Temporal and Spatial Turnpike-Type Results Under Forward Time-Monotone Performance Criteria
Tianran Geng, Thaleia Zariphopoulou

TL;DR
This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of the risk tolerance function under forward performance criteria in incomplete markets, revealing that temporal and spatial limits differ and depend on the measure's support.
Contribution
It introduces novel turnpike-type results for forward performance criteria, highlighting differences from classical models and analyzing the influence of measure support.
Findings
Temporal and spatial limits of risk tolerance do not coincide.
Limits depend on the support of the underlying measure.
Examples include both discrete and continuous measure cases.
Abstract
We present turnpike-type results for the risk tolerance function in an incomplete market setting under time-monotone forward performance criteria. We show that, contrary to the classical case, the temporal and spatial limits do not coincide. We also show that they depend directly on the left- and right-end of the support of an underlying measure, which is used to construct the forward performance criterion. We provide examples with discrete and continuous measures, and discuss the asymptotic behavior of the risk tolerance for each case.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Risk and Portfolio Optimization · Economic theories and models
Temporal and spatial turnpike-type results under forward
time-monotone performance criteria††thanks: This work was presented at seminars and workshops at ETH, King’s College, Princeton, Oxford and Columbia University. The authors would like to thank the participants for fruitful comments and suggestions.
T. Geng and T. Zariphopoulou Department of Mathematics, The University of Texas at Austin; [email protected] of Mathematics and IROM, The University of Texas at Austin and the Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance, University of Oxford; [email protected].
(First draft: November 2016, this draft: February 2017)
Abstract
We present turnpike-type results for the risk tolerance function in an incomplete market Itô-diffusion setting under time-monotone forward performance criteria. We show that, contrary to the classical case, the temporal and spatial limits do not coincide. Rather, they depend directly on the left- and right-end of the support of an underlying measure associated with the forward performance criterion. We present examples with discrete and continuous such measures, and discuss the asymptotic behavior of the risk tolerance for each case.
1 Introduction
Turnpike results in maximal expected utility models yield the behavior of optimal portfolio functions when the investment horizon is long, under asymptotic assumptions on the investor’s risk preferences.
The essence of the ”turnpike” result (stated, for simplicity, for a single log-normal stock with coefficients and ) is the following: assume that the investment horizon is and that the investor’s utility behaves like a power function for large wealth levels, i.e.,
[TABLE]
Then, if this horizon is very long, the associated optimal portfolio function is ”close” to the one corresponding to this power utility, i.e., for each
[TABLE]
In other words, the asymptotic spatial behavior of the terminal datum dictates the long-term temporal behavior of the portfolio function for every wealth level.
We recall that the function is the one the determines the optimal wealth process in feedback form, in that the optimal wealth process is generated by the investment strategy
Turnpike results can be found in [4] where a continuous-time model was first considered, and the turnpike properties were established using contingent claim methods. Their results were later extended in [10] using an autonomous equation that the function satisfies and arguments from viscosity solutions. Duality methods were used in [5] for complete markets and the incomplete market case was studied in [9].
More recently, the authors of [2] established the rate of convergence in a log-normal model, showing that there exist a positive constant and a function such that, for all
[TABLE]
A closer look at these turnpike results yields that we are essentially working in a *single *investment horizon setting, which is taken to be very long. As a result, however, one needs to commit to a market model for this long horizon, but this choice cannot be modified later on, if time-consistency is desired. Furthermore, one pre-commits at initial time to a utility function for very far in the future, We also remark that no matter how big is, the optimal investment problem is not defined beyond this point, because the utility function is given for only.
Herein, we take an alternative point of view. Instead of committing to a single long horizon , we define an investment problem for all times . Moreover, instead of choosing at an initial time the utility for the remote horizon we choose the utility at this initial time. We also depart from the log-normal setting and work with a general Ito-diffusion multi-security incomplete market model.
We measure the performance of investment strategies via the so-called forward investment performance criterion. This criterion was introduced by Musiela and one of the authors in [14] and offers flexibility for performance measurement and risk management under model adaptation and ambiguity, alternative market views, rolling horizons, and others. We recall its definition and refer the reader to, among others, [16], [17], ** **for an overview of the forward approach.
