Mock galaxy shape catalogs in the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Survey
Masato Shirasaki, Takashi Hamana, Masahiro Takada, Ryuichi Takahashi,, Hironao Miyatake

TL;DR
This paper creates detailed mock galaxy shape catalogs for the Subaru HSC survey to evaluate statistical uncertainties in cosmic shear measurements, developing improved covariance models and analyzing the impact of biases.
Contribution
It introduces a comprehensive mock catalog generation method that accounts for survey effects and biases, enhancing the accuracy of cosmic shear covariance estimation.
Findings
Gaussian sample variance formula overestimates/underestimates by 50%
Photo-z catalogues and survey geometry cause ~5% covariance variation
Non-zero multiplicative bias affects shape noise and covariance estimates
Abstract
We use the full-sky ray-tracing weak lensing simulations to generate 2268 mock catalogues for the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) survey first-year shear catalogue. Our mock catalogues take into account various effects as in the real data: the survey footprints, inhomogeneous angular distribution of source galaxies, statistical uncertainties in photometric redshift (photo-) estimate, variations in the lensing weight, and the statistical noise in galaxy shape measurements including both intrinsic shapes and the measurement errors. We then utilize our mock catalogues to evaluate statistical uncertainties expected in measurements of cosmic shear two-point correlations with tomographic redshift information for the HSC survey. We develop a quasi-analytical formula for the Gaussian sample variance properly taking into account the number of source pairs in the survey footprints.ā¦
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Mock galaxy shape catalogues in the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Survey
Masato Shirasaki1, Takashi Hamana1, Masahiro Takada2, Ryuichi Takahashi3, and Hironao Miyatake2,4,5
1National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, Mitaka, Tokyo 181-8588, Japan
2Kavli Institute for the Physics and Mathematics of the Universe (WPI), The University of Tokyo Institutes for Advanced
Study (UTIAS), The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa-shi, Chiba, 277-8583, Japan
3Faculty of Science and Technology, Hirosaki University, 3 Bunkyo-cho, Hirosaki, Aomori, 036-8561, Japan
4Institute for Advanced Research, Nagoya University, Nagoya 464-8601, Japan
5Division of Physics and Astrophysical Science, Graduate School of Science, Nagoya University, Nagoya 464-8602, Japan E-mail: [email protected]
Abstract
We use the full-sky ray-tracing weak lensing simulations to generate 2268 mock catalogues for the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) survey first-year shear catalogue. Our mock catalogues take into account various effects as in the real data: the survey footprints, inhomogeneous angular distribution of source galaxies, statistical uncertainties in photometric redshift (photo-) estimate, variations in the lensing weight, and the statistical noise in galaxy shape measurements including both intrinsic shapes and the measurement errors. We then utilize our mock catalogues to evaluate statistical uncertainties expected in measurements of cosmic shear two-point correlations with tomographic redshift information for the HSC survey. We develop a quasi-analytical formula for the Gaussian sample variance properly taking into account the number of source pairs in the survey footprints. The standard Gaussian formula significantly overestimates or underestimates the mock results by 50% level. We also show that different photo- catalogues or the six disconnected fields, rather than a consecutive geometry, cause variations in the covariance by . The mock catalogues enable us to study the chi-square distribution for . We find the wider distribution than that naively expected for the distribution with the degrees-of-freedom of data vector used. Finally, we propose a method to include non-zero multiplicative bias in mock shape catalogue and show the non-zero multiplicative bias can change the effective shape noise in cosmic shear analyses. Our results suggest an importance of estimating an accurate form of the likelihood function (and therefore the covariance) for robust cosmological parameter inference from the precise measurements.
keywords:
gravitational lensing: weak ā cosmology: observations ā method: numerical
ā ā pagerange: Mock galaxy shape catalogues in the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam SurveyāLABEL:lastpageā ā pubyear: 2019
1 INTRODUCTION
Weak gravitational lensing is one of the main subjects in modern cosmology to improve our understanding of the universe at low redshifts. Gravitational lensing analysis has a distinct advantage over other probes, enabling to observe total matter density distributions along a line of sight in an unbiased way, regardless of states of matter density. Hence, statistical analyses of gravitational lensing data can provide a complete map of large-scale structures in the universe and rich cosmological information printed in the lensing data will reveal the nature of dark matter (e.g. Ichiki etĀ al., 2009; Markovic etĀ al., 2011; Kamada etĀ al., 2014) and the origin of cosmic acceleration (e.g. Weinberg etĀ al., 2013; Shirasaki etĀ al., 2017a). An attractive feature of weak lensing analyses leads to keen competition among different groups. Ongoing scientific programs include the Kilo-Degree Survey (KiDS111http://kids.strw.leidenuniv.nl/index.php), the Dark Energy Survey (DES222https://www.darkenergysurvey.org/), and the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Survey (HSC333http://hsc.mtk.nao.ac.jp/ssp/), while the Wide Field Infrared Survey Telescope (WFIRST444https://wfirst.gsfc.nasa.gov/), the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST555https://www.lsst.org/), and Euclid666http://sci.esa.int/euclid/ will aim at measuring the gravitational lensing effect on distant galaxies with higher precision than the current surveys by covering a wider sky coverage and collecting fainter source galaxies.
As rich lensing data set becomes available and analysis method becomes diverse, robust estimation of statistical uncertainty in the analyses gains importance (e.g. Hartlap etĀ al., 2007; Taylor etĀ al., 2013; Friedrich etĀ al., 2016; Sellentin & Heavens, 2017; Friedrich & Eifler, 2018) and a number of systematic effects must be addressed (Massey etĀ al., 2013; Mandelbaum, 2017). A possible approach to overcome these challenges is to carry out numerical simulations which capture the relevant gravitational physics for lensing analyses and create a mock catalogue of lensing data by including various observational effects with appropriate recipe.
Heymans et al. (2012) have utilized 185 independent realizations of CLONE catalogue (Harnois-Déraps et al., 2012) and produced the mock shape catalogues of the Canada-France-Hawaii Lensing Survey (CFHTLenS). The CFHTLenS mock catalogues have a high angular resolution of 0.2 arcmin but also suffer from small sky coverages. It is worth noting single CFHTLenS mock can cover 12.84 square degrees and the robust estimation of cosmic shear covariance is limited in the angular range of arcmin. Hildebrandt et al. (2017) have improved the production of mock catalogues for first 450 squared degrees of KiDS (KiDS450) data compared to the case in CFHTLenS by increasing the simulation volume and the number of independent realizations (Harnois-Déraps & van Waerbeke, 2015). \textcolorblackThe KiDS450 mock catalogues have been produced from 1025 independent set of -body simulations with the box size of and the sky coverage of each mock realization is set to be 100 squared degrees. (see Harnois-Déraps et al., 2018, for details). Note that either of CFHTLenS and KiDS450 mock catalogue is not designed to cover the survey footprint in a single realization.
Becker etĀ al. (2016) have considered the mock catalogue production by performing ray-tracing simulation on a curved sky (Becker, 2013) and the resulting mock catalogue for DES Science Verification (DES SV) data can cover whole survey footprint of DES SV data (139 squared degrees). Nevertheless, the number of independent mock catalogues is only 126 since the mock catalogues are based on single full-sky lensing simulation. Hence, direct covariance estimation from mock catalogues seems very challenging with DES SV mocks alone. The DES collaboration recently updated their weak lensing analyses with DES Year 1 (DES Y1) data (Troxel etĀ al., 2018a). The fiducial pipeline to evaluate the statistical uncertainty of cosmological analyses with DES Y1 data relies on the analytic approach developed in Eifler etĀ al. (2014); Krause & Eifler (2017); Krause etĀ al. (2017). They validated their analytic approach by using mock catalogues of DES Y1 data, while the DES Y1 mock catalogue is based on log-normal simulation which is the approximated version of -body simulation. It is uncertain if the approach developed in DES Y1 analyses works in other lensing surveys with a high source number density, such as the Subaru HSC (Mandelbaum etĀ al., 2018a), since accurate modeling of non-linear gravitational growth becomes essential as source number density increases.
