Simulation of Integro-Differential Equation and Application in Estimation of Ruin Probability with Mixed Fractional Brownian Motion
Chunhao Cai, Weilin Xiao

TL;DR
This paper develops a numerical method using probability theory to solve integro-differential equations and applies it to estimate ruin probabilities influenced by mixed fractional Brownian motion, a process with complex dependence structures.
Contribution
It introduces a novel probability-based numerical approach for integro-differential equations and applies it to ruin probability estimation with mixed fractional Brownian motion.
Findings
Successful simulation of ruin probability with mixed fractional Brownian motion
New numerical method for integro-differential equations based on martingale theory
Demonstrates applicability to complex stochastic processes
Abstract
In this paper, we are concerned with the numerical solution of one type integro-differential equation by a probability method based on the fundamental martingale of mixed Gaussian processes. As an application, we will try to simulate the estimation of ruin probability with an unknown parameter driven not by the classical L\'evy process but by the mixed fractional Brownian motion.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Probability and Risk Models