Herein, we focus on the class of time-monotone forward performance criteria, studied in [18] and briefly reviewed in the next section. They are given by a time-decreasing and adapted to the market information process, of the form
[TABLE]
where is a deterministic function (see (14)) and with the process being the market price of risk. Note that is a compilation of a deterministic investor-specific input, and a stochastic market-specific input,
The optimal investment process turns out to be, for
[TABLE]
where is the pseudo-inverse of the volatility matrix, and the optimal wealth generated by this investment strategy (cf. (12)). The function is the (local) risk tolerance and will be the main object of study herein.
Contrary to the classical case, in which a terminal datum is pre-assigned for and the solution is then constructed for in the forward setting, the criterion is defined for all times, starting with an initial (and not terminal) datum
In analogy to the classical turnpike setting, we are thus motivated to study the following question: if the initial condition is such that
[TABLE]
does this imply that, for each
[TABLE]
There are fundamental differences between the classical and the forward settings, for one is not a mere variation of the other by a time reversal. Rather, the classical problem is well-posed while the forward is an inverse problem. Naturally, various properties used for the classical turnpike results fail, with the most important being the lack of comparison principle for various PDEs (cf. (14) and (22)) at hand.
The first striking difference between the two settings is the distinct nature of the temporal and spatial limits. Indeed, in the traditional turnpike results in [10] and [2], the temporal limit in (2) coincides with the spatial one, in that for fixed time and wealth level
[TABLE]
However, this is *not *the case in the forward setting. Indeed, the temporal and spatial limits of the function do *not * coincide. This can be seen, for instance, in the motivational example in section 2.1.
The aim herein then becomes the study of the *spatial *and temporal limits
[TABLE]
for fixed respectively, under appropriate conditions for the asymptotic behavior of the initial datum for large
Pivotal role for determining these limits is played by an underlying positive finite Borel measure, which is the defining element for the construction of the forward performance process. Indeed, it was shown in [18] that the above function is uniquely (up to an additive constant) related to a harmonic function , and, furthermore, the latter is uniquely characterized by an integral transform, specifically,
[TABLE]
for
An immediate consequence of this general solution is that the initial datum is directly related to this measure in that needs to be of the integral form
[TABLE]
As a result, it is natural to expect that the asymptotic properties of which enter in the turnpike assumptions, are also directly linked to the form and properties of .
Furthermore, this measure also appears in the specification of the risk tolerance function. Indeed, we deduce from (3) and (6) that can be represented as
[TABLE]
with both and depending on
The main results herein are that, if the support of the measure is finite, then the spatial limit coincides with the right-end point of the support while the *temporal *limit with the left-end one, namely,
[TABLE]
The first step in obtaining the above limits is to understand the connection between the asymptotic behavior of the initial (marginal) datum and the finiteness of the measure’s support. We study the following two cases, which correspond to the spatial and temporal limits, respectively.
We first show that the asymptotic assumption (4), stated in terms of the marginal,
[TABLE]
if and only if the right end of the measure’s support satisfies both and In other words, condition (9) implies that the measure must have finite support with its right boundary equal to and, furthermore, with a mass at this point. Conversely, for the measure to have these properties, condition (9) must hold. We then establish the first limit in (8) using representation (6), the equation (14) satisfied by and various convexity properties of and its derivatives. We stress that the requirement that cannot be relaxed. Indeed, we show in Example 6.2, where the measure is the Lebesgue one, that the spatial turnpike property fails.
For the second case, we relate the finiteness of the measure’s support with a relaxed version of (9). We show that if there exists , such that for all and
[TABLE]
then the right boundary of the measure’s support must satisfy and vice-versa. This regular variation assumption is weaker than (9), needed for the spatial limit and, naturally, yields a weaker result. Indeed, while the support has to be finite with right boundary equal to it does not need to have a mass at
We in turn establish the second limit in (8), which is the genuine analogue of the classical turnpike result. Obtaining this limit is considerably more challenging than in the classical case due to the ill-posed nature of the problem. Indeed, the methodology used in [10] is inapplicable because of lack of comparison results for the ergodic version of the equation satisfied by The approach of [2] does not apply either because of the lack of connection between the solutions of the ill-posed heat equation and Feynman-Kac type stochastic representation of its solution. Therefore, one needs to work directly with the function which, from (7) and (6), is given in the implicit form
[TABLE]
where however the spatial inverse is involved.