This paper presents a set of mock catalogues for the first data of Subaru HSC lensing survey, referred to as HSC S16A. The HSC S16A mock catalogues are based on 108 quasi-independent full-sky simulations (Takahashi etĀ al., 2017). Making the best use of full-sky coverage, we extract six separated fields in HSC S16A survey footprint from a full-sky simulation multiple times. In the end, we produce 2268 realizations of HSC S16A mock catalogue with the same sky coverage as the actual shape catalogue. We apply the method in Shirasaki etĀ al. (2017b) to the HSC S16A data when producing individual mock catalogues. Our pipeline in mock catalogue production refers both of simulated lensing data and observed galaxy images on object-by-object basis. Hence, our mock catalogues have the exact same features appeared in the real catalogue, such as the angular position, the posterior distribution of photometric redshift, and the lensing weight of each source galaxy. According to the above features, our mock catalogues can be applied to any cosmic shear analyses with the HSC S16A shape catalogue and will be useful to evaluate the statistical uncertainty and validate the analysis pipeline. In this paper, we validate our mock catalogues by measuring two-point correlation functions of galaxy shapes and comparing with the mock covariance of and a theoretical prediction in detail. \textcolorblackNote that the mock catalogs in this paper will be used in our forthcoming cosmological studies with HSC S16A, including cosmic shear analysis on real space (Hamana et al. in prep) and galaxy-galaxy lensing analysis (Miyatake et al. in prep)
This paper is organized as follows. In SectionĀ 2, we introduce the basics of gravitational lensing in galaxy imaging surveys and a theoretical framework to compute the expectation value of and its statistical uncertainty. We then describe the HSC S16A shape catalogue which is used for cosmological analyses in first HSC data release in SectionĀ 3. The production procedure of the HSC S16A mock catalogues is summarized in SectionĀ 4. In SectionĀ 5, we compare the average and the covariance of at four different redshifts measured in 2268 mock catalogues with their theoretical predictions. Apart from detailed comparisons with mock results and analytic models, we also study the impact of field variance in the HSC S16A footprint and methodological difference in source redshift estimation on the mock covariance of . In addition, we quantify the likelihood function of observed in the HSC S16A analysis by using 2268 mock observations. Furthermore, we introduce a method to include non-zero mulitiplicative bias in our HSC S16A mock catalogues in an analysis-dependent way. We conclude this paper in SectionĀ 6.
2 WEAK GRAVITATIONAL LENSING
2.1 Basics
We first summarize the basics of gravitational lensing induced by large-scale structure. Weak gravitational lensing effect is usually characterized by the distortion of image of a source object by the following 2D matrix:
[TABLE]
where represents the observed position of a source object, is the true position, is the convergence, and is the shear. In the weak lensing regime (i.e., ), each component of can be related to the second derivative of the gravitational potential (Bartelmann & Schneider, 2001). Using the Poisson equation and the Born approximation, one can express the weak lensing convergence field as the weighted integral of matter overdensity field \delta_{\rm m}(\mbox{\boldmathx}):
[TABLE]
where is the comoving distance, is the comoving distance up to and is called lensing kernel. For a given redshift distribution of source galaxies, the lensing kernel is expressed as
[TABLE]
where is the angular diameter distance and represents the redshift distribution of source galaxies normalized to \textcolorblack.
Power spectrum is a relevant statistical quantity in two-point correlation analysis in weak lensing surveys. For two source galaxy populations with different , it is defined as
[TABLE]
where is the Fourier counterpart of convergence, the indices and represent any two source populations, \delta^{(n)}(\mbox{\boldmathx}) is the Dirac delta function in -dimensional space, and is the convergence power spectrum. Under the Limber approximation (Limber, 1954), we can express the power spectrum as
[TABLE]
where is the lensing kernel for the source catalogue ā" and it is defined as in Eq.Ā (3). In Eq.Ā (5), represents the non-linear matter power spectrum for wavelength of at redshift .
2.2 Cosmic shear
\textcolor
blackThe observed galaxy shape is commonly used as an estimator of weak-lensing shear . \textcolorblackIn this paper, we use distortion of galaxy as an estimator, and denote it as . \textcolorblackThe definition of is provided in Eq. (19). In wide-area galaxy imaging surveys, a correlation function method is most conventionally used for cosmological analysis (e.g. Hildebrandt et al., 2017, Köhlinger et al., 2017, van Uitert et al., 2018, Troxel et al., 2018a, Hikage et al., 2018 and see Köhlinger et al., 2017, van Uitert et al., 2018 for some exceptions). One can estimate the correlation function by cross-correlating lensing shear of two galaxies as a function of separation angles:
[TABLE]
where the average is done over all pairs of galaxies separated by a fixed separation angle, in the above case. In Eq.Ā (6), we define the tangential and cross components of as
[TABLE]
where represents the polar angle of separation vector between two galaxies from the 1st axis, .
In the absence of residual systematic errors in galaxy shape measurement, the expectation value of for two source populations is given, e.g. in Bartelmann & Schneider (2001), by
[TABLE]
where are the zero-th and fourth order Bessel functions of the first kind, respectively. The zero-th order Bessel function should be adopted for , while the fourth one is for .
Schneider etĀ al. (2002) showed that the two point correlation functions of lensing shear are estimated in an unbiased way by averaging distortions over pairs of galaxies. In practice, the estimator is calculated by
[TABLE]
where is weight related to shape measurement of -th galaxy in catalogue āā, is the responsivity777The factor of is needed for conversion of distortion to lensing shear , due to the definition of distortion used in this paper (see Eq.Ā (19) in Bernstein & Jarvis, 2002). for catalogue āā, \Delta_{\theta}(\mbox{\boldmath\phi})=1 for and zero otherwise. The expectation value of this estimator is evaluated by an ensemble average of the shear field and it is known to be unbiased, i.e. .
2.3 Statistical uncertainties of
cosmic shear correlation functions
We then consider statistical uncertainties of cosmic shear correlation functions defined in SectionĀ 2.2. For our observables, the covariance matrix is commonly adopted for an evaluation of the statistical uncertainties. The covariance matrix of two-point correlation function, denoted as , can be decomposed into three parts:
[TABLE]
where {\mbox{\boldmathC}}_{\rm G} represents the Gaussian error, and other two terms denote the non-Gaussian errors arising from the four-point correlations of matter field in large-scale structure. The contribution {\mbox{\boldmathC}}_{\rm cNG} arises from the four-point correlation within a given survey area (Cooray & Hu, 2001; Takada & Jain, 2009), while the term {\mbox{\boldmathC}}_{\rm SSC} arises from correlations between sub-survey (observable) modes and super-survey (unobservable) modes comparable with or greater than the size of a survey window (SSC stands for Super Sample Covariance; Takada & Hu, 2013).
2.3.1 Gaussian covariance
Following Joachimi etĀ al. (2008), we use a formula for the Gaussian covariance expressed in terms of the convergence power spectrum:
[TABLE]
where is the survey area and we use the notation of for and for and so on. In the above, represents the observed convergence power spectrum which includes a contribution of intrinsic shape noise of source galaxies. It is given by
[TABLE]
where is the Kronecker delta function, and are the rms of intrinsic galaxy distortions per component and the mean source number density in catalogue āā, respectively. Note in terms of notations we introduce below: the shape noise arises from a sum of the āintrinsicā distortion and the measurement error. On large scales comparable to the size of a survey window, the Gaussian prediction of Eq.Ā (12) will be inaccurate because Eq.Ā (12) ignores the boundary effect of survey window. This finite area effect will be important for the HSCS16A data with sky coverage of squared degrees. Sato etĀ al. (2011) developed the method to correct for the finite area effect of Gaussian covariance based on the direct pair counting of observed galaxies. We extend their method to make it valid for tomographic analyses in AppendixĀ A. A similar investigation of the impact of survey geometry on covariance estimation is found in Troxel etĀ al. (2018b). It is worth noting that this study focuses on the case where the shape noise is less important, while Troxel etĀ al. (2018b) mainly studied the effect of survey geometry on shape noise covariances.
