Optimal insider control of stochastic Volterra equations
Olfa Draouil

TL;DR
This paper develops maximum principles for optimal insider control of stochastic Volterra equations, addressing partial and inside information scenarios, with applications to insider trading in financial markets.
Contribution
It introduces new maximum principles for controlling stochastic Volterra equations with partial and inside information, advancing insider trading models.
Findings
Derived necessary and sufficient maximum principles.
Applied results to optimal insider portfolio problem.
Enhanced understanding of control under partial and inside information.
Abstract
We study the problem of optimal inside control of a stochastic Volterra equation driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We prove a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for the optimal control when the trader has only partial information available to her decisions and on the other hand, may have some inside information about the future of the system. The results are applied to the problem of finding the optimal insider portfolio in a financial market where the risky asset price is given by a stochastic Volterra equation.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
11footnotetext: Department of Mathematics, University of Tunis El Manar, Tunis, Tunisia.
Email: [email protected]
Optimal insider control of stochastic Volterra equations
Olfa Draouil1
(26 March 2017 )
Abstract
We study the problem of optimal inside control of a stochastic Volterra equation driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We prove a sufficient and a necessary maximum principle for the optimal control when the trader has only partial information available to her decisions and on the other hand, may have some inside information about the future of the system. The results are applied to the problem of finding the optimal insider portfolio in a financial market where the risky asset price is given by a stochastic Volterra equation.
MSC(2010):
60H10, 91A15, 91A23, 91B38, 91B55, 91B70, 93E20
Keywords:
Stochastic Volterra equation; optimal control; inside information; Donsker delta functional; stochastic maximum principle.
1 Introduction
In this paper we consider an optimal control problem for a stochastic process defined as the solution of a stochastic Volterra (integral) equation (SVIE) given by
[TABLE]
Here and is a Brownian motion and an independent compensated Poisson random measure, respectively, jointly defined on a filtered probability space satisfying the usual conditions. The process is our insider control process, where is a given -measurable random variable for some , representing the inside information available to the controller. Note that from (1) we get:
[TABLE]
We assume that the inside information is of initial enlargement type. Specifically, we assume that the inside filtration has the form
[TABLE]
for all , where is a given -measurable random variable, for some (constant). Here and in the following we use the right-continuous version of , i.e. we put
We also assume that the Donsker delta functional of exists (see below). This assumption implies that the Jacod condition holds, and hence that and are semimartingales with respect to . See e.g. [DØ2] for details. Let be a given family of admissible controls, required to be -predictable, where is a given subfiltration of in the sense that for all . That is mean that for all . We assume that the value at time of our insider control process is allowed to depend on both and . In other words, is assumed to be -adapted. Therefore it has the form
[TABLE]
for some function such that is -adapted for each . For simplicity (albeit with some abuse of notation) we will in the following write instead of . In other word, we study the case when the controller has only partial information available to her decisions and on the other hand, may have some inside information about the future of the system.
Let denote the set of admissible control values. We assume that the functions
[TABLE]
are given bounded functions with respect to and and -adapted processes in for each given . The performance functional of a control process is defined by
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
are given bounded functions, with respect to and , is -adapted for each and is -measurable for each . The functions and are called the profit rate density and terminal payoff density, respectively. For completeness of the presentation we allow these functions to depend explicitly on the future value also, although this would not be the typical case in applications. But it could be that and are influenced by the future value directly through the action of an insider, in addition to being influenced indirectly through the control process and the corresponding state process .
Problem 1.1
Find such that
[TABLE]
2 The Donsker delta functional
To study this problem we adapt the technique of the paper [DØ1] to the stochastic Volterra equation (SVE) and we combine this with the method for optimal control of SVE developed in [AØ]. We first recall briefly the definition and basic properties of the Donsker delta functional:
Definition 2.1
Let be a random variable which also belongs to . Then a continuous functional
[TABLE]
is called a Donsker delta functional of if it has the property that
[TABLE]
for all (measurable) such that the integral converges.
For example, consider the special case when is a first order chaos random variable of the form
[TABLE]
for some deterministic functions such that
[TABLE]
and for every there exists such that
[TABLE]
This condition implies that the polynomials are dense in , where . It also guarantees that the measure integrates all polynomials of degree .
In this case it is well known (see e.g. [MØP], [DiØ1], Theorem 3.5, and [DØP],[DiØ2]) that the Donsker delta functional exists in and is given by
[TABLE]
where denotes the Wick exponential. Moreover, we have for
[TABLE]
If and denotes the Hida-Malliavin derivative at and with respect to and , respectively, we have
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
For more information about the Donsker delta functional, Hida-Malliavin calculus and their properties, see [DØ1].
