Intermittency and infinite variance: the case of integrated supOU processes
Danijel Grahovac, Nikolai N. Leonenko, Murad S. Taqqu

TL;DR
This paper investigates integrated supOU processes, revealing that they can exhibit intermittency even with heavy-tailed, infinite variance distributions, expanding understanding of their complex statistical behaviors.
Contribution
It demonstrates that intermittency occurs in integrated supOU processes with heavy-tailed, infinite variance marginals, a novel insight into their stochastic properties.
Findings
Intermittency can occur with heavy-tailed, infinite variance distributions.
Integrated supOU processes satisfy limit theorems with complex behaviors.
Heavy tails influence the moments and dependence structure.
Abstract
SupOU processes are superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes with a random intensity parameter. They are stationary processes whose marginal distribution and dependence structure can be specified independently. Integrated supOU processes have then stationary increments and satisfy central and non-central limit theorems. Their moments, however, can display an unusual behavior known as "intermittency". We show here that intermittency can also appear when the processes have a heavy tailed marginal distribution and, in particular, an infinite variance.
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**Intermittency and infinite variance: the case of integrated supOU processes
Danijel Grahovac1***[email protected], Nikolai N. Leonenko2†††[email protected], Murad S. Taqqu3‡‡‡[email protected]
**
1 Department of Mathematics, University of Osijek, Trg Ljudevita Gaja 6, 31000 Osijek, Croatia
2 School of Mathematics, Cardiff University, Senghennydd Road, Cardiff, Wales, UK, CF24 4AG
3 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215, USA
**Abstract: ** SupOU processes are superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes with a random intensity parameter. They are stationary processes whose marginal distribution and dependence structure can be specified independently. Integrated supOU processes have then stationary increments and satisfy central and non-central limit theorems. Their moments, however, can display an unusual behavior known as “intermittency”. We show here that intermittency can also appear when the processes have a heavy tailed marginal distribution and, in particular, an infinite variance.
**Keywords: ** supOU processes, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, absolute moments, limit theorems, infinite variance
**MSC2010: ** 60F05, 60G52, 60G10
1 Introduction
Superpositions of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type (supOU) processes provide models with analytically and stochastically tractable dependence structure displaying either weak or strong dependence and also having marginal distributions that are infinitely divisible. They have applications in environmental studies, ecology, meteorology, geophysics, biology, see Barndorff-Nielsen et al. (2015, 2018); Podolskij (2015) and the references therein. The supOU processes are particularly relevant in finance and the statistical theory of turbulence since they can model key stylized features of observational series from finance and turbulence (see e.g. Barndorff-Nielsen et al. (2018); Barndorff-Nielsen & Schmiegel (2004); Barndorff-Nielsen & Shephard (2001); Barndorff-Nielsen & Stelzer (2013); Barndorff-Nielsen & Veraart (2013); Barndorff-Nielsen & Leonenko (2005a); Stelzer & Zavišin (2015)). Recently in Kelly et al. (2013), the supOU processes have even been used to assess the mass of black hole.
SupOU processes form a rich class of stationary processes with a flexible dependence structure. They are defined as integrals with respect to an infinitely divisible random measure (see Section 2) and their distribution is determined by the characteristic quadruple
[TABLE]
where is some Lévy-Khintchine triplet (see e.g. Sato (1999)) and is a probability measure on . In the construction of the supOU process , the choice of uniquely characterizes the one-dimensional marginals. These do not depend on the choice of . The probability distribution affects the dependence structure however. See Section 2 and Barndorff-Nielsen (2001); Barndorff-Nielsen et al. (2018); Barndorff-Nielsen & Stelzer (2011, 2013); Barndorff-Nielsen & Veraart (2013); Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al. (2019) for details.