2.3.2 Non-Gaussian covariance
The non-Gaussian covariance term of Eq.Ā (9) is expressed as the sum of following two contributions:
[TABLE]
where denotes the convergence trispectrum describing the four-point correlation function in Fourier space. Using the Limber approximation, the connected trispectrum in Eq.Ā (14) can be computed (e.g., Cooray & Hu, 2001; Takada & Jain, 2009) as
[TABLE]
where \mbox{\boldmath\ell}_{1}+\mbox{\boldmath\ell}_{2}+\mbox{\boldmath\ell}_{3}+\mbox{\boldmath\ell}_{4}=0 and is the trispectrum of cosmic matter density field. On the other hand, the SSC trispectrum can be expressed in Takada & Hu (2013) as
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
and , is the linear matter power spectrum, and is the Fourier transform of survey window function. Note we define the window function so that \Omega_{s}=\int{\rm d}^{2}\theta\,W(\mbox{\boldmath\theta}). In Eq.Ā (17), describes the response of power spectrum to a fluctuation in background density . The SSC trispectrum arises from the four point correlation with squeezed quadrilaterals including a shared infinite wavelength mode.
3 Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Survey
Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) is a wide-field imaging camera on the prime focus of the 8.2-meter Subaru telescope (Miyazaki etĀ al., 2015; Aihara etĀ al., 2018; Komiyama etĀ al., 2018; Furusawa etĀ al., 2018; Miyazaki etĀ al., 2018). Among three layers in the HSC survey, the Wide layer will cover 1400 in five broad photometric bands () over 5-6 years, with excellent image quality of sub-arcsec seeing. In this paper, we use a catalogue of galaxy shapes that has been generated for cosmological weak lensing analysis in the first year data release. The details of galaxy shape measurements and catalogue information are found in Mandelbaum etĀ al. (2018a).
In brief, the HSC S16A galaxy shape catalogue is based on the HSC Wide data taken from March 2014 to April 2016 with about 90 nights. We apply a number of cuts to construct a secure shape catalogue for weak lensing analysis (see Mandelbaum etĀ al., 2018a, for more details). The selection criteria include data selection with approximately full depth in all the 5 filters, a conservative magnitude cut of , removal of galaxies with PSF modeling failures and those located in the disconnected regions. The sky around bright stars are masked (Coupon etĀ al., 2018). As a result, the HSC S16A weak lensing shear catalogue covers 136.9Ā deg2 that consists of 6 disjoint patches: XMM, GAMA09H, GAMA15H, HECTOMAP, VVDS, and WIDE12H. In the HSC S16A shape catalogue, the shapes of galaxies are estimated on the -band coadded images using the re-Gaussianization PSF correction method (Hirata & Seljak, 2003). This method has been applied to the Sloan Digital Sky Survey data, from which the systematics of the method are well understood (Mandelbaum etĀ al., 2005, 2013). In the method, the distortion of a galaxy image is defined as
[TABLE]
where is the minor-to-major axis ratio and is the position angle of the major axis with respect to the equatorial coordinate system. The shear of each galaxy, , is estimated from the measured distortion as follows:
[TABLE]
where represents the response of our distortion definition to a small shear (Bernstein & Jarvis, 2002) given by
[TABLE]
where is the intrinsic root mean square (RMS) distortion per component. means the weighted average with galaxy weight which is defined as the inverse variance of the shape noise
[TABLE]
where represents the shape measurement error for each galaxy. The values and represent the multiplicative and additive biases in galaxy shapes. Mandelbaum etĀ al. (2018b) estimated both shape errors and biases on object-by-object basis by using image simulations. We fully utilize the information of shape errors to construct mock catalogues of HSC S16A galaxy shapes (see SectionĀ 4.2 for details). In each patch, the survey windows is defined such that 1) the number of visits within HEALPix pixels with NSIDE=1024 to be and the -band limiting magnitude to be greater than 25.6, 2) the PSF modeling is good enough to meet our requirements on PSF model size residuals and residual shear correlation functions, 3) there are no disconnected HEALPix pixels after the cut 1) and 2), and 4) the galaxies do not lie within the bright object masks. For details of defining these masks, see Mandelbaum etĀ al. (2018a).
The redshift distribution of source galaxies is estimated from the HSC five broadband photometry. Tanaka etĀ al. (2018) measured photometric redshifts (photo-ās) of galaxies in the HSC survey by using several different codes. Among them, we choose the photo- with a machine-learning code based on self-organizing map (MLZ) as a baseline888\textcolorblackThis is simply because the number of available photo- estimates is found to be largest in the photo-z catalogue based on MLZ.. To study the impact of photo- estimation with different methods, we consider three additional photo-ās estimated from a classical template-fitting code (Mizuki), a neural network code using the CModel photometry (ephor), and a hybrid code combining machine learning with template fitting (frankenz). When performing tomographic cosmic shear analyses, we divide the source galaxies into 4 subsamples by their best estimates (see Tanaka etĀ al., 2018) of the photo-ās () in the redshift range from 0.3 to 1.5 as done in cosmic shear power spectrum analysis in the HSC S16A data (Hikage etĀ al., 2018). The redshift range of each tomographic bin is set to be (, ), (, ), (, ), and (, ) for the binning number from 1 to 4. FigureĀ 1 shows the stacked posterior distribution of photo- of source galaxies in four different tomographic bins.
4 SIMULATIONS
4.1 Full-sky simulation
In order to construct the mock catalogues for weak lensing analyses in HSC, we utilize a large set of weak gravitational lensing simulations with all sky coverage. Here we briefly describe full-sky lensing catalogues999The full-sky light-cone simulation data are freely available for download at http://cosmo.phys.hirosaki-u.ac.jp/takahasi/allsky_raytracing/., while the details of these catalogues are found in Takahashi etĀ al. (2017) (also see Shirasaki etĀ al., 2017b). In Takahashi etĀ al. (2017), the authors performed a set of -body simulations with particles in cosmological volumes and used them to construct lensing and halo catalogues. They adopted the standard CDM cosmology that is consistent with the WMAP cosmology (Hinshaw etĀ al., 2013). The cosmological parameters are the CDM density parameter , the baryon density , the matter density , the cosmological constant , the Hubble parameter , the amplitude of density fluctuations , and the spectral index . In the following, we use 108 full-sky realizations in Takahashi etĀ al. (2017).
Full-sky weak gravitational lensing simulations have been performed with the standard multiple lens-plane algorithm (e.g. Hamana & Mellier, 2001; Becker, 2013; Shirasaki et al., 2015). In this simulation, one can take into account the light-ray deflection on the celestial sphere by using the projected matter density field given in the format of spherical shell (see, e.g. Fosalba et al., 2008, for the similar approach). The simulations used the projected matter fields in 38 shells in total, each of which was computed by projecting -body simulation realization over a radial width of , in order to make the light cone covering a cosmological volume up to . As a result, the lensing simulations consist of shear field at 38 different source redshifts with angular resolution of 0.43 arcmin. Each simulation data is given in the HEALPix format (Górski et al., 2005). The radial depth between nearest source redshifts is set to be in comoving distance, corresponding to the redshift interval of for z\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel<\over{\sim};}1.
4.2 Mock catalogues
We here describe the details of creating the mock shape catalogues in HSC S16A from 108 full-sky lensing simulations. To do this, we follow the approach developed in Shirasaki etĀ al. (2017b) (also see Shirasaki & Yoshida, 2014).
In our mock catalogues, we incorporate the full-sky simulations with observed photometric redshift and angular position of real galaxies. Provided that real catalogue of source galaxies, where each galaxy contains information on the position (RA and dec), shape, redshift and the lensing weight, the procedures in production of mock catalogues consists of five steps as follows:
(i)
Assign hypothetical RA and dec of survey window in the full-sky realization.
(ii)
Populate each source galaxy into one realization of the light-cone simulations according to its \textcolorblackoriginal angular position and redshift.
(iii)
Randomly rotate distortion of each source galaxy to erase the real lensing signal.
(iv)
Simulate the lensing distortion effect on each source galaxy by adding the lensing contribution at each foreground lens plane
(v)
Repeat the steps (ii) ā (iv) for all the source galaxies
We then summarize some additional treatments to take into account the specific features in HSC on step-by-step basis.
Step (i)
We pay a special attention to the positional relationship among HSC S16A regions. From a single full-sky simulation, we decide to make 21 mock shear catalogues by choosing the desired sky coverage of about 170 squared degrees which is the area when not taking into account masked regions and other cuts. Since 6 fields of HSC S16A are separated from each other, we define 21 different rotations on spherical coordinate so as to preserve the positional relationship among the HSC S16A fields. FigureĀ 2 demonstrates the rotation of two HSC fields named as GAMA09H and GAMA15H. We set these rotations so that we do not use the same locations on full sky as possible. We found the area fraction of overlapped regions is about 2% over 21 rotations. Note that we properly modify the simulated lensing field by taking into account the change of locally orthogonal coordinate system under a given rotation. Since 108 full-sky lensing simulations are available, we have = 2268 realizations of each region of HSC S16A in total. \textcolorblackUnder the rotation, we also keep the angular coordinates of individual source galaxies in the survey window. Hence, the source galaxies in our mock have exactly same angular information as in the real catalogue.