From now on we assume that is a given random variable which also belongs to , with a Donsker delta functional satisfying
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
3 Transforming the insider control problem to a related parameterized non-insider problem
Since is -adapted, we get by using the definition of the Donsker delta functional of that
[TABLE]
for some -parameterized process which is -adapted for each . Then, again by the definition of the Donsker delta functional we can write
[TABLE]
Comparing (3.1) and (3) we see that (3.1) holds if we for each choose as the solution of the classical (but parameterized ) SVIE
[TABLE]
As before let be the given family of admissible adapted controls . Then in terms of the performance functional of a control process defined in (1.6) gets the form
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Thus we see that to maximize it suffices to maximize for each value of the parameter . Therefore Problem 1.1 is transformed into the problem
Problem 3.1
For each given find such that
[TABLE]
4 A sufficient-type maximum principle
In this section we will establish a sufficient maximum principle for Problem 3.1.
Problem 3.1 is a stochastic control problem with a standard (albeit parameterized) stochastic Volterra equation (3) for the state process , but with a non-standard performance functional given by (3). We can solve this problem by a modified maximum principle approach, as follows:
Let and be the set of all stochastic processes with parameter space and , respectively, where . Define the Hamiltonian functionals:
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
by
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Here denotes the set of all functions such that the last integral above converges.The quantities are called the adjoint variables. Define
[TABLE]
The adjoint processes are defined as the solution of the -parameterized backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE)
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
We can now state the first maximum principle for our problem (3.6):
Theorem 4.1
*[Sufficient-type maximum principle]
Let , and denote the associated solution of (3) and (4.6) by and
, respectively. Assume that the following hold:*
* is concave for all * 2. 2.
* is concave for all * 3. 3.
\sup_{w\in\mathbb{U}}E[H\big{(}t,\hat{X}(t,z),w,\widehat{p}(t,z),\widehat{q}(t,z),\hat{r}(t,z,\zeta)\big{)}|\mathcal{G}_{t}]
=E[H\big{(}t,\widehat{X}(t,z),\widehat{u}(t,z),\widehat{p}(t,z),\widehat{q}(t,z),\hat{r}(t,z,\zeta)\big{)}|\mathcal{G}_{t}]* for all *
Then is an optimal insider control for Problem 3.1.
Proof. By considering an increasing sequence of stopping times converging to , we may assume that all local integrals appearing in the computations below are martingales and hence have expectation 0. See [ØS2]. We omit the details.
Choose arbitrary , and let the corresponding solution of (3) and (4.6) be , , , . For simplicity of notation we write
, and similarly with , , , and so on.
Moreover put
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
and similarly with and . In the following we write , , .
Consider
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
By the definition of we have
[TABLE]
Since is concave with respect to we have
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
By the Fubini Theorem, we get
[TABLE]
and similarly, by the duality theorems,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Substituting (4.14), (4) and (4) into (4.13), we get
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
By the concavity assumption of in we have:
[TABLE]
Then equation (4) becomes
[TABLE]
and the maximum condition implies that
[TABLE]
Hence by (4) we get . Since was arbitrary, this shows that is optimal.
5 A necessary-type maximum principle
We proceed to establish a corresponding necessary maximum principle. For this, we do not need concavity conditions, but instead we need the following assumptions about the set of admissible control processes:
- •
. For all and all bounded -measurable random variables , the control belongs to .
- •
. For all with for all define
[TABLE]
and put
[TABLE]
Then the control
[TABLE]
belongs to for all .
- •
. For all as in (5.2) the derivative process
[TABLE]
exists, and belong to and
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
Theorem 5.1
*[Necessary-type maximum principle]
Let and . Then the following are equivalent:*
* for all bounded of the form (5.2).* 2. 2.
* for all *
Proof. For simplicity of notation we write instead of in the following.
By considering an increasing sequence of stopping times converging to , we may assume that all local integrals appearing in the computations below are martingales and have expectation 0. See [ØS2]. We omit the details.
We can write
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
By our assumptions on and and by (5.3) we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
We have
[TABLE]
Since then
[TABLE]
By the Itô formula
[TABLE]
From (4.14), (4) and (4), we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
We conclude that
[TABLE]
if and only if
[TABLE]
for all bounded of the form (5.2).
