The bunkbed conjecture on the complete graph
Peter van Hintum, Piet Lammers

TL;DR
This paper proves the bunkbed conjecture for the complete graph with a fixed percolation probability, confirming the intuitive idea that vertices are more likely to connect within the same layer than across layers.
Contribution
It provides a proof of the bunkbed conjecture specifically for the complete graph under constant percolation conditions, a case that was previously unresolved.
Findings
Confirmed the bunkbed conjecture for the complete graph
Established the conjecture for fixed percolation parameters
Enhanced understanding of connectivity probabilities in layered graphs
Abstract
The bunkbed conjecture was first posed by Kasteleyn. If is a finite graph and some subset of , then the bunkbed of the pair is the graph plus extra edges to connect for every the vertices and . The conjecture asserts that is more likely to connect with than with in the independent bond percolation model for any . This is intuitive because is in some sense closer to than it is to . The conjecture has however resisted several attempts of proof. This paper settles the conjecture in the case of a constant percolation parameter and the complete graph.
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