Step (ii)
When injecting each galaxy taken from the real HSC source catalogue into the light-cone simulation, we use the nearest pixel in the source plane at the nearest redshift, to those of the galaxy. In doing this we use a point redshift estimate of each galaxy, taken from a random sampling of the posterior distribution of MLZ photometric redshift estimate for the galaxy. It is worth noting that we randomly generate redshift distributions of source galaxies when making a different realization of the mock catalogues. Thus, our mock catalogues include effects of source galaxy properties (e.g., magnitudes, distortions and spatial variations in the number densities), statistical uncertainties in photometric redshifts and the survey geometry. Although we use MLZ photometric redshift estimate as our fiducial choice, we also examine how the results are changed by using different photo- catalogues, ephor, mizuki, and frankenz. We have created 2268 realizations for MLZ, while we have generated 210 realizations for ephor, mizuki, and frankenz.
Step (iii)
Rotating the observed distortion of each galaxy allows to eliminate real lensing distortions and \textcolorblackintrinsic alignment signal existing in galaxy images. Assuming the amplitude in observed distortion is mainly determined by the intrinsic shape, we can use this rotated distortion as a proxy of the intrinsic shape. Nevertheless, the observed distortion contains an additional scatter due to the shape measurement error. Following Oguri etĀ al. (2018) we simulate an āobservedā distortion of each galaxy taking into account both the intrinsic shape and measurement error. We first rotate the distortion of individual galaxies \mbox{\boldmath\epsilon}^{\rm obs} and obtain the rotated distortion as \mbox{\boldmath\epsilon}^{\rm ran}=\mbox{\boldmath\epsilon}^{\rm obs}e^{i\phi}, where is a random number between 0 and . Here we need to distinguish the intrinsic distortion from the measurement error because the shear responsivity depends only on the intrinsic shape noise (rms). We thus model the intrinsic shape \mbox{\boldmath\epsilon}^{\rm int} and measurement error \mbox{\boldmath\epsilon}^{\rm mea} from the following random generations:
[TABLE]
where is a random number drawn from a normal distribution with a standard deviation of . In the HSC shape catalogue, (parameter ishape_hsm_regauss_derived_rms_e) and (parameter ishape_hsm_regauss_derived_sigma_e) are provided on object-by-object basis.
Step (iv)
We then obtain the mock ellipticy \mbox{\boldmath\epsilon}^{\rm mock} (Miralda-Escude, 1991; Bernstein & Jarvis, 2002):
[TABLE]
where and and are simulated lensing effects at the galaxy position, taken from the light-cone simulation. Note in the weak lensing regime and we ignore any multiplicative and additive biases in mock catalogues in Eqs.Ā (24) and (25). Nevertheless, one can include multiplicative and additive biases in our catalogues if needed, since our mock catalogues share the same object ID with the real catalogue. Except for SectionĀ 5.6, we adopt Eqs.Ā (24) and (25) for simplicity. We summarize the impact of non-zero multiplicative bias on the covariance of cosmic shear correlation function in SectionĀ 5.6.
5 RESULTS
5.1 Comparison with a theoretical model
In this section, we compare the statistical property of clustering observables obtained from our mock catalogues with its theoretical prediction in detail.
5.1.1 Cosmic shear
We validate the cosmic shear mock catalogues by comparing the cosmic shear correlation functions measured from the mocks with the theoretical expectation (Eq.Ā 8). FigureĀ 3 shows the averaged from our 2268 realizations compared with the expectations. In this figure, we work with four different tomographic bins in source redshift selection as shown in FigureĀ 1. For simplicity, we consider the auto correlation functions of at single tomographic bin, i.e. in Eq.Ā (5). Different colored points show the averaged , while the lines represent the respective theoretical predictions that are computed using the fitting formula of non-linear matter power spectrum in Takahashi etĀ al. (2012). When measuring the correlation function in our mock catalogues, we use the public code Athena101010http://www.cosmostat.org/software/athena (Kilbinger etĀ al., 2014) and perform the logarithmic binning in the range of with 31 bins. We use the source galaxies in all of HSC S16A fields in FigureĀ 3. When comparing the averaged with its expectation, we properly include the selection bias due to cuts in the resolution factor and the responsivity correction due to the intrinsic distortion variations as a function of redshift in the theoretical model (see SectionĀ 5.7 Hikage etĀ al., 2018, for details).
First of all, the estimation of average in the mock catalogue should be reliable at \theta\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel>\over{\sim};}1\,{\rm arcmin} for and \theta\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel>\over{\sim};}10\,{\rm arcmin} for since the full-sky lensing simulations have an effective angular resolution corresponding to \ell\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel<\over{\sim};}4000 (Takahashi etĀ al., 2017). One can include this resolution effect in the model of lensing power spectrum (Eq.Ā 5) as
[TABLE]
where is the Heaviside step function, and (Takahashi etĀ al., 2017). Apart from the angular resolution effect, we still find that the average can be different from its expectation value of Eq.Ā (8). The differences of at \theta\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel>\over{\sim};}1\,{\rm arcmin} and at \theta\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel>\over{\sim};}10\,{\rm arcmin} in the bottom panels of FigureĀ 3 can be explained by the finite thickness effect of projected density shells in ray-tracing simulations (Takahashi etĀ al., 2017). We summarize the finite thickness effect on lensing power spectrum in AppendixĀ B. Using Eqs.Ā (26), (46), and (47), we obtain the theoretical model of including the effective angular resolution and the finite thickness effect of projected density shells in the ray-tracing simulations. The dashed lines in FigureĀ 3 show the corrected version of and provide a better fit to the simulation results.
We now discuss the covariance of cosmic shear correlation functions that resemble the HSC S16A data. We first examine the theoretical model of the covariance matrix in SectionĀ 2.3 by comparing the prediction with the covariance estimated from 2268 mock realizations. To do this we use the mocks without galaxy shape noise, because we want to test whether the theoretical model can explain the mock covariance, from the linear to nonlinear scales. \textcolorblackFor the mocks without shape noise, we use the lensing shear for a given source galaxy in the mocks and set unit weight when computing the two-point correlation, but keeping the angular and redshift information fixed as in the real catalogue. FigureĀ 4 shows the diagonal components of cosmic shear covariance in one of the HSC S16A fields, the XMM field, in the absence of shape noises. The black points in FigureĀ 4 show the mock covariance from 2268 realizations, while different colored lines represent the theoretical prediction as in SectionĀ 2.3. To compute the theoretical prediction, we adopt a halo-model approach (Cooray & Hu, 2001) as the relevant formulae are explicitly given in AppendixĀ C. For a computation of the Gaussian covariance, we properly take into account the effect of finite survey area or survey geometry. To be more precise, we properly estimate the number of pairs of two source galaxies, separated by a given angle, that can be taken from the HSC survey footprint (the XMM field considered here), as shown in Eq.Ā (41). We then estimate the weighted average of ensemble-averaged correlation functions, , to obtain the prediction for the Gaussian covariance. The blue solid lines are the analytical predictions which include all the contributions, i.e. the Gaussian and non-Gaussian covariance contributions. The figure shows that the analytical predictions fairly well reproduce the mock results over the range of scales we consider. On the other hand, the blue dashed lines show the model predictions when ignoring the finite area effect in the Gaussian covariance calculation or equivalently when using Eq.Ā (12) (without shape noise), which is based on a naive estimation of the number of source galaxy pairs. Comparison of the solid and dashed blue lines manifests that an accurate prediction of the Gaussian covariance requires to include the effect of survey geometry in estimating the number of source galaxy pairs.
