The Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under dependent sequence
Wenzhi Yang, Shuhe Hu, Xuejun Wang

TL;DR
This paper establishes the Bahadur representation for sample quantiles in dependent sequences, providing specific convergence rates under different mixing conditions, which enhances understanding of quantile behavior in dependent data.
Contribution
It extends the Bahadur representation to dependent sequences with new convergence rates under weaker mixing conditions.
Findings
Rate of $O(n^{-3/4}\log n)$ under $ ext{O}(n^{-3})$ mixing
Rate of $O(n^{-1/2}(\log n)^{1/2})$ under summable mixing coefficients
Results applicable to dependent data analysis and statistical inference
Abstract
On the one hand, we investigate the Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under -mixing sequence with and obtain a rate as , . On the other hand, by relaxing the condition of mixing coefficients to , a rate , , is also obtained.
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Taxonomy
TopicsProbability and Risk Models · Stochastic processes and financial applications · Mathematical Approximation and Integration
The Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under dependent sequence
Wenzhi Yang Shuhe Hu Xuejun Wang
School of Mathematical Science, Anhui University, Hefei, Anhui 230039, China Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] (S.H. Hu); [email protected] (W.Z. Yang); [email protected] (X.J. Wang)
Abstract: On the one hand, we investigate the Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under -mixing sequence with and obtain a rate as , . On the other hand, by relaxing the condition of mixing coefficients to , a rate , , is also obtained.
Keywords: Bahadur representation; sample quantiles; mixing sequence
AMS 2000 Mathematical Subject Classification: 62F12
1 Introduction
Assume that is a sequence of random variables defined on a fixed probability space with a common marginal distribution function . Let be a distribution function (continuous from the right, as usual). For , the th quantile of is defined as
[TABLE]
and is alternately denoted by . The function , , is called the inverse function of .
For a sample , , let represent the empirical distribution function based on , which is defined as , . Here denotes the indicator function of the set and is the real line. For , we define as the sample th quantile.
Let . Bahadur [2] firstly introduced an elegant representation for sample quantile in terms of empirical distribution function based on independent and identically distributed () random variables and obtained the following result (or see Serfling [9, Theorem 2.5.1])
Theorem 1.1. Let and and be a sequence of random variables. Suppose that is twice differentiable at , with . Then with probability 1,
[TABLE]
At present, many researchers have extended Bahadur representation for random variables to the dependent cases. One can refer to Sen [8] and Babu and Singh [1] for -mixing sequence, Yoshihara [17] for -mixing sequence, Zhou and Zhu [19] for the smooth quantile estimator, Sun [10] for -mixing sequence, Cheng and Gooijer [4] for -estimator under -mixing sequence, etc. Ling [7] extended the results of Sun [10] to the case of NA sequence and obtained a rate , where and as . Li et al. [6] extended the results of Ling [7] to the case of NOD sequence, which is weaker than NA sequence, and they got a better rate . For more works on Bahadur representation, one can refer to [11, 12, 13, 16, 18], etc. Meanwhile, for the Berry-Esseen bounds of sample quantiles, one can refer to Serfling [9, Theorem 2.3.3 C], Lahiri and Sun [5], Yang et al. [14] and the references therein.
One of the applications of the quantile function is in finance where many financial returns can be modeled as time series data. Value-at-risk(VaR) is a popular measure of market risk associated with an asset or a portfolio of assets. It has been chosen by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision as a benchmark risk measure and has been used by financial institutions for asset management and minimization of risk. Let be the market value of an asset over periods of a time unit, and let be the log-returns. Suppose is a strictly stationary dependent process with marginal distribution function . Given a positive value close to zero, the level VaR is
[TABLE]
which specifies the smallest amount of loss such that the probability of the loss in market value being large than is less than . So, the study of VaR is a well application of th quantile. Chen and Tang [3] considered the nonparametric estimation of VaR and associated standard error estimation for dependent financial returns. Theoretical properties of the kernel VaR estimator were investigated in the context of dependent. For more details, one can refer to Chen and Tang [3] and the references therein.
