Counting Hamilton cycles in sparse random directed graphs
Asaf Ferber, Matthew Kwan, Benny Sudakov

TL;DR
This paper strengthens known results by precisely estimating the typical number of directed Hamilton cycles in sparse random directed graphs, showing it is approximately n! times p^n under certain conditions.
Contribution
It provides a new asymptotic estimate for the number of Hamilton cycles in D(n,p) matching the threshold for Hamiltonicity, and extends to a hitting-time result in the random graph process.
Findings
Number of Hamilton cycles is typically n!(p(1+o(1)))^n in D(n,p).
At the hitting time when minimum degrees reach 1, there are about n!(log n / n)^n Hamilton cycles.
The results strengthen the understanding of Hamiltonicity thresholds and cycle counts in sparse random directed graphs.
Abstract
Let D(n,p) be the random directed graph on n vertices where each of the n(n-1) possible arcs is present independently with probability p. A celebrated result of Frieze shows that if then D(n,p) typically has a directed Hamilton cycle, and this is best possible. In this paper, we obtain a strengthening of this result, showing that under the same condition, the number of directed Hamilton cycles in D(n,p) is typically . We also prove a hitting-time version of this statement, showing that in the random directed graph process, as soon as every vertex has in-/out-degrees at least 1, there are typically directed Hamilton cycles.
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