By aggregating the supOU process one obtains the integrated supOU process
[TABLE]
A suitably normalized integrated process exhibits complex limiting behavior. Indeed, if the underlying supOU process has finite variance, then four classes of processes may arise in a classical limiting scheme (Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a)). Namely, the limit process may be Brownian motion, fractional Brownian motion, a stable Lévy process or a stable process with dependent increments. The type of limit depends on whether the Gaussian component is present in (1) or not, on the behavior of in (1) near the origin and on the growth of the Lévy measure in (1) near the origin (see Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a) for details). In the infinite variance case, the limiting behavior is even more complex as the limit process may additionally depend on the regular variation index of the marginal distribution (see Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019b) for details). The limiting behavior of the integrated process has practical significance since supOU processes may be used as stochastic volatility models, see Barndorff-Nielsen (1997); Barndorff-Nielsen & Shephard (2001) and the references therein. In this setting the integrated process represents the integrated volatility (see e.g. Barndorff-Nielsen & Stelzer (2013)). Moreover, the limiting behavior is important for statistical estimation (see Nguyen & Veraart (2018); Stelzer et al. (2015)).
The integrated supOU process may exhibit another interesting limiting property related to behavior of their absolute moments in time. Although a suitably normalized integrated process satisfies a limit theorem, it may happen that its moments do not converge beyond some critical order. One way to investigate this behavior is to measure the rate of growth of moments by the scaling function, defined for a generic process as
[TABLE]
assuming the limit in (3) exists and is finite. We will often focus on
[TABLE]
which has the advantage of involving which has the same units as . The values are assumed to be in the range of finite moments , where
[TABLE]
To see how this is related to limit theorems, suppose that satisfies a limit theorem in the form
[TABLE]
with a sequence of constants and convergence in the sense of convergence of all finite-dimensional distributions as . By Lamperti’s theorem (see, for example, (Pipiras & Taqqu, 2017, Theorem 2.8.5)), the limit is -self-similar for some , that is, for any constant , the finite-dimensional distributions of are the same as those of . Moreover, the normalizing sequence is of the form for some slowly varying at infinity. For self-similar process, the moments evolve as a power function of time since and therefore the scaling function of is . If for some we have
[TABLE]
then the scaling function of would also be (see (Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al., 2019, Theorem 1)), and the function
[TABLE]
would be constant over values of for which (4) holds.
It was shown in Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al. (2019) that the integrated supOU process may have the scaling function
[TABLE]
for a certain range of . Thus its scaling function is different from that of a self-similar process. This situation happens, for example, for a non-Gaussian integrated supOU process with marginal distribution having exponentially decaying tails and probability measure in (1) regularly varying at zero.
Note that the relation (6) implies that the function
[TABLE]
is not constant. It has points of strict increase, a property referred to as intermittency. This term is used in all kind of different contexts. It refers in general to an unusual moment behavior and is used in various applications such as turbulence, magnetohydrodynamics, rain and cloud studies, physics of fusion plasmas (see e.g. (Frisch, 1995, Chapter 8) or Zel’dovich et al. (1987)).
Hence, intermittency implies that the usual convergence of moments (4) must not hold beyond some critical value of . The papers Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al. (2019); Grahovac et al. (2016); Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a) provide a complete picture on the behavior of moments in the case where has finite variance .
We focus hereon the limiting behavior of moments and on the intermittency in the case where has infinite variance and show that we can have intermittency even in this case. To establish the rate of growth of moments we make use of the limit theorems established in Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019b). The type of the limiting process depends heavily on the structure of the underlying supOU process. Hence, the form of the scaling function of the integrated process will depend on the several parameters related to the quadruple (1). Special care is needed since the range of finite moments is limited. We show that the scaling function may look like a broken line indicating that there is a change-point in the rate of growth of moments. Hence, infinite variance integrated supOU processes may also exhibit the phenomenon of intermittency. Our results also indicate that in some cases, if we decompose the process into several components, the intermittency of the finite variance component may remain hidden by the infinite moments of the infinite variance component. We conclude that moments may have limited capability in identifying unusual limiting behavior.
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 we introduce notation and assumptions. Section 3 contains the main results and all the proofs are given in Section 4.
2 Preliminaries and assumptions
We shall use the notation
[TABLE]
to denote the cumulant (generating) function of a random variable . For a stochastic process we write , and by suppressing we mean , that is the cumulant function of the random variable .
