TL;DR
This paper introduces diagnostic tests and plots to evaluate the reliability of nested sampling in Bayesian computation, ensuring accurate parameter estimation and evidence calculation, and provides a Python package for practical implementation.
Contribution
It presents new diagnostic tools and plots for nested sampling, along with a Python package, to improve the reliability of Bayesian computations in complex problems.
Findings
Diagnostic tests effectively identify sampling issues.
Plots help visualize sampling reliability.
The Python package supports multiple nested sampling software.
Abstract
Nested sampling is an increasingly popular technique for Bayesian computation, in particular for multimodal, degenerate problems of moderate to high dimensionality. Without appropriate settings, however, nested sampling software may fail to explore such posteriors correctly; for example producing correlated samples or missing important modes. This paper introduces new diagnostic tests to assess the reliability both of parameter estimation and evidence calculations using nested sampling software, and demonstrates them empirically. We present two new diagnostic plots for nested sampling, and give practical advice for nested sampling software users in astronomy and beyond. Our diagnostic tests and diagrams are implemented in nestcheck: a publicly available Python package for analysing nested sampling calculations, which is compatible with output from MultiNest, PolyChord and dyPolyChord.
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