Modeling WiFi Traffic for White Space Prediction in Wireless Sensor Networks
Indika S.A. Dhanapala, Ramona Marfievici, Sameera Palipana, Piyush, Agrawal, Dirk Pesch

TL;DR
This paper introduces a statistical modeling approach using Markov models to predict WiFi interference and white space availability, improving low-power wireless network performance in congested 2.4 GHz spectrum.
Contribution
It presents a novel combination of MMPP(2) and HMM models for accurate WiFi interference and channel occupancy prediction based on real-world data.
Findings
MMPP(2) accurately models WiFi traffic patterns.
HMM-based prediction outperforms random channel access.
Encouraging results for interference-aware white space prediction.
Abstract
Cross Technology Interference (CTI) is a prevalent phenomenon in the 2.4 GHz unlicensed spectrum causing packet losses and increased channel contention. In particular, WiFi interference is a severe problem for low-power wireless networks as its presence causes a significant degradation of the overall performance. In this paper, we propose a proactive approach based on WiFi interference modeling for accurately predicting transmission opportunities for low-power wireless networks. We leverage statistical analysis of real-world WiFi traces to learn aggregated traffic characteristics in terms of Inter-Arrival Time (IAT) that, once captured into a specific 2nd order Markov Modulated Poisson Process (MMPP(2)) model, enable accurate estimation of interference. We further use a hidden Markov model (HMM) for channel occupancy prediction. We evaluated the performance of i) the MMPP(2) traffic…
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