Mathematical modeling of Zika disease in pregnant women and newborns with microcephaly in Brazil

TL;DR

This paper introduces a new mathematical model for Zika virus transmission focusing on pregnant women and microcephaly, validated with simulations matching Brazil's outbreak data.

Contribution

The paper presents a novel mathematical model specifically incorporating microcephaly transmission dynamics in Zika spread.

Findings

Model accurately fits Brazil's Zika outbreak data

Highlights microcephaly transmission pathways

Provides a tool for outbreak prediction and control

Abstract

We propose a new mathematical model for the spread of Zika virus. Special attention is paid to the transmission of microcephaly. Numerical simulations show the accuracy of the model with respect to the Zika outbreak occurred in Brazil.