The key step in obtaining the temporal limit is to show that
[TABLE]
where is the left end point of the measure’s support. Then the temporal convergence in (8) and the rate of convergence is shown using the implicit representation
[TABLE]
In addition to the general spatial and temporal convergence results, we present two representative examples. In the first, the measure is a finite sum of Dirac functions while, in the second, it is taken to be the Lebesgue measure. We calculate the limits of (8), and also provide asymptotic expansions for the risk tolerance function.
The paper is structured as follows. In section 2, we present the market model, the investment performance criterion and a motivating example demonstrating that the temporal and spatial limits do not in general coincide. In sections 3 and 4, we analyze respectively the spatial and temporal asymptotic behavior of the relative risk tolerance, while in section 5 we analyze the asymptotic properties of the relative prudence function. In section 6 we present the two representative examples, and conclude in section 7 with future research directions.
2 The model and the investment performance criterion
The market environment consists of one riskless and risky securities. The prices of the risky securities are modelled as Itô-diffusion processes, namely, the price of the risky asset follows
[TABLE]
with for The process is a standard Brownian motion, defined on a filtered probability space The coefficients and are adapted processes and values in and respectively. We denote by the volatility matrix, i.e. the random matrix whose column represents the volatility of the asset. We may, then, alternatively, write the above equation as
[TABLE]
The riskless asset, the savings account, has price process satisfying with and for a nonnegative adapted interest rate process Also, we denote by the -dimensional vector with coordinates and by ** **the -dim vector with every component equal to one. The processes and satisfy the appropriate integrability conditions.
We assume that where denotes the linear space generated by the columns of Therefore, the equation has a solution, known as the market price of risk,
[TABLE]
It is assumed that there exists a deterministic constant such that and that
Starting at with an initial endowment the investor invests at any time in the risky and riskless assets. The present value of the amounts invested are denoted by the processes and respectively, which are taken to be self-financing. The present value of her investment is then given by the discounted wealth process which solves
[TABLE]
with the (column) vector It is taken to satisfy the non-negativity constraint
The set of admissible policies is given by
[TABLE]
The performance of admissible investment strategies is evaluated via the so-called forward investment performance criteria, introduced in [14] (see, also [15], [16] and [17])**. **We review their definition next.
We introduce the domain notation and
Definition 1
An -adapted process is a forward investment performance if for
i) the mapping is strictly increasing and strictly concave;
ii) for each , , and for ,
[TABLE]
iii) there exists such that for ,
[TABLE]
Herein we focus on the class of* time-monotone* forward performance processes. For the reader’s convenience, we rewrite some of the results we stated in the introduction. Time-monotone forward processes were extensively studied in [18], and are given by
[TABLE]
where is strictly increasing and strictly concave in satisfying
[TABLE]
The market input processes and , , are defined as
[TABLE]
The optimal portfolio process is given by where the (local) risk tolerance function is defined as
[TABLE]
Central role in the construction of the performance criterion, the optimal policies and their wealth plays a harmonic function , defined via the transformation
[TABLE]
It solves, as it follows from (14) and (17), the ill-posed heat equation
[TABLE]
Moreover, it is positive and strictly increasing in It was shown in [18], that such solutions are uniquely represented by
[TABLE]
where or and a generic constant.
The measure is defined on the set of positive Borel measures, with the additional properties that, for and To simplify the presentation and without loss of generality, we choose and, also, introduce the normalized measure
Then, the function has, for the representation
[TABLE]
with
We easily deduce that for each the function is absolutely monotonic, since Such functions satisfy, for each the inequality
[TABLE]
From (17), (16) and (19), we obtain that the risk tolerance function is represented as
[TABLE]
Furthermore, the first equality together with (18) yields that it satisfies the (ill-posed) non-linear equation
[TABLE]
with
We also have that
[TABLE]
Furthermore,
[TABLE]
where we used (20).
