Positive association of the oriented percolation cluster in randomly oriented graphs
Fran\c{c}ois Bienvenu

TL;DR
This paper provides an elementary proof that in randomly oriented graphs, the events of reaching different vertices from a source set are positively associated, strengthening previous results that used complex probabilistic inequalities.
Contribution
It offers a simpler, more accessible proof of positive association in oriented percolation clusters, improving upon prior complex methods.
Findings
Events $ ext{S} o i$ are positively associated for all vertices $i$.
Positive association holds for increasing functionals of reachability events.
Elementary proof replaces advanced probabilistic inequalities.
Abstract
Consider any fixed graph whose edges have been randomly and independently oriented, and write to indicate that there is an oriented path going from a vertex to vertex . Narayanan (2016) proved that for any set and any two vertices and , and are positively correlated. His proof relies on the Ahlswede-Daykin inequality, a rather advanced tool of probabilistic combinatorics. In this short note, I give an elementary proof of the following, stronger result: writing for the vertex set of the graph, for any source set , the events , , are positively associated -- meaning that the expectation of the product of increasing functionals of the family for is greater than the product of their expectations.
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