Polymorphism in elemental silicon: Probabilistic interpretation of the realizability of metastable structures
Eric Jones, Vladan Stevanovic

TL;DR
This paper introduces a probabilistic framework based on statistical mechanics and density functional theory to explain why certain silicon polymorphs are experimentally observed as metastable, while many others are not.
Contribution
It presents a novel probabilistic model that predicts the likelihood of metastable silicon structures forming under near-equilibrium conditions.
Findings
The probability depends on the energy basin hypervolume and Boltzmann weight.
The model accurately accounts for silicon's observed metastable polymorphs.
Many low-energy structures are unlikely to form despite their stability.
Abstract
With few systems of technological interest having been studied as extensively as elemental silicon, there currently exists a wide disparity between the number of predicted low-energy silicon polymorphs and those, which have been experimentally realized as metastable at ambient conditions. We put forward an explanation for this disparity wherein the likelihood of formation of a given polymorph under near-equilibrium conditions can be estimated on the basis of mean field isothermal-isobaric (N, p, T) ensemble statistics. The probability that a polymorph will be experimentally realized is shown to depend upon both the hypervolume of that structure's potential energy basin of attraction and a Boltzmann factor weight containing the polymorph's potential enthalpy per particle. Both attributes are calculated using density functional theory relaxations of randomly generated initial structures.…
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