We note that we will frequently differentiate under the integral sign in (19), which is permitted as explained in [18]**. **It can be also seen directly since, after differentiation, one can show that the relevant integrands are jointly continuous in their respective arguments and thus uniformly locally integrable. This allows us to differentiate under the integral sign (see, for example, Theorem 24.5 in [1] and the remarks following it).
As stated in the introduction, the aim herein is to investigate the spatial and temporal limits in (5), with as in (21) when the measure has *finite *support. We first provide an example which shows that, contrary to the classical case, these two limits do *not in *general coincide.
2.1 A motivating example
Let the underlying measure be a Dirac function at , . From (19) and (17) we have that, for
[TABLE]
Therefore, the local risk tolerance function is given by and thus the spatial and temporal limits coincide,
[TABLE]
for fixed respectively.
Next, let the measure be the sum of two Dirac functions at points and such that with and , i.e.,
[TABLE]
Then, (19) and (17) yield that
[TABLE]
In turn,
[TABLE]
Moreover, expression (19) gives, for
[TABLE]
and, thus,
[TABLE]
In turn, transformation (17) yields
[TABLE]
Differentiating the above to obtain (or using (19), (28) and (21)), we deduce that the risk tolerance function is given by
[TABLE]
Therefore, for each
[TABLE]
while, for each
[TABLE]
Therefore, the spatial and temporal limits do *not *coincide.
Next, we make the following two important observations. Firstly, note that (25) yields that the support of the measure is
[TABLE]
Therefore, the spatial limit coincides with the right-end of the support while the temporal limit with the* left-end *one.
Secondly, for each the temporal limit of the ratio is equal to *half *of the *left-end *point, since (28) yields
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
In section 4 we will show that these two properties are always valid. In particular, we will see that it is the limit of the above ratio that plays the key role in establishing the temporal turnpike limit for general measures.
To juxtapose the above results with the ones in the traditional expected terminal utility setting, we compute the analogous quantities and associated limits for the cases analyzed in [10] and [2] for log-normal markets. Without loss of generality, we consider a market with a riskless bond of zero interest rate and a single log-normal stock with mean rate of return and volatility
To this end, we fix an arbitrary horizon and, in analogy to (26), we take the terminal inverse marginal utility, to be
[TABLE]
for and as in (25). This corresponds to terminal marginal utility and, thus, in analogy to (27),
[TABLE]
We now consider the value function, say of the associated Merton problem, for Letting be the time to the end of the investment horizon, we deduce, using well known results, that the function satisfies, for , the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation
[TABLE]
The inverse spatial marginal value function then solves
[TABLE]
with We easily deduce that
[TABLE]
with and Note that .
Taking the spatial inverse of yields
[TABLE]
Therefore, the associated risk tolerance function is given by
[TABLE]
In turn, for each and we obtain, respectively, the spatial and the temporal limits,
[TABLE]
3 Spatial asymptotic results
We examine the spatial asymptotic behavior of the risk tolerance function as for each , under asymptotic assumptions for large wealth levels of the investor’s initial risk preferences. In accordance with similar assumptions in [10] and [2], we impose this asymptotic assumption on the marginal instead of the function itself.
Assumption 1: The initial datum satisfies, for some
[TABLE]
The next result yields necessary and sufficient conditions on the right end of the support of the measure, for the above assumption to hold.
Lemma 2
Assumption (32) holds if and only if the associated measure satisfies
[TABLE]
Proof. From (32), (17) and the fact that is strictly increasing and of full range, we have
[TABLE]
Therefore, representation (19) gives
[TABLE]
If then (33) follows directly. If then, it must be that otherwise, we get a contradiction. In turn, for
[TABLE]
Sending and using (35) yield that and thus, supp Moreover, we have from (35) that
[TABLE]
and we conclude. The rest of the proof follows easily.
We next state the main spatial asymptotic result.
