# Multivariate Fractional Components Analysis

**Authors:** Tobias Hartl, Roland Weigand

arXiv: 1812.09149 · 2019-01-30

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a new framework for analyzing multivariate fractional time series with diverse cointegration properties, applicable to high-dimensional data, and demonstrates its effectiveness in modeling realized covariance matrices.

## Contribution

It develops a novel fractional components analysis method that handles nonstationary processes with varying fractional orders and cointegration strengths in high dimensions.

## Key findings

- Orthogonal short- and long-memory components fit realized covariance data well.
- The proposed method shows competitive out-of-sample performance.
- Applicable to high-dimensional time series with diverse fractional properties.

## Abstract

We propose a setup for fractionally cointegrated time series which is formulated in terms of latent integrated and short-memory components. It accommodates nonstationary processes with different fractional orders and cointegration of different strengths and is applicable in high-dimensional settings. In an application to realized covariance matrices, we find that orthogonal short- and long-memory components provide a reasonable fit and competitive out-of-sample performance compared to several competing methods.

## Full text

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## Figures

7 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1812.09149/full.md

## References

66 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1812.09149/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1812.09149