A Probabilistic Calculus of Cyber-Physical Systems
Ruggero Lanotte, Massimo Merro, Simone Tini

TL;DR
This paper introduces a probabilistic process calculus tailored for modeling and analyzing cyber-physical systems, enabling compositional reasoning and behavioral distance measurement.
Contribution
It presents a novel hybrid probabilistic calculus with bisimulation semantics and metrics for CPSs, supported by a practical engineering case study.
Findings
Defined a probabilistic labelled transition system for CPSs
Developed bisimulation-based behavioral semantics for compositional reasoning
Introduced probabilistic metrics for behavioral distance in CPSs
Abstract
We propose a hybrid probabilistic process calculus for modelling and reasoning on cyber-physical systems (CPSs). The dynamics of the calculus is expressed in terms of a probabilistic labelled transition system in the SOS style of Plotkin. This is used to define a bisimulation-based probabilistic behavioural semantics which supports compositional reasonings. For a more careful comparison between CPSs, we provide two compositional probabilistic metrics to formalise the notion of behavioural distance between systems, also in the case of bounded computations. Finally, we provide a non-trivial case study, taken from an engineering application, and use it to illustrate our definitions and our compositional behavioural theory for CPSs.
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