Proposition 3
Suppose that the initial datum satisfies the asymptotic property (32). Then, for each , the relative risk tolerance converges to the right-end of the support of the measure
[TABLE]
Proof. Let . From representation (36) we have that
[TABLE]
and, in turn, the dominated convergence theorem implies
[TABLE]
Therefore, from (17), together with the strict monotonicity and full range of , we deduce that
[TABLE]
since
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Next, we claim that
[TABLE]
To prove this, it suffices to show that for any , is convex since the above would then follow from the arguments in Lemma 3.1 (ii) in [10]. To this end, differentiating (17) yields
[TABLE]
The strict convexity of and the strict concavity of then give
[TABLE]
and using the strict monotonicity and full range of we conclude.
Combining (39) and (40) yields
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
We stress that assumption (32), or equivalently (33), cannot be weakened. Indeed, as we will see in example 6.2,** **where we take the measure to be the Lebesgue on and thus there is no mass at the spatial turnpike property does not hold.
Corollary 4
Suppose that the initial datum satisfies the asymptotic property (32). Then, for each
[TABLE]
Proof. From (24) we have that, for each exists, and we easily conclude.
4 Temporal (turnpike) asymptotic results
We investigate the temporal asymptotic behavior of the relative risk tolerance as for each under asymptotic assumption of the initial marginal utility for large wealth levels. This is the genuine ”turnpike” analogue of similar results in classical expected utility models and the main finding herein. It shows that the relative risk tolerance will converge to the *left-end *of the support of the underlying measure .
As in the spatial case, we first relate the properties of the measure to the asymptotic behavior of the initial (marginal) datum.
Assumption 2:* There exists *, such that for all
[TABLE]
while, for all
[TABLE]
As we show next, the above assumption is directly related to a condition introduced in [11] and [5], for a discrete and a continuous-time case, respectively.
Lemma 5
Assumption 2 is equivalent to the function varying regularly at infinity with exponent , i.e. for all
[TABLE]
Proof. We first show that condition (46) implies (44) and (45). We argue by contradiction. Suppose that (44) does not hold. Then, there exists and such that for large enough, On the other hand, condition (46) implies that, for all and large enough, Thus, for large enough ,
[TABLE]
Since , and we conclude. Working similarly, we establish (45).
Next, we show the reverse direction. Assume that (45) and (44) hold. Then, for all and large enough,
[TABLE]
Multiplying these two equations and rearranging gives, for all
[TABLE]
Similarly, it follows from interchanging and in the above two inequalities that
[TABLE]
and condition (46) follows by sending first and then
Assumption 2 is weaker than Assumption 1, and implies, as we show next, that the measure has support with right-end point at but without necessarily having a mass therein.
Lemma 6
Assumption 2 holds if and only if the measure has finite support with its right boundary at namely,
[TABLE]
Proof. We show that Assumption 2 implies property (47).* *For each we deduce from (44) that
[TABLE]
and, thus,
[TABLE]
Next, observe that if then it will contradict the above limit, and thus we need to have Assume now that there exists with Then, for each we have and the above gives, for small enough,
[TABLE]
Therefore, it must be that Sending gives which is a contradiction. Thus, we must have Similarly, using (45) we obtain that and, thus,
To show the reverse direction, we first observe that property (47) and the dominated convergence theorem yield that, for any
[TABLE]
Then, setting such that we deduce (44) for all .
The rest of the proof follows easily and it is thus omitted.
We have so far established that under Assumption 2 the associated measure has a finite right boundary (but not necessarily a mass) at , and vice-versa.
We now turn our attention to the left boundary of the support, denoted by where
[TABLE]
In the upcoming proofs we will frequently use the identity
[TABLE]
for which follows directly from (19) for
Lemma 7
Let be the spatial inverse of and as in (49). Then, for each exists and, moreover, for
[TABLE]
Proof. Let and observe that (18) yields
[TABLE]
and thus inequality (51) holds, for all
To show that exists, it suffices to show that is decreasing in time. Indeed, direct calculations yield
[TABLE]
Alternatively, differentiating twice yields, setting
[TABLE]
We have that both as it follows directly from (19) and differentiation. Furthermore, the above quadratic in remains positive, which would then yield that Indeed,
[TABLE]
as it follows from (20).
We are now ready to present one of the main findings herein, which yields the limit as of the ratio We show that it converges to half of the lower-end of the measure’s support. Some related weaker results can be found in [21].
