Detecting the Orbital Motion of Nearby Supermassive Black Hole Binaries with Gaia
Daniel J. D'Orazio, Abraham Loeb

TL;DR
This paper proposes that the Gaia space observatory can detect the orbital motion of supermassive black hole binaries in nearby active galactic nuclei within a decade, based on astrometric measurements.
Contribution
It demonstrates the potential of Gaia to identify supermassive black hole binaries through astrometric detection in the local universe.
Findings
Detectable binaries have masses around a few times 10^7 solar masses.
Detection is feasible for AGN within redshift z=0.02.
Candidate AGN are bright and nearby, with specific magnitude range.
Abstract
We show that a 10 year Gaia mission could astrometrically detect the orbital motion of ~1 sub-parsec separation supermassive black hole binary in the heart of nearby, bright active galactic nuclei (AGN). Candidate AGN lie out to a redshift of z=0.02 and in the V-band magnitude range . The distribution of detectable binary masses peaks at a few times solar masses and is truncated above a few times solar masses.
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