Probabilistic bound on extreme fluctuations in isolated quantum systems
Joshua M. Deutsch, Dominik \v{S}afr\'anek, and Anthony Aguirre

TL;DR
This paper establishes probabilistic bounds on how likely an isolated quantum system can contract into a small subspace over time, providing insights into entropy fluctuations and quantum state evolution.
Contribution
It introduces a probabilistic framework to bound the maximum likelihood of quantum state contraction into a subspace over indefinite times.
Findings
Maximal probability approaches 1/2 for real initial states.
Maximal probability approaches π²/16 for complex initial states.
Contraction corresponds to roughly a twofold entropy reduction.
Abstract
We ask to what extent an isolated quantum system can eventually "contract" to be contained within a given Hilbert subspace. We do this by starting with an initial random state, considering the probability that all the particles will be measured in a fixed subspace, and maximizing this probability over all time. This is relevant, for example, in a cosmological context, which may have access to indefinite timescales. We find that when the subspace is much smaller than the entire space, this maximal probability goes to for real initial wave functions, and to when the initial wave function has been drawn from a complex ensemble. For example when starting in a real generic state, the chances of collapsing all particles into a small box will be less than but come arbitrarily close to . This contraction corresponds to an entropy reduction by a factor of approximately…
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