Proposition 8
Let be the spatial inverse of the function (cf. (19)) and let be the left and right end of the support, respectively, with or and Then, for each the following assertions hold.
i) It holds that
[TABLE]
ii) Let
[TABLE]
If then
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
If then and, moreover, for each
[TABLE]
Proof. i). Let fixed. Recall that (cf. (51)) and, thus, exists. Moreover, rewriting (50) as
[TABLE]
we see that otherwise, sending we get a contradiction. In turn, from Lemma 7 and L’ Hospital’s rule, we deduce that
[TABLE]
and thus
[TABLE]
Next, we claim that
Let If then and and the result follows directly.
Let Assume that there exists such that Then, for there exists such that, for
[TABLE]
In turn, for small enough, the above and (50) yield
[TABLE]
which yields a contradiction as because the first integral would converge to
Next, assume that there exists such that
[TABLE]
Then, for small enough we have
[TABLE]
From (50), we then deduce that, for , If then and sending yields a contradiction. If then
[TABLE]
Consider the quadratic We have
[TABLE]
for and achieves a maximum at
Next, we look at its minimum, and claim that
[TABLE]
Indeed, if then choosing direct calculations yield If then (62) yields and, thus, the minimum also occurs at
Clearly, because we have Therefore, for ,
[TABLE]
As , the right hand side of (65) converges to , unless it holds that Sending and , we then have
[TABLE]
which, however, contradicts (61). Therefore, it must be that that, for all , , and we easily conclude.
If similar arguments yield that for every we have that Sending yields which contradicts (61).
*ii). *Let .
If from (50) we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and (55) follows.
If then (53) yields that, for small enough and Choosing such that yields and using that gives
[TABLE]
From (28) we then deduce that
[TABLE]
The quadratic in the above integrand becomes zero at and and, therefore, its minimum occurs at one of the end points or Note that .
If it occurs at then while if it occurs at then
Combining the above gives
[TABLE]
Finally, let Then,
Recall that and thus for large. For we then have
[TABLE]
Setting (57) follows.
We are now ready to prove one of the main results herein.
Theorem 9
Let be the left end of the support of the measure . Then, for each
[TABLE]
Furthermore, there exists a function* ** given by*
[TABLE]
satisfying with and, for large enough,
[TABLE]
Proof. We present two alternative convergence proofs. The first yields (66) while the second gives the rate of convergence
To this end, differentiating (17) gives
[TABLE]
Moreover, (14) and (16) imply that and, in turn,
[TABLE]
Combining the above we deduce
[TABLE]
and from Proposition 8 and (59)
[TABLE]
On the other hand,
[TABLE]
Using the fact that, for all (see [18]), we get that, for ,
[TABLE]
Finally, we deduce from (70) and (52) that and thus, for , we have for , However, for all This follows directly from (21),(19) and the full range of since
[TABLE]
Using the dominated convergence theorem and passing to the limit as in (70), we deduce (66).
Next, we give the second convergence proof, which also yields the rate of convergence. First note that
[TABLE]
This follows directly from (21), (19) and (50), for
[TABLE]
Furthermore, from (21), (19), (50) and (54), we have
[TABLE]
If (which occurs only if as shown in the previous proof), then the above yields
[TABLE]
and (67) follows directly with
Let and or If then the result follows trivially.
For observe that for large enough, and thus representation (74) gives
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Let and observe that
[TABLE]
where we used (50). Thus
[TABLE]
Let also and Then, and thus Furthermore, for each we also have In turn, the dominated convergence theorem gives
[TABLE]
Setting and using (75) and (76), we obtain (67).
5 Spatial and temporal limits for the relative prudence function
We now revert our attention to the relative prudence function defined, for as
[TABLE]
with solving (14).
Proposition 10
For we have that Moreover, the following spatial and temporal limits hold.
i) If Assumption 1 holds, then, for each
[TABLE]
ii) If Assumption 2 holds, then, for each
[TABLE]
Proof. Using (77) and (16), we deduce that, for each
[TABLE]
and the fact that and (78) follow directly from (23) and (37), respectively.
