The Dependence of the Peak Velocity of High-Speed Solar Wind Streams as Measured in the Ecliptic by ACE and the STEREO satellites on the Area and Co-Latitude of their Solar Source Coronal Holes

TL;DR

This study analyzes how the size and position of solar coronal holes influence the velocity and geo-effectiveness of high-speed solar wind streams reaching Earth, highlighting the importance of source location for space weather prediction.

Contribution

It provides a detailed statistical analysis linking coronal hole properties, especially latitude and area, to high-speed stream velocities and geomagnetic impact, emphasizing the three-dimensional propagation effects.

Findings

Peak velocities depend on coronal hole area and co-latitude.

High-speed streams from equatorial holes are more likely to hit Earth.

Stream impact probability decreases with increasing coronal hole latitude.

Abstract

We study the properties of 115 coronal holes in the time-range from 2010/08 to 2017/03, the peak velocities of the corresponding high-speed streams as measured in the ecliptic at 1 AU, and the corresponding changes of the Kp index as marker of their geo-effectiveness. We find that the peak velocities of high-speed streams depend strongly on both the ar- eas and the co-latitudes of their solar source coronal holes with regard to the heliospheric latitude of the satellites. Therefore, the co-latitude of their source coronal hole is an im- portant parameter for the prediction of the high-speed stream properties near the Earth. We derive the largest solar wind peak velocities normalized to the coronal hole areas for coronal holes located near the solar equator, and that they linearly decrease with increas- ing latitudes of the coronal holes. For coronal holes located at latitudes & 60{\deg}, they turn statistically to zero, indicating that the associated high-speed streams have a high chance to miss the Earth. Similar, the Kp index per coronal hole area is highest for the coronal holes located near the solar equator and strongly decreases with increasing latitudes of the coronal holes. We interpret these results as an effect of the three-dimensional propaga- tion of high-speed streams in the heliosphere, i.e., high-speed streams arising from coro- nal holes near the solar equator propagate in direction towards and directly hit the Earth, whereas solar wind streams arising from coronal holes at higher solar latitudes only graze or even miss the Earth.