# Turning up the heat on `Oumuamua

## TL;DR

This paper investigates the close encounters of extrasolar minor bodies like `Oumuamua with the Sun, providing insights into their composition, origin, and orbital characteristics through statistical and orbital analysis.

## Contribution

It offers new estimates on encounter frequencies, identifies preferred orbital orientations, and uses Bayesian analysis to assess the extrasolar origin of such objects.

## Key findings

- Extrasolar objects collide with the Sun roughly every 30 years.
- About 2 pass within Mercury's orbit annually.
- There is a Bayesian probability that at least one such object is extrasolar.

## Abstract

We explore what may be learned by close encounters between extrasolar minor bodies like `Oumuamua and the Sun. These encounters may yield strong constraints on the bulk composition and possible origin of `Oumuamua-like objects. We find that such objects collide with the Sun once every 30 years, while about 2 pass within the orbit of Mercury each year. We identify preferred orientations for the orbits of extrasolar objects and point out known Solar System bodies with these orientations. We conclude using a simple Bayesian analysis that about one of these objects is extrasolar in origin, even if we cannot tell which.