No Rescue for the No Boundary Proposal
Job Feldbrugge, Jean-Luc Lehners, Neil Turok

TL;DR
This paper critically examines the Lorentzian path integral approach to quantum gravity, demonstrating that the no boundary proposal cannot be rescued by alternative contours, and reveals issues with perturbation suppression and non-perturbative corrections.
Contribution
It provides a rigorous analysis showing no complex contour can fix the unsuppressed perturbations in the Lorentzian no boundary proposal, challenging its viability.
Findings
Opposite semiclassical exponent to Hartle-Hawking for de Sitter creation
Linear perturbations are governed by an inverse Gaussian distribution
No complex contour can eliminate non-perturbative corrections
Abstract
In recent work, we introduced Picard-Lefschetz theory as a tool for defining the Lorentzian path integral for quantum gravity in a systematic semiclassical expansion. This formulation avoids several pitfalls occurring in the Euclidean approach. Our method provides, in particular, a more precise formulation of the Hartle-Hawking no boundary proposal, as a sum over real Lorentzian four-geometries interpolating between an initial three-geometry of zero size, {\it i.e}, a point, and a final three-geometry. With this definition, we calculated the no boundary amplitude for a closed universe with a cosmological constant, assuming cosmological symmetry for the background and including linear perturbations. We found the opposite semiclassical exponent to that obtained by Hartle and Hawking for the creation of a de Sitter spacetime "from nothing". Furthermore, we found the linearized…
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