# On a Class of Objective Priors from Scoring Rules

**Authors:** Fabrizio Leisen, Cristiano Villa, Stephen G. Walker

arXiv: 1706.00599 · 2018-09-25

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a new class of objective priors derived from proper scoring rules, which are flexible, proper, and useful in complex models like mixtures and model selection, independent of the sampling distribution.

## Contribution

It proposes a novel approach to constructing objective priors using proper scoring rules, removing dependence on the sampling model, and enabling proper priors in complex scenarios.

## Key findings

- The new priors are proper and flexible.
- They perform well in mixture models.
- They facilitate Bayesian model comparison.

## Abstract

Objective prior distributions represent an important tool that allows one to have the advantages of using the Bayesian framework even when information about the parameters of a model is not available. The usual objective approaches work off the chosen statistical model and in the majority of cases the resulting prior is improper, which can pose limitations to a practical implementation, even when the complexity of the model is moderate. In this paper we propose to take a novel look at the construction of objective prior distributions, where the connection with a chosen sampling distribution model is removed. We explore the notion of defining objective prior distributions which allow one to have some degree of flexibility, in particular in exhibiting some desirable features, such as being proper, or centered on specific values which would be of interest in nested model comparisons. The basic tool we use are proper scoring rules and the main result is a class of objective prior distributions that can be employed in scenarios where the usual model based priors fail, such as mixture models and model selection via Bayes factors. In addition, we show that the proposed class of priors is the result of minimising the information it contains, providing solid interpretation to the method.

## Full text

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## Figures

45 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1706.00599/full.md

## References

63 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1706.00599/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1706.00599