# Stochastic Sampling Simulation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction

**Authors:** Cyrus Anderson, Xiaoxiao Du, Ram Vasudevan, Matthew Johnson-Roberson

arXiv: 1903.01860 · 2020-02-27

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a stochastic sampling simulation method to generate synthetic pedestrian trajectories, enabling effective training of deep neural networks for pedestrian prediction without extensive real-world data collection.

## Contribution

The novel simulation approach produces realistic synthetic data that, when used to train deep learning models, outperforms models trained on real annotated data.

## Key findings

- Synthetic trajectories improve prediction accuracy
- Training with synthetic data surpasses real data training
- Simulation reduces need for costly data annotation

## Abstract

Urban environments pose a significant challenge for autonomous vehicles (AVs) as they must safely navigate while in close proximity to many pedestrians. It is crucial for the AV to correctly understand and predict the future trajectories of pedestrians to avoid collision and plan a safe path. Deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown promising results in accurately predicting pedestrian trajectories, relying on large amounts of annotated real-world data to learn pedestrian behavior. However, collecting and annotating these large real-world pedestrian datasets is costly in both time and labor. This paper describes a novel method using a stochastic sampling-based simulation to train DNNs for pedestrian trajectory prediction with social interaction. Our novel simulation method can generate vast amounts of automatically-annotated, realistic, and naturalistic synthetic pedestrian trajectories based on small amounts of real annotation. We then use such synthetic trajectories to train an off-the-shelf state-of-the-art deep learning approach Social GAN (Generative Adversarial Network) to perform pedestrian trajectory prediction. Our proposed architecture, trained only using synthetic trajectories, achieves better prediction results compared to those trained on human-annotated real-world data using the same network. Our work demonstrates the effectiveness and potential of using simulation as a substitution for human annotation efforts to train high-performing prediction algorithms such as the DNNs.

## Full text

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## Figures

15 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1903.01860/full.md

## References

36 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1903.01860/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1903.01860