2.1 SupOU processes
The class of supOU processes has been introduced by Barndorff-Nielsen in Barndorff-Nielsen (2001) as follows. Let be the product of a probability measure on and the Lebesgue measure on . A homogeneous infinitely divisible random measure (Lévy basis) on with control measure is a random measure such that the cumulant function of the random variable , where has finite measure, equals
[TABLE]
Here is the cumulant function of some infinitely divisible random variable with Lévy-Khintchine triplet i.e.
[TABLE]
The Lévy process associated with the triplet is called the background driving Lévy process (see Barndorff-Nielsen & Shephard (2001)). It has independent stationary increments and thus, its finite-dimensional distributions depend only on the distribution of .
The supOU process is a strictly stationary process given by the stochastic integral (Barndorff-Nielsen (2001))
[TABLE]
By appropriately choosing the infinitely divisible distribution , one can obtain any self-decomposable distribution as a marginal distribution of . Note that the one-dimensional marginals of the supOU process are independent on the choice of . The probability measure “randomizes” the rate parameter in (8) and the Lebesgue measure is associated with the moving average variable . The quadruple given in (1) determines the law of the supOU process . More details about supOU processes can be found in Barndorff-Nielsen (2001); Barndorff-Nielsen et al. (2018); Barndorff-Nielsen & Leonenko (2005b); Barndorff-Nielsen et al. (2013); Barndorff-Nielsen & Stelzer (2011); Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al. (2019).
We will consider below supOU processes with marginal distributions in the domain of attraction of stable law. Recall that a stable distribution with parameters , , and , has a cumulant function of the form:
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
When , then is strictly stable if and only if . For , is strictly stable if and only if .
2.2 Basic assumptions
We now state a set of assumptions for the class of supOU processes we consider.
Assumption 1**.**
The supOU process is such that the following holds:
- (i)
The marginal distribution satisfies
[TABLE]
for some , , and some slowly varying function If , we assume . When the mean is finite, we assume . 2. (ii)
* has a density satisfying*
[TABLE]
for some and some slowly varying function and
[TABLE] 3. (iii)
The behavior at the origin of the Lévy measure is given by
[TABLE]
for some , , , .
Assumption 1(i) implies that the marginal distribution is in the domain of attraction of an infinite variance stable law with (see (Ibragimov & Linnik, 1971, Theorem 2.6.1))
[TABLE]
Note that this is a strictly stable law since if . By (Fasen & Klüppelberg, 2007, Propositon 3.1), the tail of the distribution function of is asymptotically equivalent to the tail of the background driving Lévy process at . More precisely, as
[TABLE]
Hence, (10) implies
[TABLE]
and is in the domain of attraction of stable distribution .
The next assumption, Assumption 1(ii), concerns the dependence structure controlled by the behavior near the origin of the probability measure in the characteristic quadruple (1). In the finite variance case, is directly related to the correlation function of the supOU process :
[TABLE]
Hence, by a Tauberian argument, the decay of the correlation function at infinity is related to the decay of the distribution function of at zero (see (Fasen & Klüppelberg, 2007, Proposition 2.6)). We assume has a density for simplicity. Note that if the variance of the supOU process is finite and , then the correlation function is not integrable, and the finite variance supOU process may be said to exhibit long-range dependence. On the other hand, note that the tail distribution of does not affect the tail behavior of , and in particular the decay of correlations. Hence it is not very restrictive to assume that (12) holds.
In Assumption 1(iii), the Lévy measure is assumed to have a power law behavior near the origin which will give rise to another parameter affecting the limiting behavior. We have excluded a boundary cases to simplify the presentation of the results. If (13) holds, then is the Blumenthal-Getoor index of the Lévy measure defined by (see Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a))
[TABLE]
Note that by (Kyprianou, 2014, Lemma 7.15), and as , hence we can express (16) equivalently as
[TABLE]
Hence, all the assumptions can be stated in terms of the characteristic quadruple (1). The condition (13) may be equivalently stated in terms of the Lévy measure of . Indeed, if is the Lévy measure of , then (13) is equivalent to (see Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a) for details)
[TABLE]
3 Main results
As stated in the introduction, we are interested in establishing the rate of growth of moments of the integrated process (2), measured by the scaling function defined by (3). We particularly focus on whether the scaling function exhibits non-linearities. The situation is more delicate than in the finite variance case since the range of finite moments is limited and the scaling function of the integrated process is well-defined only over the interval .
