# Virtual Relationships: Short- and Long-run Evidence from BitCoin and   Altcoin Markets

**Authors:** Pavel Ciaian, Miroslava Rajcaniova, d'Artis Kancs

arXiv: 1706.07216 · 2017-06-23

## TL;DR

This paper investigates the short- and long-term interdependencies between Bitcoin and altcoin markets using time-series analysis, revealing stronger short-term links and the influence of macro-financial factors in the long run.

## Contribution

It provides empirical evidence on the interdependence and differing dynamics between Bitcoin and altcoin prices over time, using comprehensive daily data analysis.

## Key findings

- Bitcoin and altcoin markets are interdependent.
- Short-term relationships are stronger than long-term.
- Macro-financial indicators influence long-term altcoin prices.

## Abstract

This study empirically examines interdependencies between BitCoin and altcoin markets in the short- and long-run. We apply time-series analytical mechanisms to daily data of 17 virtual currencies (BitCoin + 16 alternative virtual currencies) and two Altcoin price indices for the period 2013-2016. Our empirical findings confirm that indeed BitCoin and Altcoin markets are interdependent. The BitCoin-Altcoin price relationship is significantly stronger in the short-run than in the long-run. We cannot fully confirm the hypothesis that the BitCoin price relationship is stronger with those Altcoins that are more similar in their price formation mechanism to BitCoin. In the long-run, macro-financial indicators determine the altcoin price formation to a greater degree than BitCoin does. The virtual currency supply is exogenous and therefore plays only a limited role in the price formation.

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1706.07216