Before stating our works, we need to recall the definition of -mixing. Let and be positive integers. Write . Given -algebras in , let
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Define the -mixing coefficients by
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Definition 1.1. A random variable sequence is said to be a -mixing random variable sequence if as .
In this paper, we go on investigating the Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under -mixing sequence. Under some mild conditions such as and , , the rate is established as , which is close to the rate in Theorem 1.1 for random variables. By relaxing the mixing coefficients to and removing the condition , , we get the rate as . The Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under -mixing sequence has been studied by Sen [8], Babu and Singh [1] and Yoshihara [17], etc. Comparing our Theorem 2.1 in Section 2 with Theorem 3.1 of Sen [8], under some conditions, Sen obtained the rate , where the mixing coefficients satisfy that for some . The mixing coefficients condition in our Theorem 2.1 is relatively weaker.
Under the mixing coefficients condition , , Zhang et al. [18] studied the Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under -mixing sequence and obtained the rate , ( see Theorems 2.3 of Zhang et al. [18]). For any and , , they also obtained the rate , (see Theorem 2.5 of Zhang et al. [18]).
It is a fact that -mixing random variables are -mixing random variables and . In this paper, we investigate the Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under -mixing sequence. By taking in our Theorem 2.2, we get a better rate , than , obtained by Theorem 2.5 of Zhang et al. [18]. Similarly, by taking in our Theorem 2.5, we also obtain a better rate , than , obtained by Theorems 2.3 of Zhang et al. [18]. Although -mixing random variables are -mixing random variables, the bounds in our Theorems 2.1-2.5 are better than the ones obtained by Theorem 2.4, Theorem 2.5 and Theorems 2.1-2.3 of Zhang et al. [18], respectively.
The organization of this paper is as follows. The main results are presented in Section 2, some preliminary lemmas are given in Section 3 and the proofs of theorems are provided in Section 4. Throughout the paper, and denote positive constants which may be different in various places. denotes the largest integer not exceeding . Denote , which means as .
2 Main results
For a fixed , let , .
Theorem 2.1. Let be a sequence of -mixing random variables with the mixing coefficients . Assume that the common marginal distribution function possesses a positive continuous density in a neighborhood of such that . Let , and
[TABLE]
Then with probability 1,
[TABLE]
*where . *
Theorem 2.2. Let the conditions of Theorem 2.1 be satisfied and , . Assume that is bounded in some neighborhood of , say . Then with probability 1,
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Theorem 2.3. Let be a sequence of -mixing random variables with . Assume that the common marginal distribution function possesses a positive continuous density in a neighborhood of such that . For any , put , , where . Then with probability 1
[TABLE]
for all sufficiently large.
Theorem 2.4. Let the conditions of Theorem 2.3 hold. Then with probability 1
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Theorem 2.5. Let the conditions of Theorem 2.3 be satisfied and be bounded in some neighborhood of . Then with probability 1
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3 Preliminary lemmas
Lemma 3.1. (Yang et al. [15, Corollary A.1]) Let be a -mixing sequence with , , a.s. , , , . Then for any and , it follows
[TABLE]
where , and is the base of natural logarithm.
Lemma 3.2. (Serfling [9, Lemma 1.1.4]) Let be a right-continuous distribution function. The inverse function , , is nondecreasing and left-continuous, and satisfies
(i) ;
(ii) ;
(iii) if and only if .
Inspired by Serfling [9, Theorem 2.3.2 and Lemma 2.5.4 B], we obtain the following result.
Lemma 3.3. Let and be a sequence of -mixing random variables with . Assume that the common marginal distribution function is differentiable at , with . Suppose that is bounded in a neighborhood of , say . Then for any , with probability 1
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*where . *
Proof. Let , , . Write
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By Lemma 3.2 ,
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where and . Likewise, by Lemma 3.2 ,
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where and . It is easy to see that and are still -mixing random variables with mean zero and same mixing coefficients. Since , , , , it follows from Lemma 3.1 that
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[TABLE]
where , and . Consequently,
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Since is continuous at with , is the unique solution of and . By the assumption on and Taylor’s expansion,
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and
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So
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Since , it has as . So we can choose such that
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for all sufficiently large. Hence,
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for all sufficiently large.