Next, we consider the case including the shape noise contribution to the covariance. To compute the shape noise contribution in the analytical model, we use Eqs.Ā (12) and (13) to compute the terms including and , where we ignore the effect of survey geometry. To do this, we use the effective number density of source galaxies in the HSC S16A XMM field following Eq.Ā (1) in Heymans etĀ al. (2012), where we take into account the lensing weights for HSC galaxies. For the sample variance of Gaussian covariance we use the same method in FigureĀ 4 (i.e. the method given in AppendixĀ A). FigureĀ 5 compares the analytical predictions with the mock results for the diagonal components in cosmic shear covariance. The simple analytical predictions fairly well reproduce the mock covariance which includes non-trivial observational effects such as the spatial and redshift distributions of source galaxies, the distribution of their distortions, and the lensing weights. Compared to FigureĀ 4, the figure that the relative contribution of the non-Gaussian covariance to the shape noise covarinace is weaker at arcmin. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the non-Gaussian covariance, especially the SSC term, is important for the off-diagonal elements as well as the cross covariance between and , even in the presence of the shape noise. We also note that the survey geometry effect on the sample varinace of Gaussian covariance needs to be properly taken into account.
The upper or lower panel in FigureĀ 6 shows the full covariance matrix of or including all the 4 tomographic bins, respectively. In each panel, the upper-left triangle elements present the mock covariance, while the lower-right elements are \textcolorblackthe difference between the mock covariance and the analytical model prediction. For the Gaussian covariance computation in the analytical prediction, we used the same method as in FigureĀ 5. The analytical model covariance is again in a qualitatively nice agreement with the mock results including the off-diagonal components, in spite of the several approximations. \textcolorblackThe accuracy of our model covariance is found to be the level of . Thus FiguresĀ 4 ā 6 demonstrate that we have a good understanding of the nature of cosmic shear covariance, and we will below use the mock catalogues for a further discussion of the cosmic shear covariance.
5.2 Field variations in clustering observables
Since each of our mock catalogues, generated from full-sky realizations, properly consists of 6 different fields in the HSC S16A data, we here quantify the impact of field variations on the cosmic shear covariance111111In this section, we focus on the field variation in the covariance. In AppendixĀ D, we examine the field variation in the correlation functions themselves, . We also note each field is separated from the others by deg.. To study this, we first measure the cosmic shear correlation function of source galaxies in a given combination of tomographic bins, denoted by and , from the field āā of the -th mock catalogue; we denote this correlation function as . We then combine all the correlation functions in the 6 fields to estimate the āfullā correlation function, denoted as , for the entire HSC S16A fields:
[TABLE]
where is the effective number of source galaxy pairs used in the cosmic shear correlation estimation, defined in Eq.Ā (10). Note that is the same in all the mock realizations since our mock catalogues use the same spatial distribution of source galaxies as in the real catalogue. The covariance matrix for the full correlation function can be estimated from all the mock realizations as
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
and is the number of mock realizations.
For comparison, we also estimate the covariance matrix ignoring correlations between the cosmic shear correlation functions in the different fields as
[TABLE]
where is the covariance of in each of the 6 HSC fields that is estimated from our mock catalogues in the field.
FigureĀ 7 shows the fractional difference between the two covariances of Eqs.Ā (28) and (30). To be specific, we plot the quantity of . Here we present only the diagonal components for the auto correlations of the same tomographic bins, . It can be found that the effect of field variations on the covariance is not significant for the HSC 16A data. To be more precise, the fractional difference is at a level of over the range of angular scales. Note that a statistical uncertainty in the variance estimation assuming a Gaussian distribution is .
5.3 The impact of photo- errors on cosmic shear covariance
Photo- errors are one of the most severe systematic effects on cosmic shear cosmology. In this section, we study the impact of photo- errors on the cosmic shear covariances using our mock catalogues. Besides our fiducial set up, we also generate the mock catalogues of galaxy shapes using the posterior photo- distributions estimated using three different photo- catalogues, ephor, frankenz, and mizuki. For this purpose we generate 210 realizations for each of the three catalogues.
To quantify the impact of photo- errors on the cosmic shear covariance we use the differential signal-to-noise ratio of at each angular bin , denoted as . For this purpose we generate the mock catalogues based on the following method in order to make an apple-to-apple comparison of the results from different photo- catalogues. First, we use exactly the same number of source galaxies and the same realizations of full-sky simulations to simulate the lensing signals on each of source galaxies, for the four different photo- catalogues (the fiducial plus the three catalogues). To be more precise, we inject each of source galaxies, taken from the HSC S16A XMM field, into a given realization of the full-sky simulations. In doing this, we randomly assign a redshift of each source galaxy from the photo- posterior distribution for each of MLZ, ephor, frankenz, and mizuki, inject the galaxy into the nearest source plane of the simulation, and then simulate the lensing effect on the galaxy image (see SectionĀ 4.2). We repeat this procedure for all the source galaxies. We used 2,425,405 galaxies in total in each mock catalogue. The stacked posterior photo- distributions for different methods are shown in the lower plot in FigureĀ 8. The stacked redshift distributions display subtle different features from each other depending on which algorithm of photo- code to use. Note that we do not consider a tomographic analysis in this subsection for simplicity.
The upper plot in FigureĀ 8 shows the ratio of , obtained from each of the mock catalogues based on the different photo- codes, relative to that of MLZ photo- catalogue. The upper panel represents the results for , while the lower is for . In each panel, the thick line shows the ratio of when we include the changes of and their variance by different , while the thin line corresponds to the case changing the variance alone and using the same signals as the MLZ case. It can be found that the different photo- catalogues yield slightly different by a - level.
From comparison of the thick and thin lines in the upper plot, it can be found that the change in the variance due to the different photo- methods, keeping the signal fixed to the same, yields a 10-20% change in . If further including the change in the signal due to the different photo- catalogues, the two effects are somewhat compensated, and the net change in becomes smaller (within a 10% level over the range of scales). It would be worth noting that the shape noises in the sample used in FigureĀ 8 are much smaller than one in tomographic analyses as in FigureĀ 5. In FigureĀ 8, the sample variance (including non-Gaussian terms) dominates the variance of over the angular range of arcmin. Hence, when changing , the signal and their variance change in a similar way and the is less affected effectively. Assuming less source number density as in FigureĀ 5, we expect that the at \theta\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel<\over{\sim};}10 arcmin can change with a level of according to different since the shape noise dominates the variance at those angular scales. Nevertheless, the at the sample-variance dominated regime will be still less affected as shown in FigureĀ 8 as long as one use an appropriate for both of signals and their covariance.
5.4 Signal-to-noise ratio
A large set of the HSC mock catalogues enables us to estimate an expected, cumulative signal-to-noise ratio for a measurement of the cosmic shear correlation functions from the HSC S16A data. Assuming four tomographic redshifts bins (see FigureĀ 1), we construct a data vector of from different combinations of the cosmic shear correlation functions given as a function of angular bins and tomographic bins, over the angular range of . We adopt up to 11 angular bins in the angular range and have 10 correlation functions for each of at each angular bin that are available from combinations of the 4 redshift bins; therefore, the dimension of data vector at maximum. The cumulative signal-to-noise ratio up to a maximum angular scale is defined as
[TABLE]
where , is the covariance matrix of data vector , \bar{{\mbox{\boldmathD}}} is the expectation value of , \textcolorblack{}^{t}{\mbox{\boldmathD}} is the transposed vector of , and and represent the indexes of tomographic bins in . For the data vector \bar{{\mbox{\boldmathD}}}, we use the averaged over 2268 mock realizations. We also study the differential signal-to-noise ratio at a given angular bin, , defined as
[TABLE]
Note that, when estimating the inverse matrix {\mbox{\boldmathC}}^{-1} in Eqs.Ā (31) and (32), we included the correction factor of proposed in Hartlap etĀ al. (2007), where is the number of the realizations and is the dimension of data.
