# A geometrical imaging of the real gap between economies of China and the   United States

**Authors:** Ali Hosseiny

arXiv: 1701.05114 · 2019-05-01

## TL;DR

This paper proposes a geometrical approach inspired by General Relativity to analyze the economic gap between China and the US, emphasizing path dependency and local metrics over simple size comparisons.

## Contribution

It introduces a novel geometrical framework for understanding economic growth and gaps, incorporating concepts from physics to model path-dependent economic trajectories.

## Key findings

- Different growth paths affect the time for China to catch up with the US.
- Geometrical analysis suggests China will catch up sooner if growth rates remain constant.
- Economic gaps are better understood as curved space-time objects rather than simple differences.

## Abstract

GDP of China is about 11 trillion dollars and GDP of the United States is about 18 trillion dollars. Suppose that we know for the coming years, economy of the US will experience a real growth rate equal to \%3 and economy of China will experience a real growth as of \%6. Now, the question is how long does it take for economy of China to catch the economy of the United States. The early impression is that the desired time is the answer of the equation $11\times1.06^X=18\times1.03^X$. The correct answer however is quite different. GDP is not a simple number and the gap between two countries can not be addressed simply through their sizes. It is rather a geometrical object. Countries pass different paths in the space of production. The gaps between GDP of different countries depend on the path that each country passes through and local metric. To address distance between economies of China and of the US we need to know their utility preferences and the path that China passes to reach the US size. The true gap then can be found if we calculate local metric along this path. It resembles impressions about measurements in the General Theory of Relativity. Path dependency of aggregate indexes is widely discussed in the Index Number Theory. Our aim is to stick to the geometrical view presented in the General Relativity to provide a visual understanding of the matter. We show that different elements in the general relativity have their own counterparts in economics. We claim that national agencies who provide aggregate data resemble falling observers into a curved space time. It is while the World Bank or international organizations are outside observers. The vision provided here, leaves readers with a clear conclusion. If China keeps its growth rate, then the economy of China should catch the economy of the United States sooner than what we expect.

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

39 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1701.05114/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/1701.05114