We will show that infinite variance supOU processes may exhibit the phenomenon of intermittency. We first consider the case when the underlying supOU process has no Gaussian component (). The obtained scaling functions for this case are shown in Figures 1(a)-1(d).
Theorem 3.1**.**
Suppose that Assumption 1 holds and . Then the scaling function of the process is as follows:
- (a)
If or if and , then
[TABLE] 2. (b)
If , then
[TABLE] 3. (c)
If , then
[TABLE] 4. (d)
If , then
[TABLE]
Note that the scaling function has a change-point in only two of the cases of Theorem 3.1. Hence intermittency appears only in cases (b) and (c) of Theorem 3.1 shown in Figures 1(b) and 1(c), respectively. One can notice that infinite order moments may hide the intermittency property as they limit the domain of the scaling function.
The proof of Theorem 3.1 is given in Subsection 4.3. It is based on the decomposition of the integrated process into independent components , and that correspond to characteristic quadruples , and , respectively. In Section 4 we derive the scaling functions of , and and then combine these to get the scaling function of the integrated process . This is illustrated in Figure 2 in Subsection 4.3.
The finite variance component exhibits intermittency in all cases, however, this is not always apparent from the scaling function of the process . In these cases, the change point in the scaling function of is to the right of the moment index and the scaling function of remains linear on (see Figures 2(a), 2(b), 2(c) and 2(f) in Subsection 4.3). Hence, infinite order moments may hide the behavior of the intermittent component.
We next state the result for the supOU process with Gaussian component (). The scaling functions for this case are shown in Figures 1(e)-1(f).
Theorem 3.2**.**
Suppose that Assumption 1 holds and . Then the scaling function of the process is as follows:
- (a)
If or if and , then
[TABLE] 2. (b)
If and , then
[TABLE]
Note that if the Gaussian component is present, then the scaling function displays no intermittency. For example, even if the scaling functions of the two components and have a change-point, this cannot be seen from the scaling function of due to infinite moments (see Figures 4(c), 4(d), 4(e) in Subsection 4.3).
4 Proofs
For the proofs of the main results, we first make a decomposition of the integrated process into components that have different limiting behavior. We then compute the scaling functions of these components and finally combine them to get the scaling function of the integrated process.
4.1 The basic decomposition
The decomposition is based on the Lévy-Itô decomposition of the background driving Lévy process . Let
[TABLE]
where is the Lévy measure of the Lévy process . Then we can make a decomposition of the Lévy basis into independent components:
- •
with characteristic quadruple ,
- •
with characteristic quadruple ,
- •
with characteristic quadruple .
Note that if has finite mean, then the assumption implies that (see (Barndorff-Nielsen, 2001, Eq. (2.8))) and we must have (see e.g. (Sato, 1999, Ex. 25.12)). Let , and , denote the corresponding background driving Lévy processes so that we have the following cumulant functions:
[TABLE]
Note that is a compound Poisson process and is Brownian motion. Consequently, we can represent as
[TABLE]
with , and independent. In the following, , and will denote the corresponding integrated processes which are independent.
Before we proceed, we note here two technical facts that will be used in the proofs below. The first is a stochastic Fubini theorem related to the change of the order of integration for the integrated process. It has been used implicitly in many references (see e.g. Barndorff-Nielsen (2001); Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al. (2019); Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a)).
Lemma 4.1**.**
For the integrated supOU process one has
[TABLE]
where .
Proof.
