On frequency estimation for partially observed processes with small noise in observations
O.V. Chernoyarov, Yu.A. Kutoyants

TL;DR
This paper investigates the accuracy of frequency estimation for a periodic signal affected by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise and white Gaussian noise, demonstrating the estimator's consistency and asymptotic normality in small noise conditions.
Contribution
It introduces a maximum likelihood estimator for frequency in a partially observed system with small noise, based on Kalman-Bucy filter asymptotics, and proves its statistical properties.
Findings
Estimator is consistent in small noise limit
Estimator is asymptotically normal
Method applies to linear partially observed systems
Abstract
We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator in the asymptotics of small noise in observations. The model of observations is a linear nonhomogeneous partially observed system and the construction and study of the estimator is essentialy based on the asymptotics of the equations of Kalman-Bucy filtration.
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Taxonomy
TopicsFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Probability and Risk Models · Stochastic processes and financial applications