In particular, applying this to as in , we get that this is again equivalent to
[TABLE]
Differentiating the right-hand side of (5.13), we get
[TABLE]
Since this holds for all bounded -measurable , so we deduce that
[TABLE]
6 Applications
6.1 The case when the coefficients do not depend on
Consider the case when the coefficients do not depend on , i.e., the system has the form:
[TABLE]
with performance functional
[TABLE]
In this case the Hamiltonian given in (4.5) takes the form
[TABLE]
The BSDE (4.6) for the adjoint variables gets the form
[TABLE]
which has the solution
[TABLE]
Substituting (6.5)-(6.7) into (6.1) we get
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Since we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
Then is reduced to
[TABLE]
We conclude that, in this case, we have the following maximum principles:
Theorem 6.1
*(Sufficient maximum principle)
Suppose that the coefficients and of the stochastic control system (6.1)-(6.2) do not depend on . Let with associated solution of (6.1). Suppose that the functions*
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
are concave and that, for all ,
[TABLE]
Then, is an optimal control, i.e.,
[TABLE]
Theorem 6.2
*(Necessary maximum principle) Let and be as in Theorem 6.1. Let with associated solution of (6.1). Then the following, (i) and (ii), are equivalent:
(i) for all processes of the form (5.2).
(ii)*
7 Example: Optimal insider portfolio in a financial market modeled by a Volterra equation
In this example, we choose . Consider a financial market where the unit price of the risk free asset is
[TABLE]
and the unit price process of the risky asset has no jumps and is given by
[TABLE]
Then the wealth process associated to a portfolio , interpreted as the fraction of the wealth invested in the risky asset at time , is described by the linear stochastic Volterra equation
[TABLE]
or, in differential form
[TABLE]
Let be a given utility function. We want to find such that
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Note that, in terms of our process we have
[TABLE]
or in the integral form:
[TABLE]
We assume that and are given bounded processes, and that and are -measurable for all and with respect to for all , a.s. We also assume that
[TABLE]
We assume that . If , then it follows that for all . To see this, note that from (7.7) we get
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
The performance functional gets the form
[TABLE]
This is a problem of the type investigated in the previous sections (in the special case with no jumps) and we can apply the results there to solve it, as follows: The Hamiltonian gets the form, with ,
[TABLE]
while the BSDE of the adjoint processes becomes
[TABLE]
Suppose there exists an optimal control for (5.18) with corresponding . Then,
[TABLE]
i.e.,
[TABLE]
Since , this is equivalent to
[TABLE]
We deduce that the corresponding BSDE (7.14) reduces to
[TABLE]
which has the unique solution
[TABLE]
Substituted (7.19) into (7), this gives the equation
[TABLE]
where we have used that
[TABLE]
Equation (7) can be simplified to
[TABLE]
or
[TABLE]
By (7.9) we see that (7.23) can be written
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
By the chain rule for Malliavin derivatives, we deduce from that
[TABLE]
On the other hand, since is a positive martingale, there exists an adapted process such that
[TABLE]
i.e.,
[TABLE]
From (7.28) we get
[TABLE]
Comparing (7.26) and (7.29) we conclude that
[TABLE]
and hence, by (7.25),
[TABLE]
It remains to find the constant
[TABLE]
From (7) with we get
[TABLE]
To make this more explicit, we proceed as follows: Define
[TABLE]
Then by the generalized Clark-Ocone theorem
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
Solving this SDE for we get
[TABLE]
Substituting this into (7.33) we get
[TABLE]
Then we can deduce that
[TABLE]
On the other hand, if we define
[TABLE]
then by (7.8), the pair solves the following (Yong type) backward stochastic Volterra integral equation (BSVIE)
[TABLE]
By Theorem 3.2 in [20] the solution of this equation is unique. Putting and taking expectation in (7.41), we get
[TABLE]
This equation determines implicitly the value of . Hence by (7.39) we have found the optimal terminal wealth . Then, finally we obtain the optimal portfolio by (7.40). Conversely, since the functions and are concave, we see that found above satisfies the conditions of Theorem 4.1, and hence is indeed optimal. We summarize what we have proved as follows:
Theorem 7.1
Assume that is bounded away from 0, for . Then, the optimal portfolio for the problem (7.6) is
[TABLE]
where
[TABLE]
with is the unique solution of the BSVIE (7.41) with defined by (7.39), and the constant is the solution of (7.42).
**Acknowledgment
**We are grateful to Bernt Øksendal for helpful comments.
The reference list from the paper itself. Each links out to its DOI / PubMed record.
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