If , then we can directly use a stochastic Fubini theorem given in (Barndorff-Nielsen & Basse-O’Connor, 2011, Theorem 3.1). The conditions of Theorem 3.1 and Remark 3.2 in (Barndorff-Nielsen & Basse-O’Connor, 2011, Theorem 3.1) boil down to showing that
- (i)
for every , is in the Musielak-Orlicz space , that is
[TABLE] 2. (ii)
it holds that
[TABLE]
By (Rajput & Rosinski, 1989, Theorem 3.3), coincides with the space of -integrable functions such that . Theorem 3.1 of Barndorff-Nielsen (2001) shows that is -integrable and since we have assumed , we conclude that condition (i) holds. By the change of variables we get
[TABLE]
hence, (ii) follows from (i).
Suppose now that . We can decompose the Lévy basis similarly as in (19) into independent Lévy basis with characteristic quadruple , , and with characteristic quadruple , . For the integral with respect to we can apply (Barndorff-Nielsen & Basse-O’Connor, 2011, Theorem 3.1) as in the previous case. It remains to consider , which is a compound Poisson random measure and can be written as
[TABLE]
where is a Poisson random measure on with intensity . We can represent as
[TABLE]
where are the jump times of a Poisson process on with intensity , is an i.i.d. sequence with distribution , is an i.i.d. sequence with distribution and all three sequences are independent (see e.g. Fasen & Klüppelberg (2007)). The supOU process can then be represented as
[TABLE]
The second sum has finitely many terms a.s. due to term, hence one can change the order of integration when integrating with respect to . For the first sum, we have by using the inequality , ,
[TABLE]
The right-hand side is finite since it is the integral of with respect to compound Poisson random measure with intensity (see e.g. Last & Penrose (2017)). By the classical Fubini-Tonelli theorem we can change the order of integration. This completes the proof of (20). ∎
The second fact concerns again in (20). Clearly for . The next lemma shows that for .
Lemma 4.2**.**
If the supOU process satisfies (10) for some , then for the integrated process we have for and every .
Proof.
We will show that for . By (20), is representable as an integral with respect to Lévy basis
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Hence, by (Rajput & Rosinski, 1989, Theorem 2.7), the distribution of is infinitely divisible and for Borel set , the Lévy measure of is given by
[TABLE]
In particular, for and , we have
[TABLE]
From (17), which is equivalent to (10), one has for any , a such that for . This implies that for , , where . The same argument can be used for . But this implies that , where and are positive constants. Hence, we have (see e.g. (Sato, 1999, Theorem 25.3)). ∎
4.2 Evaluation of the three scaling functions
We next investigate the scaling functions of each process , and separately. These results will then be combined to give the scaling function of the integrated process.
4.2.1 The scaling function of
The process has infinite moments of order greater than and its scaling function is well-defined for (see Lemma 4.2). Following (Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu, 2019b, Lemma 5.1 and 5.2), two processes may arise as a limit of after normalization.
If , then as
[TABLE]
where is the slowly varying function in (10), is the de Bruijn conjugate of and the limit is a -stable Lévy process such that with
[TABLE]
and and given by (14). Recall that the de Bruijn conjugate (Bingham et al., 1989, Subsection 1.5.7) of some slowly varying function is a slowly varying function such that
[TABLE]
as . By (Bingham et al., 1989, Theorem 1.5.13) such function always exists and is unique up to asymptotic equivalence.
If, on the other hand , then as
[TABLE]
where is de Bruijn conjugate of and the limit is -stable Lévy process such that with
[TABLE]
and given by
[TABLE]
We now consider convergence of moments in these limit theorems. First, if , then we get the following scaling function for the process .
Lemma 4.3**.**
If Assumption 1 holds and , then
[TABLE]
Proof.
Let and . We will show that is uniformly integrable so that as , where is as in (21).
First we recall some known results. If is some random variable, let denote its symmetrization, i.e. with and independent of . By (von Bahr & Esseen, 1965, Lemma 4), if , and , then
[TABLE]
On the other hand, if and , then we obtain from (Gut, 2013, Proposition 3.6.4) that
[TABLE]
where denotes the median of . Furthermore, one may express -th absolute moment, as (von Bahr & Esseen, 1965, Lemma 2)
[TABLE]
where is a constant.
