TL;DR
This paper models out-of-transit refracted light in exoplanet atmospheres, exploring its detectability, especially around late M stars, and discusses potential observations with current and future telescopes.
Contribution
It provides a comprehensive model of atmospheric refraction effects and formalism for detecting refracted light signals in exoplanet systems, including non-transiting planets.
Findings
Refraction signals are detectable mainly around late M stars at >0.5 AU.
Rayleigh scattering limits visible wavelength detection in most systems.
Longer wavelengths increase the likelihood of observing refracted light.
Abstract
Before an exoplanet transit, atmospheric refraction bends light into the line of sight of an observer. The refracted light forms a stellar mirage, a distorted secondary image of the host star. I model this phenomenon and the resultant out-of-transit flux increase across a comprehensive exoplanetary parameter space. At visible wavelengths, Rayleigh scattering limits the detectability of stellar mirages in most exoplanetary systems with semi-major axes 6 AU. A notable exception is almost any planet orbiting a late M or ultra-cool dwarf star at 0.5 AU, where the maximum relative flux increase is greater than 50 parts-per-million. Based partly on previous work, I propose that the importance of refraction in an exoplanet system is governed by two angles: the orbital distance divided by the stellar radius and the total deflection achieved by a ray in the optically thin…
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