FigureĀ 9 shows the results for the cumulative or differential value expected for the HSC S16A data. In this figure, we use two different covariance matrices; one is the full covariance evaluated with Eq.Ā (28), and another is the covariance in the absence of field variation among six different HSC S16A fields, defined as Eq.Ā (30). The figure shows the cumulative signal-to-noise ratio in HSC S16A cosmic shear analyses is expected to be if the cosmology assumed in our simulations is correct. The field variation is found to be less important for estimation of signal-to-noise ratio at a given angular scale, but it can induce a difference in the total signal-to-noise ratio if the correlation functions at scales around 1 degree are included. To study the scatter in the signal-to-noise ratio, we perform bootstrap sampling of 2247 mock catalogues 108 times121212\textcolorblackNote that we extract 21 HSC S16A fields from a single full sky and the number of full-sky simulations is 108. Hence, it is easiest to construct 108 bootstrap samples of mocks in our configuration. and then measure the cumulative signal-to-noise ratio for each bootstrap realization. The pink filled region represents the bootstrap results and indicate the scatter in the evaluation of the cumulative signal-to-noise ratio in our mocks. \textcolorblackThe difference between the red point and the green line in the upper panel of FigureĀ 9 is still comparable to the bootstrap scatter, indicating that the difference can be consistent with a statistical fluke. We further comment on the result of cumulative in FigureĀ 9. We find the field variation can change the off-diagonal components in the covariance of and the cross covariance between and . Including the field variance is found to increase the cumulative of in our tomographic analysis with a level of compared to the case in the absence of field variation, but it does not affect . We also confirm that the cumulative of or monotonically increases as a function of , while the cross covariance between and would induce the complex feature in the cumulative of four-tomographic at arcmin. In addition, the bootstrap scatter in the cumulative of at arcmin is of an order of , while the Gaussian uncertainty of covariance with 2247 realizations is . This implies that the degree-scale in tomographic analysis of the HSC S16A data will be non-Gaussian and may break a common approximation in cosmological likelihood analyses (also see the following subsection).
5.5 Likelihood function for parameter inference
The cosmological parameter estimation with cosmic shear requires a likelihood function of correlation functions . Although the likelihood function is assumed to be Gaussian in practice, recent studies claim that the likelihood function of cosmic shear correlation functions can be skewed (e.g. Sellentin etĀ al., 2018) and Gaussian assumption may affect the cosmological parameter estimation with cosmic shear (e.g. Hartlap etĀ al., 2009; Sato etĀ al., 2010). Hence, it is worth studying if the non-Gaussian likelihood function can matter in the cosmic shear analyses with HSC S16A. To quantify the non-Gaussianity in cosmic-shear likelihood and evaluate its impact on parameter estimation, we define so-called chi squared quantity as
[TABLE]
where the summation runs over all the angular bins in the range of and possible tomographic bins over four different source redshift bins. Note that the quantity of can be set for individual realizations of mock catalogue and it should follow the distribution with 220 degrees of freedom if follows Gaussian.
FigureĀ 10 shows the histogram of that is computed from 2268 mock catalogues for a hypothetical measurement of the HSC S16A cosmic shear correlation functions. In this figure, green filled histogram represents the Gaussian prediction, while red line shows the mock results. This figure shows the non-Gaussian likelihood of cosmic shear correlations could broaden a confidence level in a parameter estimation (e.g. an amplitude parameter such as ). We find that the mean value of over 2268 realizations is 219.03 and it is in good agreement with simple Gaussian expectation, while the variance of in our mock catalogues is found to be 627.86, corresponding to 1.42 times as large as Gaussian prediction. For a 95% confidence level, the interval in mock should range from 181.173 to 230.495, while their Gaussian counterparts are 209.686 and 228.273, respectively.
The red open histogram in FigureĀ 10 is also found to be explained by a modified distribution as
[TABLE]
where is the distribution with degrees of freedom. When setting to , we find can explain the broadening of the histogram of in FigureĀ 10. According to the above, we will discuss the effective number of degrees of freedom in the HSC S16A cosmic shear analyses. Since the signal-to-noise ratio of with degrees of freedom is given by , the effective degrees of freedom gives the similar signal-to-noise ratio of in our mock analyses. This computation of effective degrees of freedom implies that the effective number of angular bins per tomographic bin will be . Since we have 11 bins in in FigureĀ 10, the largest bins in may be effectively less important for the evaluation of . A principal component analysis will be required to study how the different are correlated with each other and how many independent bins contribute to most of the information contents in more details (e.g. Kayo etĀ al., 2013). Note that we do not include the correction factor to invert as in Hartlap etĀ al. (2007) in FigureĀ 10. When we include the correction, the red open histogram shifts to right with a level of , but the 95% confidence level is still wider than its Gaussian counterpart. \textcolorblackIt is also worth noting that Eq.Ā (34) is not a unique expression to characterize the non-Gaussianity in likelihood function of cosmic shear two-point correlations. Appropriate treatment of non-Gaussian likelihood may be needed to extract all information of cosmic shear two-point correlations, while it is beyond the scope of this paper.
On the other hand, FigureĀ 11 shows the histogram of in 2268 realizations of mock cosmic shear analyses when we use the information at the angular range of arcmin. Comparing with FiguresĀ 10 and 11, we conclude the degree-scale can broaden the width of the histogram in in our mock catalogues. Once we focus on the angular range of arcmin, the histogram of in our mocks follows the expected distribution (Similar results are found in Sellentin etĀ al., 2018). FiguresĀ 10 and 11 demonstrate that our mock catalogues allow to set the angular scales at which a Gaussian likelihood approximation is valid.
5.6 Impact of non-zero multiplicative bias
So far, we assumed the multiplicative bias in the shear of each object in mock catalogues to be zero. In this subsection, we examine the impact of non-zero multiplicative bias in the tomographic correlation analysis of cosmic shear in the HSC S16A. Note that we still assume zero additive biases in this subsection.
Since the correction of multiplicative bias is valid for the average shape over a given sample of source galaxies, we need to be careful when including the multiplicative bias on object-by-object basis. In this paper, we propose the following modification in lensing shear when incorporating with simulation and observed data sets as in Eqs.Ā (24) and (25):
[TABLE]
where represents the lensing shear from full-sky ray-tracing simulation and is the average multiplicative bias for the galaxy sample of interest. When working on four tomographic bins, we will have four different values of . For galaxies at -th tomographic bin, we use the corresponding multiplicative bias to produce the mock distortion. This simple procedure enables us to keep the shear responsivity fixed regardless of the value of multiplicative bias.
At the lowest-order level of Eqs.Ā (24) and (25), the mock distortion can be expressed as
[TABLE]
To obtain an unbiased estimate of lensing shear from , we will use , but this correction leads the effective shape noise changes by a factor of . Therefore, including non-zero multiplicative biases remains the estimator of unbiased as long as one include the correction of to the observed distortion, while the covariance of should be affected by non-zero .
FigureĀ 12 highlights the impact of non-zero multiplicative bias on the covariance of in the HSC S16A. In this figure, we show the variance of and the cross variance between two when including non-zero multiplicative biases for the fourth tomographic redshift bin of source galaxy sample in the HSC S16A. The red points in the figure show the results in the presence of non-zero , while the blue dashed line corresponds to the cases with . Note that we find has a negative value over six HSC S16A fields and four tomographic bins. Hence, the effective shape noise should increase in our four-tomographic analysis when we include the non-zero . As a reference, the green dashed lines in this figure show the covariance estimated from randomly rotated shapes in real HSC S16A data. Comparing with the red points and the green solid lines, we confirm that the small-scale covariance can increase due to the change of the effective shape noise. On the other hand, the large-scale covariance is less affected by the presence of non-zero , since the sample variance should dominate at degree scales and it is independent of the amplitude of shape noise.
FigureĀ 13 demonstrates the impact of non-zero multiplicative bias of signal-to-noise ratio of cosmic shear analysis in the HSC S16A, which is an indicator of cosmological information contents in the analysis. When combining all HSC S16A fields and four tomographic bins in the angular range of arcmin, we find the non-zero multiplicative bias can affect the cumulative signal-to-noise ratio by in the HSC S16A. It would be worth noting that the impact of multiplicative bias on the shape noise depends on the sign of multiplicative bias. If the multiplicative bias can have a positive value, the effective shape noise will be reduced by a factor of . Since the value of depends on galaxy selection for a given shape catalogue, we need to prepare the mock catalogues with an appropriate on analysis-by-analysis basis in practice.