Consider now the symmetrized random variable . The characteristic function of is , hence from (27) we get
[TABLE]
In order to bound the integral in (28), we shall first derive the bounds for . For this we make the decomposition from (8) by using Lemma 4.1:
[TABLE]
where we have used the fact that
[TABLE]
Since and are independent, we get
[TABLE]
Now we consider bounds for each term separately.
- •
For the first term on the right hand side we use some parts of the proof of (Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu, 2019b, Lemma 5.1). From the integration formula for the stochastic integral, for any -integrable function on , one has (see Rajput & Rosinski (1989))
[TABLE]
and we get that
[TABLE]
The assumption (16), together with (Ibragimov & Linnik, 1971, Theorem 2.6.4), imply that
[TABLE]
Since and is slowly varying at infinity, then, for arbitrary , in some neighborhood of the origin one has
[TABLE]
On the other hand, since , we have from (18) that
[TABLE]
since the Lévy measure is integrable on . By taking large enough we arrive at the bound
[TABLE]
Now we have from (32)
[TABLE]
We consider now each term separately. For the first term we proceed as in the proof of (Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu, 2019b, Lemma 5.1). If , then from the inequality , , we get
[TABLE]
since as , due to . If , then from the inequality it follows
[TABLE]
since as and due to (12). For case we may use the fact that , , to obtain
[TABLE]
Returning now to the second term (36), from the inequality , , we get
[TABLE]
By (11), for arbitrary , in some neighborhood of the origin it holds that . Hence we have
[TABLE]
since . We conclude finally from (35)-(36) that the following bound holds for
[TABLE]
- •
We now consider in (30). Because of (33) we can write
[TABLE]
where is slowly varying at zero such that as and is a cumulant function of a stable distribution as in (9). By (Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu, 2019b, Eq. (34)) we have that
[TABLE]
The definition of implies that (Bingham et al., 1989, Theorem 1.5.13)
[TABLE]
and due to slow variation of , for any , and , as
[TABLE]
By using Potter’s bounds (see (Bingham et al., 1989, Theorem 1.5.6)), we have from (39) that for any
[TABLE]
for large enough. By taking we get
[TABLE]
Since and (12) holds, we have
[TABLE]
We finally conclude from (38) that
[TABLE]
- •
We shall now put the bounds for the terms in (30) together. By using (37) and (40) one has from (30) that
[TABLE]
Since and , and are arbitrary, we may choose them so that and , hence
[TABLE]
This completes the derivation of the bound for
- •
We now turn to (28) to get a bound for the moment . We use (28), (41) and
[TABLE]
and get
[TABLE]
By (27), the terms on the right-hand side are -th absolute moments of -stable and -stable random variables with characteristic functions and , respectively. Since and , both integrals are finite. We conclude that the moment of the symmetrized integrated process is uniformly bounded. We now show this applies to the non-symmetrized process as well.
If , we may assume that and from (25) we have
[TABLE]
If , then from (25)
[TABLE]
Since converges in distribution, the median also converges (see e.g. (Van der Vaart, 2000, Lemma 21.2)), hence we can bound the second term on the right. This completes the proof of uniform integrability of , hence the convergence of moments. Since the limiting process is -self-similar, from (Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al., 2019, Theorem 1) we conclude that
[TABLE]
∎
For we have the following.
Lemma 4.4**.**
If Assumption 1 holds and , then
[TABLE]
Proof.
We first consider the case . The proof is similar to the proof of Lemma 4.3. We will prove that is uniformly integrable where now . We can assume . From (25), (28) and (42) it follows that
[TABLE]
We now derive bound for . Again we use the decomposition (29) and bound and separately.
- •
We consider first . From (34) we also have the following bound for
[TABLE]
and by using Potter’s bounds we have for
[TABLE]
By (11), we can write the density of in the form with slowly varying at infinity such that as . Hence from (32) we have
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
- •
We consider now . Analogous to (32) we obtain
[TABLE]
We shall assume that , the other case is similar. The change of variables yields
[TABLE]
where . From Potter’s bounds, for there is such that
[TABLE]
and by the definition of de Bruijn conjugate (Bingham et al., 1989, Theorem 1.5.13)
[TABLE]
Hence, for large enough
[TABLE]
and by inserting this in (46) we get
[TABLE]
Now we use the bound (34) valid for arbitrary to obtain
[TABLE]
We consider each term separately.
