A Geometric Approach for Computing Tolerance Bounds for Elastic Functional Data
J. Derek Tucker, John R. Lewis, Caleb King, and Sebastian Kurtek

TL;DR
This paper introduces a geometric probabilistic model for constructing tolerance bounds for functional data with phase and amplitude variability, useful in process control and disease monitoring.
Contribution
It proposes two novel methods for tolerance bounds based on bootstrap and PCA within a geometric framework, addressing both amplitude and phase variability.
Findings
The bootstrap-based bounds effectively detect deviations in functional data.
PCA-based bounds provide a computationally efficient alternative.
The methods outperform existing approaches in simulated comparisons.
Abstract
We develop a method for constructing tolerance bounds for functional data with random warping variability. In particular, we define a generative, probabilistic model for the amplitude and phase components of such observations, which parsimoniously characterizes variability in the baseline data. Based on the proposed model, we define two different types of tolerance bounds that are able to measure both types of variability, and as a result, identify when the data has gone beyond the bounds of amplitude and/or phase. The first functional tolerance bounds are computed via a bootstrap procedure on the geometric space of amplitude and phase functions. The second functional tolerance bounds utilize functional Principal Component Analysis to construct a tolerance factor. This work is motivated by two main applications: process control and disease monitoring. The problem of statistical analysis…
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