently of . First applying the inequality (cf. [13, Theorem 19])
[TABLE]
to the inner sum of and denoting yields
[TABLE]
where we have set . We recast the double sum as a sum over multi-indices :
[TABLE]
Let us define the sequence , . In concrete terms, this means that
[TABLE]
We relate this definition to by observing that
[TABLE]
The final inequality holds because includes all the products of the form with , but since the order in which the terms in the product appear does not matter, we can divide this by .
We now choose and verify that the last expression is finite with this choice of . Our assumption that for some implies that . For the inner sum, we now have
[TABLE]
provided that . If additionally , then the ratio test implies convergence of the outer sum since
[TABLE]
If , then the sum is geometric and converges if and only if . An equivalent condition is that
[TABLE]
Since the condition needs to be in effect, we conclude that by choosing we obtain convergence with an implied constant independent of . If , then we assume additionally that (3.6) holds.
3.2 CBC construction with SPOD weights
We describe the CBC construction of lattice rules for SPOD weights of the general form
[TABLE]
which is specified by a smoothness degree , a sequence , plus a sequence for every . Note that for , we use the convention that the empty product is one, and we interpret the sum over as a sum with a single term , so that (which in turn is typically set to ).
The choice of weights (3.5) corresponds to the specific case , , and . We consider a generic search criterion which takes the same form as (3.4) but with a generic function . Substituting in the weights, we can write
[TABLE]
Next we find a recursive definition for . By considering whether or not is zero, we can write
[TABLE]
Thus we have
[TABLE]
Note that the first term in (3.2) is exactly the value of in the first dimensions, but this is irrelevant for the construction.
Let denote the set of the integers modulo , and let denote the multiplicative group of integers modulo with . We define the matrix
[TABLE]
and the vectors
[TABLE]
where the entries are defined recursively by (3.2) together with for all .
At step , we see from (3.2) that the CBC algorithm should pick the value of which corresponds to the smallest entry in the matrix-vector product
[TABLE]
Then it is clear from (3.2) that the vectors for the next iteration can be obtained recursively via
[TABLE]
where denotes the row of corresponding to the chosen , and the operator denotes the elementwise vector multiplication. Since the vectors are no longer needed in the next iteration, we can simply overwrite with . Hence, starting with the vectors requires storage overall.
The fast implementation is based on ordering the indices and in (3.9) and (3.10) to allow fast matrix-vector multiplication using FFT; see [4, 19, 20] for details. The overall CBC construction cost is operations.
4 Combined error analysis
The overall error of the PDE problem (2.1) is a combination of the dimension truncation error, finite element discretization error, and QMC cubature error as
[TABLE]
where are QMC nodes in , denotes the solution to (2.1), and denote the dimension-truncated solution and the corresponding finite element solution, and is a bounded, linear functional.
We can combine the results of the previous sections to produce the following overall error bound.
Theorem 4.1**.**
For any , let denote the solution to (2.1) with the source term for some , and let for some . Let be the lattice cubature nodes in generated by the CBC construction detailed in Subsection 3.2 for any prime power , and for each lattice point we solve the approximate elliptic problem (2.1) using one common finite element discretization in the domain . If , then we assume in addition that (3.6) holds. Under the assumptions (A1)â(A6), we have the combined error estimate
[TABLE]
where , denotes the mesh size of the piecewise linear finite element mesh, is a constant independent of , , , and , and
[TABLE]
5 Numerical experiments
We solve (2.1) in the two-dimensional physical domain with the source term and the periodic diffusion coefficient (2.2), denoted below by , where and
[TABLE]
For the numerical experiments, we truncate the parametric dimension to and use a first order finite element solver to compute solutions to (2.1) numerically by using a regular finite element mesh of the square domain with the one-dimensional mesh width . We use lattice rules generated by the fast CBC algorithm detailed in Subsection 3.2 with
[TABLE]
nodes and choose . Moreover, all computations have been carried out using three different values for the scaling parameter to allow us to vary the difficulty of the resulting integration problem. The reference solution was computed using a rank-1 lattice rule with nodes.
In addition, we compare the convergence rates obtained in the periodic setting to the rates obtained using interlaced polynomial lattice rules generated for the problem (2.1), equipped instead with the affine diffusion coefficient
[TABLE]
which has the same mean field and covariance as the periodic field when the fluctuations are chosen as in (5.1). To generate interlaced polynomial lattice rules tailored for the affine diffusion coefficient, we used the QMC4PDE toolbox [14, 15] with the interlacing factors chosen to be equal to and , . In this case, the reference solution was computed using a corresponding interlaced polynomial lattice rule with nodes.
The quantity of interest in the first numerical experiment is the expectation of the linear functional
[TABLE]
where the value of this integral can be calculated exactly when the integrand is a finite element solution. The results obtained using rank-1 lattice rules for the periodic model (2.2) are displayed on the left-hand sides of Figures 3 and 4 for the decay rates and , respectively. The corresponding results obtained using interlaced polynomial lattices for the affine model (5.2) are displayed on the right-hand sides of Figures 3 and 4. The expected rates of convergence are and , respectively. We observe that the solutions computed using the periodic diffusion coefficient appear to converge at a rate at least as good as the expected rate. When the scaling parameter is set to , it is notable that the rank-1 lattice rules used in conjunction with the periodic model appear to outperform the solution computed using interlaced polynomial lattice rules within the affine framework. It is apparent from Figure 3 that the observed rate of convergence is actually slightly better than the expected rate. This may be attributed to the fact that the dependence of the solution to the parametric variable is analytic. For the solutions obtained using the affine model in Figure 3, the interlacing factor actually acts as a bottleneck, capping the convergence rate at . Similar numerical behavior for interlaced polynomial lattice rules has been previously reported, e.g., in [10].
In our second experiment, we consider the problem of approximating
[TABLE]
The parameters and weights used for the construction of the rank-1 lattice rules with the periodic diffusion coefficient (2.2) as well as the interlaced polynomial lattice rules generated for the affine diffusion coefficient (5.2) are exactly the same as in the first numerical experiment. The results are displayed in Figures 5 and 6. We find that the general trend of the results matches that of the first numerical experiment, with the observed rates being at least as good as the expected rates with the scaling parameters , while the results obtained for the periodic model with and appear to remain in the preasymptotic regime.
Remark. Since the higher order moments of the input random fields (2.2) and (5.2) are in general different, so are the corresponding solutions to the respective integration problems. Making a direct numerical comparison of the values obtained in either setting is therefore not sensible.
Conclusions
From a modeling point of view, there does not seem to be a reason to prefer an affine expansion of a random field over a periodic expansion. Yet in the context of uncertainty quantification for PDEs with uncertain coefficients, we have seen that the model chosen for the random coefficient can make all the difference between obtaining essentially linear convergence with the affine model on the one hand, and on the other hand higher order convergence with the periodic model using rank-1 lattice cubature rules for the task of approximating the response statistics of the system. Higher order convergence can also be obtained with the affine model using, for example, interlaced polynomial lattice rules, but the overwhelming simplicity of constructing rank-1 lattice cubature rules makes the periodic framework a very enticing model for solving PDE problems equipped with uncertain coefficients. We have also presented numerical experiments that assess the QMC error derived in this work, in which the results are at least as good as those for a comparable affine model with interlaced polynomial lattice rules.
Acknowledgements
We gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the Australian Research Council (DP180101356). We are also grateful to Fabio Nobile and Yoshihito Kazashi for collaboration on a related joint project that led to the inception of this paper. Frances Kuo thanks the participants from the Oberwolfach Workshop 1911 on Uncertainty Quantification for stimulating discussions about this work.
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