6 CONCLUSIONS
In this paper, we have presented a set of mock catalogues of galaxy shapes in the first-year Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) data, referred to as HSC S16A. We produced the mock catalogues constructed from full-sky gravitational lensing simulations in Takahashi etĀ al. (2017) and properly incorporated them with the observed galaxy information, allowing us to include various non-trivial effects in our mock catalogues. By construction, our mock catalogues can include inhomogeneous angular distribution of source galaxies, statistical uncertainty in photometric redshift (photo-) estimate of each galaxy, variations in the lensing weights due to observational conditions, and the noise in galaxy shape measurement induced by both of intrinsic shape and measurement uncertainty. Using 2268 realizations of our mock catalogues in the footprint of HSC S16A, we performed a realistic analysis of galaxy-shape auto correlation functions with tomographic redshift information and predicted one of the most important statistical properties in the current cosmological parameter inference, the covariance matrices of . We compared the statistical property of in our mock catalogues with a theoretical model including the effect of nonlinear evolution in the matter density perturbations over cosmic time. Furthermore, we studied several effects on the cosmological analyses of cosmic shear correlation functions, including field variations among separated observed footprints, photo- uncertainty of individual source galaxies, and non-Gaussianity in the likelihood function. Our findings are summarized as follows:
The ensemble average of shape correlation functions in our mock catalogues are consistent with a theoretical prediction based on the fitting formula of non-linear matter power spectrum (Takahashi etĀ al., 2012) within a level accuracy. The discrepancy from theoretical predictions can be explained by the finite angular resolution and sampling effect in comoving distance in the ray-tracing simulations in Takahashi etĀ al. (2017). Once the simulation-related effects are properly included, the ensemble average of over our mocks is in agreement with its expectation with a level of . 2. 2.
A theoretical model based on halo-model approach (e.g. Cooray & Hu, 2001; Takada & Jain, 2009; Takada & Hu, 2013) is in good agreement with the mock covariance of at angular separations less than 10 arcmin, whereas some corrections are required for the Gaussian covariance prediction in Joachimi etĀ al. (2008). The corrections arise from finite sampling of source galaxies in a limited sky coverage. Once the corrections are included, the Gaussian covariance can provide a good fit to the mock covariance at degree scales. We also found the non-Gaussian covariance coming from the mode coupling between super-survey and sub-survey modes are dominant in the mock covariance at arcmin, while another term from the four-point correlations within a given survey window is less important (also, see Barreira etĀ al., 2018). 3. 3.
We studied the effect of field variance among six separated patches in HSC S16A on the covariance of . Based on 2268 realizations, we found a level difference in the mock variance when we removed the effect of field variations on an estimator of covariance (see FigureĀ 7). Since the Gaussian uncertainty in the variance is estimated to be , we concluded that the field variation in the current HSC survey is less important for the covariance estimation. 4. 4.
In addition to our fiducial photo- estimate, we also considered three different photo- estimates obtained from different photo- pipelines and applied them to the mock catalogue production. We then compared the signal-to-noise ratio of at a given angular separation over four different photo- estimates for a fixed source selection. We found a difference in the signal-to-noise ratio depending on the method of photo- estimation (see FigureĀ 8). Our results show the systematic uncertainty due to photo- estimation will be a minor issue in the covariance estimation of in HSC S16A data, if one adopt the photo- estimates for the estimation of expectation value and their covariance in a self-consistent way. 5. 5.
We predicted the total (cumulative) signal-to-noise ratio of cosmic shear correlation functions in an angular range of arcmin with four tomographic bins based on our mock catalogues. We found the expected signal-to-noise ratio to be if our fiducial cosmological model would be correct and there are no multiplicative biases. A difference has been found in our mock catalogues when we ignore the field variance among six separated patches in HSC S16A, while the difference is still comparable to the scatter in the evaluation of signal-to-noise ratio based on bootstrap sampling. 6. 6.
Cosmological parameter inference with cosmic shear correlation relies on the chi-squared quantity defined as Eq.Ā (33). When data of interest follows Gaussian, the chi-squared quantity should follow the chi-squared distribution with degrees of freedom being the number of data bins. We validated if the chi-squared quantity for in HSC S16A can follow the expected distribution. We found the variance of the chi-squared quantity evaluated from 2268 mock realizations are 1.42 times as large as the simple expectation based on the number of data bins. In addition, the lower limit of 95% confidence interval in the chi-squared quantity in our mock moves downward by 10% compared to the expectation from the relevant chi-squared distribution (see FigureĀ 10). We also found the degree-scale correlation functions induce the deviation from Gaussianity in likelihood function. 7. 7.
We proposed a simple method to include non-zero multiplicative biases in mock shape catalogues while keeping the shear responsivity fixed. Applying this method to tomographic cosmic shear correlation analysis in the HSC S16A, we examined the impact of multiplicative biases on the covariance. We found that the effective shape noise term can change by a factor of . Hence, the small-scale covariance of cosmic shear correlation functions can be affected by the presence of non-zero . For the HSC S16A cosmic shear correlation analysis with four tomographic redshift bins, we found the cumulative signal-to-noise ratio can degrade by level when including non-zero to estimate the covariance.
Since our mock catalogues take into account a lot of relevant features in galaxy shape measurement, one can utilize them for various purposes. Those include the covariance estimation of any cosmic shear statistics (e.g. Kilbinger, 2015, for a recent review), and validation of analysis pipeline for parameter estimation (e.g. see Krause etĀ al., 2017, for the representative work). In spite of our effort making the mock catalogues realistic as possible, there still remain some room for developing more realistic mock catalogues of galaxy shapes. An important feature missed in our mock catalogues is the correlation between property of source galaxy and matter density distribution at the redshift which the source galaxy locates. Intrinsic alignment (IA) effect of galaxy shape is among the most typical effects (Hirata & Seljak, 2004; Troxel & Ishak, 2015) and future work should include the IA effect properly. Also, source-lens clustering effects (Hamana etĀ al., 2002) and magnification effects on observed galaxy (Schmidt etĀ al., 2009; Liu etĀ al., 2014) can be an issue in mock catalogue production for future lensing surveys.
Mock catalogue for modern galaxy survey should be also available for covariance estimation of cross correlation analyses of galaxy shapes with large-scale structures. For this purpose, one needs to construct a synthetic catalogue of tracers of large-scale structures and preserve the statistical correlation between galaxy shapes in mock catalogue productions. Since our mock shape catalogues are based on full-sky lensing simulations and their inherent halo catalogues are also available, we can construct mock catalogues of foreground objects for cross correlation with HSC S16A galaxy shapes by using a similar technique as in Shirasaki etĀ al. (2017b). We leave it for our future work to create the mock catalogues of tracers of large-scale structures, that are correlated with mock shape catalogues in this paper.
acknowledgments
This work is in part supported by MEXT Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Innovative Areas (No.Ā 15H05887, 15H05893, 15K21733), by MEXT KAKENHI Grant Number (15H03654, 18H04358), and by JSPS Program for Advancing Strategic International Networks to Accelerate the Circulation of Talented Researchers.
The Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) collaboration includes the astronomical communities of Japan and Taiwan, and Princeton University. The HSC instrumentation and software were developed by the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan (NAOJ), the Kavli Institute for the Physics and Mathematics of the Universe (Kavli IPMU), the University of Tokyo, the High Energy Accelerator Research Organization (KEK), the Academia Sinica Institute for Astronomy and Astrophysics in Taiwan (ASIAA), and Princeton University. Funding was contributed by the FIRST program from Japanese Cabinet Office, the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT), the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS), Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST), the Toray Science Foundation, NAOJ, Kavli IPMU, KEK, ASIAA, and Princeton University.
The Pan-STARRS1 Surveys (PS1) have been made possible through contributions of the Institute for Astronomy, the University of Hawaii, the Pan-STARRS Project Office, the Max-Planck Society and its participating institutes, the Max Planck Institute for Astronomy, Heidelberg and the Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics, Garching, The Johns Hopkins University, Durham University, the University of Edinburgh, Queenās University Belfast, the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, the Las Cumbres Observatory Global Telescope Network Incorporated, the National Central University of Taiwan, the Space Telescope Science Institute, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration under Grant No. NNX08AR22G issued through the Planetary Science Division of the NASA Science Mission Directorate, the National Science Foundation under Grant No. AST-1238877, the University of Maryland, and Eotvos Lorand University (ELTE).
This paper makes use of software developed for the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope. We thank the LSST Project for making their code available as free software at http://dm.lsst.org.
Based [in part] on data collected at the Subaru Telescope and retrieved from the HSC data archive system, which is operated by the Subaru Telescope and Astronomy Data Center at National Astronomical Observatory of Japan.
Numerical computations were in part carried out on Cray XC30 and XC50 at Center for Computational Astrophysics, National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, and on XC40 at YITP in Kyoto University.
