The upper threshold in ballistic annihilation
Debbie Burdinski, Shrey Gupta, and Matthew Junge

TL;DR
This paper investigates the critical probability threshold in a three-speed ballistic annihilation model, improving bounds and employing renewal properties and computational methods to approach a long-standing conjecture.
Contribution
It introduces a renewal approach that relates particle survival to Galton-Watson processes and improves the upper bound on the critical probability for the integer-start variant.
Findings
Improved upper bound on critical probability to 0.2870
Renewal property links particle survival to Galton-Watson processes
Potential to address the conjecture that p_c > 0
Abstract
Three-speed ballistic annihilation starts with infinitely many particles on the real line. Each is independently assigned either speed- with probability , or speed- symmetrically with the remaining probability. All particles simultaneously begin moving at their assigned speeds and mutually annihilate upon colliding. Physicists conjecture when all particles are eventually annihilated. Dygert et. al. prove , while Sidoravicius and Tournier describe an approach to prove . For the variant in which particles start at the integers, we improve the bound to . A renewal property lets us equate survival of a particle to the survival of a Galton-Watson process whose offspring distribution a computer can rigorously approximate. This approach may help answer the nearly thirty-year old conjecture that .
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