From (77) and equation (14) we also obtain that, for each
[TABLE]
Using that we easily conclude.
6 Examples
We present two representative examples in which the measure is, respectively, a sum of Dirac functions and the Lebesgue measure. The first example generalizes the results of the example in subsection 2.1, while the second demonstrates that the spatial turnpike property fails if there is no mass at the right end of the measure’s support.
6.1 Finite sum of Dirac functions
We assume that
[TABLE]
Then, and, thus, In turn, (34) yields
[TABLE]
which verifies the results of Lemma 2. We also have, for
[TABLE]
(cf. (19)), and, therefore, for
[TABLE]
Furthermore,
[TABLE]
6.1.1 Temporal asymptotic expansion of for
large
We claim that, for each as ,
[TABLE]
Indeed, using the limit (53), we have
[TABLE]
Therefore, as , all the terms in (81) vanish except for the first one, and thus,
[TABLE]
Taking logarithm and rearranging terms yields (83).
6.1.2 Spatial asymptotic expansion of for large
We claim that, for each
[TABLE]
To obtain this, we first establish that
[TABLE]
Indeed, fix let and assume that
[TABLE]
Then, using (81) and that for large , we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and using that we get a contradiction as .
Since is arbitrary, we deduce that
[TABLE]
Similarly, assume that for
[TABLE]
Then, (82) gives
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and using that we get a contradiction as Since is arbitrary, we deduce that
[TABLE]
and we easily conclude.
Next, we rewrite (81) as
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Note that from the limit in (86) we have that
[TABLE]
Therefore, as , the first terms in (89) vanish, and we deduce that
[TABLE]
We then obtain (85) by taking the logarithm and rearranging the terms.
6.1.3 Spatial and temporal asymptotics of
From representation (21), we have for the risk tolerance function
[TABLE]
Let . Then, (82) gives
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Therefore, the temporal asymptotic expansion of as is given by
[TABLE]
Next, let . Then,
[TABLE]
and, thus, as
[TABLE]
Therefore, for each and we have the temporal asymptotic expansion (91) yields
[TABLE]
and these limits are consistent with the findings in Proposition 3 and Theorem 9, respectively.
6.2 Lebesgue measure
We consider a case of a measure with continuous support but without a mass at its right boundary. We derive the associated limits and also show that the spatial turnpike property fails.
- •
Lebesgue measure on
Consider the functions and for Then, representations (19) and (50) yield, respectively,
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
6.2.1 Temporal asymptotic expansion of for
large
We claim that for as
[TABLE]
To show this, we first establish that
[TABLE]
Using (94) and that, for
[TABLE]
we have, for large enough,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
In turn,
[TABLE]
Next, we show that
[TABLE]
which with (98) will yield (96). To this end, we use that for any the inequality
[TABLE]
holds. Let . From (94) and the above, we have, for large enough, that
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
From Proposition 8 and since , we have
[TABLE]
Therefore,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and sending we conclude.
Next, we utilize the Lambert-W function , defined as the inverse function of , to derive the explicit asymptotic expansion of as . Recalling the notation , we deduce from (96) that there exists with , such that
[TABLE]
Rewriting it yields
[TABLE]
Using that the left hand side is of the form , we obtain
[TABLE]
and, in turn,
[TABLE]
It is established in [3] that the asymptotic expansion of for large is given by
[TABLE]
Therefore,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Using that as , and that
[TABLE]
assertion (95) follows.
6.2.2 Spatial asymptotic expansion of for large
Let We show that, as
[TABLE]
We first establish that
[TABLE]
Indeed, let . Then,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
where we used that and, for the third term, the monotone convergence theorem. Therefore, for each
[TABLE]
We now use a result on the inverses of asymptotic functions (see [7]) to prove the limit in (100) by verifying the necessary assumptions for this result to hold. To this end, consider the function , and notice that
[TABLE]
Thus, Since, on the other hand, , we deduce that , as . Moreover, is strictly increasing and the ratio for sufficiently large . It then follows from the aforementioned result that as and (100) follows.