Appendix A Finite area effect of Gaussian covariance in cosmic shear tomography
As shown in Sato etĀ al. (2011), the estimator of cosmic shear correlation given by Eq.Ā (9) does not always have a predicted covariance (Eq.Ā 12) even if shear field is assumed to be Gaussian. Eq.Ā (12) will be valid only for wide-area surveys with sky coverage of \lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel>\over{\sim};}1000 squared degrees, whereas one need to evaluate the Gaussian covariance from more direct expressions of covariance of estimator itself (see, Eqs.(23)-(25) in Schneider etĀ al., 2002) when the sky coverage is of an order of 100 squared degrees. We here extend the formula in Schneider etĀ al. (2002) by considering the correlation of source galaxies at different redshifts.
Let us return to the definition of the covariance of Eq.Ā (9):
[TABLE]
In the calculation of Eq.Ā (37), the four point correlation function of distortion appears. Assuming that the shear field and the source distortion are Gaussian and ignoring the shape noise terms131313The finite area effect becomes important only for large scales comparable to the size of survey window, making this assumption valid. , we can write the four point correlation as the product of the two point function as follows;
[TABLE]
where the above equation is valid for and and Greek letters represent 1 or 2.
From Eq.Ā (38) and the fact that
[TABLE]
where is the polar angle of \mbox{\boldmath\theta}_{i}-\mbox{\boldmath\theta}_{j}, we can express the covariance of Eq.Ā (37) as follows;
[TABLE]
where \xi_{\pm,ab}(ik)=\xi_{\pm,ab}(|\mbox{\boldmath\theta}_{i}-\mbox{\boldmath\theta}_{k}|) and so on.
Appendix B The finite thickness effect in ray-tracing simulations
In this appendix, we summarize the effect of finite sampling in comoving distances in multiple-plane ray-tracing simulations. Here we suppose that the ray-tracing simulations have been constructed by shells of projected mass density at different redshifts. In this case, the integral in Eq.Ā (2) in the ray-tracing simulations should be expressed as
[TABLE]
where and we set and in our case. Under the Born approximation, the lensing power spectrum in the ray-tracing simulation can be computed as the summation of the power spectrum of density shells, denoted as . The analytic expression of is found in Appendix B in Takahashi etĀ al. (2017). In Takahashi etĀ al. (2017), the authors also provide a simple approximated formula of at -th density shell as
[TABLE]
with , , , , and . Note that the wavenumber is in unit of and the correction term in Eq.Ā (46) is independent of redshift. In addition, the finite resolution in comoving distance in the simulation should be included in the computation of lensing kernel (Eq.Ā 3). We estimate the coarse grained in the simulation by degrading the original as shown in FigureĀ 1 with redshift. In summary, we model the finite thickness effect in the lensing power spectrum as
[TABLE]
where is the cone-weighted comoving distance with and (see also Shirasaki etĀ al., 2015).
Appendix C A halo model for covariance estimation of cosmic shear
In this appendix, we summarize the formulation based on halo-model approach that used to predict the cosmic shear covariance. We follow the method as in Cooray & Hu (2001), Takada & Jain (2009) and Takada & Hu (2013).
The covariance of cosmic shear tomographic analyses can be decomposed into three terms as shown in Eq.Ā (11). Among these, the Gaussian covariance can be computed with combinations of cosmic shear power spectra. In computing of power spectrum for a given set of tomographic bins (see Eq.Ā 5), we adopt the fitting formula of the non-linear matter power spectrum developed in Takahashi etĀ al. (2012).
On the non-Gaussian covariance, we require a theoretical model of weak lensing trispectrum. Weak lensing trispectrum is defined as (with respect to convergence )
[TABLE]
where {\mbox{\boldmath\ell}}_{ij\cdots n}={\mbox{\boldmath\ell}}_{i}+{\mbox{\boldmath\ell}}_{j}+\cdots+{\mbox{\boldmath\ell}}_{n}. Under the Limber approximation, the trispectrum can be computed as
[TABLE]
where {\mbox{\boldmathk}}_{i}={\mbox{\boldmath\ell}}_{i}/\chi and represents the trispectrum of matter overdensity field as defined in a similar way to Eq.Ā (49). Previous studies have shown that the dominant contribution of the non-Gaussian covariance in cosmic shear at relevant scales of \ell\lower 2.15277pt\hbox{;\buildrel>\over{\sim};}100 is given by the so-called one-halo term and the SSC terms (e.g. Sato etĀ al., 2009). The one-halo term arises from the four point correlation among different Fourier modes in single dark matter halos and it is expressed as
[TABLE]
where is the halo mass function, is the Fourier counterpart of normalized halo density profile (the normalization is set so that the volume integral of the density profile should be unity), and \tilde{u}_{i}=\tilde{u}({\mbox{\boldmathk}}_{i},z,M). To compute the term of \tilde{u}({\mbox{\boldmathk}}_{i},z,M), we adopt the NFW profile (Navarro etĀ al., 1996) with halo concentration as in Diemer & Kravtsov (2015). For the halo mass function, we adopt the fitting formula developed in Tinker etĀ al. (2008) throughout this paper.
Another important contributor to the non-Gaussian covariance is the SSC term which includes the four point correlation among super-survey modes. As shown in Takada & Hu (2013), the SSC term can be given by Eqs.Ā (17) and (18). To compute the SSC term, we adopt the halo model of the response of matter power spectrum as follows (Takada & Hu, 2013)
[TABLE]
where we use the notation as in Cooray & Hu (2001):
[TABLE]
where and is set to be the linear halo bias. In this paper, we apply the model of linear halo bias in Tinker etĀ al. (2010).
It is worth noting that the non-Gaussian covariance from the SSC trispectrum requires the computation of the variance in matter density for a given survey window. In this paper, we properly include the mask in real HSC S16A to compute Eq.Ā (18). To do so, we first generate a Gaussian density field on a flat sky by using the linear power spectrum at redshift of interest . When generating random Gaussian density field, we set the sky coverage to be squared degrees and pixel size to be arcmin. Then, we paste the survey window subtracted from real HSC S16A onto a squared sky. The survey window of 6 different HSC S16A patches is defined as in SectionĀ 3. We confirm that the field of view on a flat sky is large enough to cover the whole survey window in individual HSC S16A fields and the pixel size is sufficiently small to trace a complex geometry of the survey window. After pasting the mask, we compute the variance of Gaussian density field within the survey window. We repeat the above procedures ten times to reduce the scatter in the estimation of . The variance estimation has been performed at discrete 20 points in redshifts between and with logarithmic binning of . When computing the SSC term in different HSC S16A fields, we interpolate the precomputed 20 data of .
Appendix D An estimator of field variation in cosmic shear two-point correlation functions
Since our mock catalogues of HSC S16A shape preserve a proper positional relationship among six separated patches, those allow us to evaluate the field variation on cosmic shear correlation functions in HSC S16A.
We here consider the cosmic shear analyses with four different photometric bins as worked in the main text. Suppose that the measurement of is carried out on individual separated patches, we will characterize a field variation on the measured among different patches by
[TABLE]
where represents the observed cosmic shear correlation function on -th field, and is its variance. The variances in Eq.Ā (54) can be directly estimated from our mock catalogues. In addition, our mock catalogues enable us to set the statistical uncertainty of Eq.Ā (54) when we apply the estimator to 2268 realizations of mock catalogues. Note that Eq.Ā (54) will be evaluated for a given angular separation in and set of tomographic bins. We construct Eq.Ā (54) so that we will have a null signal on average () if the measurement of is independent of a choice of survey patches. In this appendix, we study Eq.Ā (54) as a function of separation length between two fields .
FigureĀ 14 summarizes the results of Eq.Ā (54) when we apply to the HSC S16A shape catalogue. In this figure, we work with at 100 arcmin and scale the correlation function by a factor of . The top and bottom panels represent the results for and , respectively. Each small panel in the top and bottom shows difference in tomographic bins in the analysis. In this figure, the red point is the actual measurement of Eq.Ā (54) in the HSC S16A data and error bars are estimated from 2268 mock realizations. As seen in the figure, there are no clear trends of field variation of as a function of separation length between separated fields, whereas detailed analyses will be interesting to measure super-sample density fluctuations whose wavelengths are larger than the survey scale in a more direct way (e.g. Li etĀ al., 2014). We leave it for our future work.
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