For we make change of variables and get
[TABLE]
where we have used the fact that the integral in the last line is finite due to and the choice of and .
Consider now . Since implies , we have for ,
[TABLE]
Returning back to (47) we conclude that
[TABLE]
From (30), (45) and (48) we get the bound for . Namely, for and arbitrary small there are constants such that
[TABLE]
Assuming e.g. that we have
[TABLE]
We use this to get the bound for the -th absolute moment as in the proof of Lemma 4.3. It follows from (44) that
[TABLE]
The terms on the right-hand side are -th absolute moments of -stable and -stable random variables with characteristic functions and , respectively. We are considering the case , hence these moments are finite if we choose small enough. Hence, is uniformly integrable, the moments converge and from (Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al., 2019, Theorem 1) we have that for . Since the scaling function is convex (see e.g. Grahovac et al. (2016)), hence continuous, we obtain
[TABLE]
- •
We now turn to the case in Lemma 4.4. We will show that for arbitrary
[TABLE]
for some constant and large enough. This implies that and completes the proof since is arbitrary. To show (49), we will use (44) with . First, by (29) and (31), we may express the cumulant function of as
[TABLE]
Making a change of variables and writing , with as , yields
[TABLE]
Take such that and and note that from (34) we have the bound
[TABLE]
Hence,
[TABLE]
Note that by the choice of , we have . By Potter’s bounds, for any we have that . Taking yields
[TABLE]
where we have used the inequality , , (12) and the fact that is probability measure. This completes the derivation of the bound for . Now we use (44) to get that
[TABLE]
The right hand side corresponds to the -th absolute moment of -stable random variable which is finite. Hence, (49) holds and this completes the proof.
∎
In case , for the moments of order in the range we are not able to obtain the exact form of the scaling function in Lemma 4.4. However, we provide a bound which will be enough for the proof of the main results later on. We conjecture that equality holds in (43). The proofs of Lemma 4.3 and Lemma 4.4 are particularly delicate because of the presence of infinite second moments.
4.2.2 The scaling function of
By the decomposition (19), is the integrated supOU process corresponding to a characteristic quadruple where and we assume . In particular, has finite variance since . Moreover, and exponential moment of is finite which by (Lukacs, 1970, Theorem 7.2.1) implies that the cumulant function of is analytic in the neighborhood of the origin and all moments are finite. Hence, we may use the results of Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a), namely Eq. (4.9), Theorem 4.2 and Theorem 4.3 from Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu (2019a). These results are stated here in the following lemma.
Lemma 4.5**.**
Suppose that Assumption 1 holds. Then the scaling function of the process is as follows:
- (a)
If , then
[TABLE]
where is the largest even integer less than or equal to and is the smallest even integer greater than . 2. (b)
If and , then
[TABLE] 3. (c)
If and , then
[TABLE]
Lemma 4.5(a) and convexity of the scaling function imply that for
[TABLE]
Note also that Lemma 4.5(a) implies that for which will be enough for the proofs of Theorems 3.1 and 3.2 below.
In contrast with the component , the scaling function of displays intermittency in any case covered by Lemma 4.5. Even in the short-range dependent scenario , intermittency appears for higher order moments.
4.2.3 The scaling function of
The process defined in (19) is a Gaussian process. Its scaling function is given in (Grahovac, Leonenko & Taqqu, 2019a, Theorem 4.1 and 4.4). Gaussian supOU processes do not display intermittency and their scaling function is linear over positive reals.This result is stated here in Lemma 4.6.
Lemma 4.6**.**
Suppose that Assumption 1 holds. Then the scaling function of the process is as follows:
- (a)
If , then
[TABLE] 2. (b)
If , then
[TABLE]
4.3 The scaling function of the integrated process
To derive the scaling function of the integrated process we will use the expressions for the scaling functions of components in the decomposition (19) and the following proposition which shows how to compute the scaling function of a sum of independent processes.
