Gravitational-wave astrophysics with effective-spin measurements: asymmetries and selection biases

TL;DR

This paper investigates how measurement biases and asymmetries in effective spin distributions from gravitational wave data affect astrophysical population inferences, emphasizing the importance of accounting for these factors in future analyses.

Contribution

It identifies and analyzes the asymmetries and selection biases in effective spin measurements, providing insights for more accurate astrophysical population studies.

Findings

Posterior distributions of ff show asymmetry with fatter tails toward positive values.

Measurement uncertainties are larger for negative true ff values.

Selection biases can distort the observed ff distribution, affecting population inference.

Abstract

Gravitational waves emitted by coalescing compact objects carry information about the spin of the individual bodies. However, with present detectors only the mass-weighted combination of the components of the spin along the orbital angular momentum can be measured accurately. This quantity, the effective spin $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$, is conserved up to at least the second post-Newtonian order. The measured distribution of $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ values from a population of detected binaries, and in particular whether this distribution is symmetric about zero, encodes valuable information about the underlying compact-binary formation channels. In this paper we focus on two important complications of using the effective spin to study astrophysical population properties: (i) an astrophysical distribution for $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ values which is symmetric does not necessarily lead to a symmetric distribution for the detected effective spin values, leading to a \emph{selection bias}; and (ii) the posterior distribution of $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ for individual events is \emph{asymmetric} and it cannot usually be treated as a Gaussian. We find that the posterior distributions for $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ systematically show fatter tails toward larger positive values, unless the total mass is large or the mass ratio $m_2/m_1$ is smaller than $\sim 1/2$. Finally we show that uncertainties in the measurement of $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ are systematically larger when the true value is negative than when it is positive. All these factors can bias astrophysical inference about the population when we have more than $\sim 100$ events and should be taken into account when using gravitational-wave measurements to characterize astrophysical populations.