A unified study of nonparametric inference for monotone functions

TL;DR

This paper develops a general theoretical framework for nonparametric inference on monotone functions, extending classical results and enabling analysis of more complex, data-dependent problems with practical benefits.

Contribution

It introduces broad conditions for consistency and convergence of generalized Grenander-type estimators, applicable to complex data scenarios and challenging inference problems.

Findings

Established unified conditions for estimator consistency.

Extended classical results to censored and covariate-dependent data.

Provided numerical validation of theoretical results.

Abstract

The problem of nonparametric inference on a monotone function has been extensively studied in many particular cases. Estimators considered have often been of so-called Grenander type, being representable as the left derivative of the greatest convex minorant or least concave majorant of an estimator of a primitive function. In this paper, we provide general conditions for consistency and pointwise convergence in distribution of a class of generalized Grenander-type estimators of a monotone function. This broad class allows the minorization or majoratization operation to be performed on a data-dependent transformation of the domain, possibly yielding benefits in practice. Additionally, we provide simpler conditions and more concrete distributional theory in the important case that the primitive estimator and data-dependent transformation function are asymptotically linear. We use our general results in the context of various well-studied problems, and show that we readily recover classical results established separately in each case. More importantly, we show that our results allow us to tackle more challenging problems involving parameters for which the use of flexible learning strategies appears necessary. In particular, we study inference on monotone density and hazard functions using informatively right-censored data, extending the classical work on independent censoring, and on a covariate-marginalized conditional mean function, extending the classical work on monotone regression functions. In addition to a theoretical study, we present numerical evidence supporting our large-sample results.