Randomized residual-based error estimators for parametrized equations
Kathrin Smetana, Olivier Zahm, Anthony T Patera

TL;DR
This paper introduces a randomized a posteriori error estimator for reduced order models of parametrized PDEs, which is efficient, probabilistically reliable, and does not require stability constants, demonstrated on a Helmholtz problem.
Contribution
It presents a novel randomized error estimator that is efficient, does not need stability constants, and extends to multiple queries with probabilistic guarantees.
Findings
Estimator effectivity close to unity with high probability
No need for stability constant calculations
Effective reduced dual spaces for Helmholtz problem
Abstract
We propose a randomized a posteriori error estimator for reduced order approximations of parametrized (partial) differential equations. The error estimator has several important properties: the effectivity is close to unity with prescribed lower and upper bounds at specified high probability; the estimator does not require the calculation of stability (coercivity, or inf-sup) constants; the online cost to evaluate the a posteriori error estimator is commensurate with the cost to find the reduced order approximation; the probabilistic bounds extend to many queries with only modest increase in cost. To build this estimator, we first estimate the norm of the error with a Monte-Carlo estimator using Gaussian random vectors whose covariance is chosen according to the desired error measure, e.g. user-defined norms or quantity of interest. Then, we introduce a dual problem with random…
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