Hierarchical multi-stage MCMC follow-up of continuous gravitational wave candidates
Gregory Ashton, Reinhard Prix

TL;DR
This paper presents a hierarchical MCMC-based method for follow-up and parameter estimation of continuous gravitational wave candidates, improving search efficiency and accuracy in noisy data.
Contribution
It introduces a novel hierarchical MCMC approach tailored for continuous gravitational wave candidate follow-up, with tools to manage parameter space effectively.
Findings
Method approaches theoretical optimal performance in simulations
Demonstrates effective parameter estimation for continuous wave sources
Provides a framework for controlling parameter space size
Abstract
Leveraging Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) optimization of the F-statistic, we introduce a method for the hierarchical follow-up of continuous gravitational wave candidates identified by wide-parameter space semi-coherent searches. We demonstrate parameter estimation for continuous wave sources and develop a framework and tools to understand and control the effective size of the parameter space, critical to the success of the method. Monte Carlo tests of simulated signals in noise demonstrate that this method is close to the theoretical optimal performance.
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