Next, we claim that, for each ,
[TABLE]
Indeed, for , we have from (94) that
[TABLE]
and (100) yields that
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
For , we deduce from (94) that
[TABLE]
Then, using (97), we have, for large
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
and, in turn,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Similarly, we use that, for
[TABLE]
and deduce from (104) that, for large
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
For the second term, we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Therefore,
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
From (105) and (107), we then obtain
[TABLE]
which together with (105) gives (102). Taking the logarithm of both sides then yields
[TABLE]
and the spatial asymptotic expansion (99) follows.
6.2.3 Spatial asymptotics of for large
Let We show that as the spatial asymptotic expansion of is given by
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Indeed, from (21) and (93), we have
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
where we used (50) for the last term. Then, (108) follows using (99).
For , we have from (103) that
[TABLE]
and, for large
[TABLE]
From (108) and (109), we then obtain that for and we have respectively,
[TABLE]
Therefore, the risk tolerance function does *not *have the spatial turnpike property (37). Recall that the underlying measure lacks a Dirac mass on the right boundary of the measure which is a necessary condition for the results in Proposition 3 to hold.
- •
The case
We conclude with the case that is the Lebesgue measure on . For we easily obtain the same spatial asymptotic expansions of as in (99) and of as in (108) and (109).
For the temporal expansion, we claim that as
[TABLE]
To see this, first recall (cf. (50)) that
[TABLE]
Taking the logarithm of both sides of (111) yields
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
Next, we claim that Indeed, if , then, as , the above yields
[TABLE]
which is a contradiction. Therefore, it must be that which combined with the fact that implies that as , the third term on the right hand side of (112) converges to . Thus, we obtain
[TABLE]
from which we deduce that and (110) follows.
7 Extensions
We have analyzed the spatial and temporal asymptotic behavior of the risk tolerance function . We recall that the optimal portfolio process is given in the feedback form with being the wealth generated by it. Furthermore, it was shown in [18] that and are given in the closed form
[TABLE]
It is then natural to investigate the long-term limits under asymptotic assumptions on the initial datum and the results obtained herein. The asymptotic behavior of these processes has been investigated in [9] for the classical setting.
In a different direction, an interesting problem is how to construct investment policies which yield a targeted long-term wealth distribution. In a static model, this question was analyzed in [22] and in the log-normal, classical and forward cases, in [13]. However, in these settings, there is a strong model commitment, which is a nonrealistic assumption for long-term portfolio management.
In the forward setting we have analyzed herein, the model is dynamically updated. Furthermore, the distribution of the optimal wealth is given explicitly, using the above formula, by
[TABLE]
[TABLE]
where we used that (cf. (15)). Therefore, one expects that the limit (53) as well as results on strong law of large numbers for martingales can be used to study the long-term distribution of the optimal processes. Such questions are currently investigated by the authors in [8] and others.
The reference list from the paper itself. Each links out to its DOI / PubMed record.
- 1[1] Aliprantis D. C. and O. Burkinshaw: Principles of Real Analysis, 3rd, Academic Press, 1998.
- 2[2] Bian B. and H. Zheng: Turnpike property and convergence rate for an investment model with general utility functions, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , 51, 28–49, 2015.
- 3[3] Corless R.M., G.H. Gonnet, D.E.G. Hare, D.J. Jeffrey, and D.E. Knuth: On the Lambert W function, Adv. Comput. Math. 5 , 4, 329–359, 1996.
- 4[4] Cox, J. and C.-F. Huang: A continuous-time portfolio turnpike theorem, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , 16(3–4), 491-507, 1992.
- 5[5] Dybvig, P. H., L.C.G. Rogers and K. Back: Portfolio Turnpikes, The Review of Financial Studies ,12(1),165–195, 1999.
- 6[6] El Karoui, N. and M. Mrad: An exact connection between two solvable SD Es and a nonlinear utility stochastic pde, SIFIN, 4(1), 697-736, 2014.
- 7[7] Entringer, R. C: Functions and Inverses of Asymptotic Functions, The American Mathematical Monthly, 74(9), 1095–1097, 1967.
- 8[8] Geng, T. and T. Zariphopoulou: On the asymptotic properties of the optimal wealth and portfolio weight processes under time-monotone forward performance criteria in Itô-diffusion markets, in preparation, 2017.