Proposition 4.1**.**
Let and be two independent processes with the scaling functions and , respectively, and suppose that for every if the mean is finite. Suppose and and are well-defined and positive. If , assume additionally that . Then the scaling function of the sum , evaluated at point , equals
[TABLE]
Proof.
Suppose that . For we can take large enough so that
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
From the inequality
[TABLE]
we have that
[TABLE]
where we used (50). Since was arbitrary, we conclude that .
We prove the reverse inequality for the case first. Note that in this case for every . For we have by using Jensen’s inequality that
[TABLE]
Letting and denote the distribution functions of and , respectively, we get by independence
[TABLE]
From here it follows that
[TABLE]
Suppose now that and let be an independent copy of the process , independent of . From (51) we have that
[TABLE]
Since is symmetric it follows that . From the identity
[TABLE]
we get by using (51) that
[TABLE]
Returning back to (52) we have
[TABLE]
We assumed that and without loss of generality let . For small enough we can take large enough so that
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
We conclude that
[TABLE]
By taking logarithms in (53), dividing by and letting , we get
[TABLE]
∎
We are now ready for the proofs of the main results.
Proof of Theorem 3.1.
We shall combine the results of Lemmas 4.3, 4.4 and 4.5 by using Proposition 4.1.
(a) Suppose that and split cases depending on the scaling function of .
- •
If , then from Lemma 4.5 for . Since , we have for
[TABLE]
- •
If and , then we have for
[TABLE]
since .
- •
If and , then for
[TABLE]
since .
(b) If and , then necessarily . For we have by Proposition 4.1 and by Lemmas 4.4 and 4.5 that
[TABLE]
Since we cannot use Proposition 4.1 for , but from (54), and the fact that the scaling function is always convex, we conclude using (Grahovac, Leonenko, Sikorskii, Taqqu et al., 2019, Lemma 2) that for also.
For we have
[TABLE]
(c) If , and , we have
[TABLE]
For the case , note that because we have . In Lemma 4.4 we showed that for and for we have . Hence we obtain
[TABLE]
(d) If , and , then by using the same arguments as in the previous case we get
[TABLE]
∎
One may follow the proof of Theorem 3.1 from Figure 2. Each subfigure shows the scaling function of in blue and the scaling function of in red. Following Proposition 4.1, the scaling function of the integrated process (thick green) is obtained by taking the maximum of these two functions. The vertical dotted line indicates the range of finite moments of and . The scaling function of is well-defined only in this range.
Proof of Theorem 3.2.
We will use the results of Theorem 3.1 and Lemma 4.6 and combine them using Proposition 4.1 so that
[TABLE]
(a) If , then for
[TABLE]
If and , then also and hence
[TABLE]
since .
(b) Suppose now that and .
- •
If , then
[TABLE]
since .
- •
If and , then we have
[TABLE]
Now implies and for we have . Hence,
[TABLE]
- •
If , and , then
[TABLE]
since and by the same argument as in the previous case.
- •
The same argument applies to case , and .
∎
Figures 3 and 4 illustrate the proof of Theorem 3.2. The scaling functions , and of each component are shown on each plot in red, blue and purple, respectively, while their maximum is denoted by the thick green line. Figure 3 is related to the case (a) of Theorem 3.2 and Figure 4 to the case (b) of Theorem 3.2. The figures are split based on different forms of the scaling functions of the three components , and .
Acknowledgements
Nikolai N. Leonenko was supported in particular by Cardiff Incoming Visiting Fellowship Scheme, International Collaboration Seedcorn Fund, Australian Research Council’s Discovery Projects funding scheme (project DP160101366) and the project MTM2015-71839-P of MINECO, Spain (co-funded with FEDER funds). Murad S. Taqqu was supported in part by the Simons foundation grant 569118 at Boston University. Danijel Grahovac was partially supported by the University of Osijek Grant ZUP2018-31.
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