Parameter identifiability of a respiratory mechanics model in an idealized preterm infant

TL;DR

This study assesses the identifiability of parameters in a nonlinear respiratory model for preterm infants, demonstrating that a subset of six parameters can be reliably estimated from idealized data, supporting patient-specific modeling.

Contribution

It introduces a systematic approach combining sensitivity analysis and optimization to identify estimable parameters in a complex respiratory model for preterm infants.

Findings

Six independent parameters can be estimated reliably.

Parameter estimates converge within 40 iterations.

Estimated parameters are within ~8% of true values.

Abstract

The complexity of mathematical models describing respiratory mechanics has grown in recent years to integrate with cardiovascular models and incorporate nonlinear dynamics. However, additional model complexity has rarely been studied in the context of patient-specific observable data. This study investigates parameter identification of a previously developed nonlinear respiratory mechanics model (Ellwein Fix, PLoS ONE 2018) tuned to the physiology of 1 kg preterm infant, using local deterministic sensitivity analysis, subset selection, and gradient-based optimization. The model consists of 4 differential state equations with 31 parameters to predict airflow and dynamic pulmonary volumes and pressures generated under six simulation conditions. The relative sensitivity solutions of the model state equations with respect to each of the parameters were calculated with finite differences and a sensitivity ranking was created for each parameter and simulation. Subset selection identified a set of independent parameters that could be estimated for all six simulations. The combination of these analyses produced a subset of 6 independent sensitive parameters that could be estimated given idealized clinical data. All optimizations performed using pseudo-data with perturbed nominal parameters converged within 40 iterations and estimated parameters within ~8% of nominal values on average. This analysis indicates the feasibility of performing parameter estimation on real patient-specific data set described by a nonlinear respiratory mechanics model for studying dynamics in preterm infants.