Since as and , it follows that . Therefore,
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and
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which implies that with probability 1 (), the relations hold for only finitely many by Borel-Cantelli Lemma. Thus (3.1) holds.
Lemma 3.4. (Wang et al. [11, Lemma 3.4]) Let and . For any , we assume that . Then
[TABLE]
4 Proofs of main results
Proof of Theorem 2.1. The proof is inspired by Serfling [9, Lemma 2.5.4 E]. Let be a sequence of positive integers such that as . For integers , put
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and
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where . Denote
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Then for all ,
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and
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So it has
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where
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By the fact , , we have by the Mean Value Theorem that
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thus
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Taking , we can check that are still -mixing random variables with , . Applying Lemma 3.1 to and , we obtain that
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where . Since , let we have that , and
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Let be some positive constant such that . Then there exists such that
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and
[TABLE]
for all . Thus
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By (4.3) and (4.4), it follows that
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for all sufficiently large. Therefore,
[TABLE]
Together with Borel–Cantelli Lemma, it follows that with probability 1 (), the relations hold for only finitely many . Hence , , for all sufficiently large, i.e., ,
[TABLE]
Finally, (4.1), (4.2) and (4.5) yield (2.1).
Proof of Theorem 2.2. By Lemma 3.3, we can see that ,
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which implies that , , for all sufficiently large. It follows from Theorem 2.1 that ,
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which implies that ,
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By (4.6), (4.7) and Lemma 3.4, we can obtain that ,
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where is a random variable between and . By reorganizing the above equality, , (2.2) holds.
Proof of Theorem 2.3. For , let
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for and , . Denote
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Then for all , it has
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and
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which imply that
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By the notations above, we can see that
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Denote Applying Lemma 3.1 to and , we have
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Here, . It is easy to check that as , so we can choose such that
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for all sufficiently large. Hence,
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Likewise, satisfies a similar relation. So,
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By Borel-Cantelli Lemma, it follows that , the relations hold for only finitely many . Hence
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for all sufficiently large. The proof of (2.3) is completed.
Proof of Theorem 2.4. For , denote
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for and , . Then for any ,
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Hence
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Denote , . Similar to the proof of (4.8), by Lemma 3.1, we have
[TABLE]
where and . Therefore,
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By Borel-Cantelli Lemma, we obtain that , the relations hold for only finitely many . Together with (4.9), we can get (2.4) immediately.
Proof of Theorem 2.5. Lemma 3.3 implies that ,
[TABLE]
, for all sufficiently large. It follows from Theorem 2.3 that ,
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By (4.10), assumption on , Taylor’s expansion and Theorem 2.4, we have that ,
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Together with (4.11), we obtain that ,
[TABLE]
where is a random variable between and . Reorganizing the above equality, we obtain that ,
[TABLE]
The proof of (2.5) is completed.
The reference list from the paper itself. Each links out to its DOI / PubMed record.
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- 2[2] Bahadur, R.R. A note on quantiles in large samples. Ann. Math. Statist., 37(3): 577-580 (1966)
- 3[3] Chen, S.X., Tang, C.Y. Nonparametric inference of Value-at Risk for dependent financial returns. J. Financ. Econom., 3(2): 227-255 (2005)
- 4[4] Cheng, Y.B., De Gooijer, J.G. Bahadur representation for the nonparametric M-estimator under α 𝛼 \alpha -mixing dependence. Statistics, 43(5): 443-462 (2009)
- 5[5] Lahiri, S.N., Sun, S. A Berry-Esseen theorem for samples quantiles under weak dependent. Ann. Appl. Probab., 19(1): 108-126 (2009)
- 6[6] Li, X.Q., Yang, W.Z., Hu, S.H., Wang, X.J. The Bahadur representation for sample quantile under NOD sequence. J. Nonparametr. Stat., 23(1): 59-65 (2011)
- 7[7] Ling, N.X. The Bahadur representation for sample quantiles under negatively associated sequence. Stat. Probab. Lett., 78(16): 2660-2663 (2008)
- 8[8] Sen, P.K. On Bahadur representation of sample quantile for sequences of ϕ italic-ϕ \phi -mixing random variables. J. Multivar. Anal., 2(1): 77-95 (1972)
