Asymptotic Network Robustness

TL;DR

This paper investigates how network performance measures, specifically energy and tail risk, scale with network size, revealing fundamental differences between directed and undirected networks and connecting control theory with economic risk analysis.

Contribution

It establishes a connection between energy metrics and tail risk in networks, providing new insights into how network topology influences performance deterioration at large scales.

Findings

Undirected networks have the most graceful energy growth rates.

Directed networks can exhibit exponentially faster energy growth.

Topology, not specific measures, governs large-scale network behavior.

Abstract

This paper examines the dependence of network performance measures on network size and considers scaling results for large networks. We connect two performance measures that are well studied, but appear to be unrelated. The first measure is concerned with energy metrics, namely the $\Hcal_2$--norm of a network, which arises in control theory applications. The second measure is concerned with the notion of "tail risk" which arises in economic and financial networks. We study the question of why such performance measures may deteriorate at a faster rate than the growth rate of the network. We first focus on the energy metric and its well known connection to controllability Gramian of the underlying dynamical system. We show that undirected networks exhibit the most graceful energy growth rates as network size grows. This rate is quantified completely by the proximity of spectral radius to unity or distance to instability. In contrast, we show that the simple characterization of energy in terms of network spectrum does not exist for directed networks. We demonstrate that, for any fixed distance to instability, energy of a directed network can grow at an exponentially faster rate. We provide general methods for manipulating networks to reduce energy. In particular, we prove that certain operations that increase the symmetry in a network cannot increase energy (in an order sense). Secondly, we focus on tail risk in economic and financial networks. In contrast to $\Hcal_2$--norm which arises from computing the expectation of energy in the network, tail risk focuses on tail probability behavior of network variables. Although the two measures differ substantially we show that they are precisely connected through the system Gramian. This surprising result explains why topology considerations rather than specific performance measures dictate the large scale behavior of networks.