Dust modelling and a dynamical study of comet 41P/Tuttle-Giacobini-Kresak during its 2017 perihelion passage

TL;DR

This study combines observational data and numerical simulations to analyze the dust environment and dynamical evolution of comet 41P/Tuttle-Giacobini-Kresak during its 2017 perihelion passage, revealing complex dust emission patterns and an estimated orbital lifetime of around 3600 years.

Contribution

It provides a comprehensive dust and dynamical analysis of comet 41P using Monte Carlo modeling and stability experiments, offering new insights into its dust emission behavior and orbital longevity.

Findings

Comet 41P exhibited shifting dust emission patterns between isotropic and anisotropic phases.

Total dust mass loss during the observation period was approximately 7.5×10^8 kg.

The comet's orbit is expected to remain stable for about 3600 years, with potential mass loss of 30%.

Abstract

Thanks to the Rosetta mission, our understanding of comets has greatly improved. A very good opportunity to apply this knowledge appeared in early 2017 with the appearance of the Jupiter family comet 41P/TGK. We performed an observational campaign with the TRAPPIST telescopes that covered almost the entire period of time when the comet was active. In this work we present a comprehensive study of the evolution of the dust environment of 41P based on observational data from January to July, 2017. Also, we performed numerical simulations to constrain its origin and dynamical nature. To model the observational data set we used a Monte Carlo dust tail model, which allowed us to derive the dust parameters that best describe its dust environment as a function of heliocentric distance. In order to study its dynamical evolution, we completed several experiments to evaluate the degree of stability of its orbit, its life time in its current region close to Earth, and its future behaviour. From the dust analysis, we found that comet 41P has a complex emission pattern that shifted from full isotropic to anisotropic ejection sometime during February 24-March 14 in 2017, and then from anisotropic to full isotropic again between June 7-28. During the anisotropic period, the emission was controlled by two strongly active areas, where one was located in the southern and one in the northern hemisphere of the nucleus. The total dust mass loss is estimated to be $\sim7.5\times10^{8}$ kg. From the dynamical simulations we estimate that $\sim$3600 yr is the period of time during which 41P will remain in a similar orbit. Taking into account the estimated mass loss per orbit, after 3600 yr, the nucleus may lose about 30$\%$ of its mass. However, based on its observed dust-to-water mass ratio and its propensity to outbursts, the lifetime of this comet could be much shorter.