Estimators for a Class of Bivariate Measures of Concordance for Copulas
Sebastian Fuchs, Klaus D. Schmidt

TL;DR
This paper introduces estimators for a broad class of bivariate concordance measures derived from copulas, generalizing Spearman's rho and Gini's gamma, with estimators aligning with traditional sample versions.
Contribution
It proposes new estimators for a wide class of concordance measures based on copulas, extending existing measures like Spearman's rho and Gini's gamma.
Findings
Estimators for Spearman's rho and Gini's gamma are the standard sample versions.
The proposed estimators are applicable to a broad class of copula-based concordance measures.
The paper provides theoretical analysis of these estimators.
Abstract
In the present paper we propose and study estimators for a wide class of bivariate measures of concordance for copulas. These measures of concordance are generated by a copula and generalize Spearman's rho and Gini's gamma. In the case of Spearman's rho and Gini's gamma the estimators turn out to be the usual sample versions of these measures of concordance.
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Taxonomy
TopicsFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Statistical Methods and Inference
Estimators for a Class of Bivariate
Measures of Concordance for Copulas
Sebastian Fuchs and Klaus D. Schmidt
(Lehrstuhl für Versicherungsmathematik
Technische Universität Dresden)
Abstract
In the present paper we propose and study estimators for a wide class of bivariate measures of concordance for copulas. These measures of concordance are generated by a copula and generalize Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma. In the case of Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma the estimators turn out to be the usual sample versions of these measures of concordance.
1 Introduction
The history of measures of concordance (or measures of association) starts with measures of concordance for a sample of bivariate random vectors. Later, related measures of concordance were introduced for bivariate distribution functions and copulas, and the sample versions for random vectors were interpreted as estimators of the population versions for distribution functions or copulas. Moreover, axioms for bivariate measures of concordance for copulas were developed, and most of these concepts have been extended to the multivariate case, with particular emphasis on Kendall’s tau, Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma.
In the present paper we propose and study estimators for a wide class of bivariate measures of concordance for copulas. These measures of concordance are generated by a copula and generalize Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma. In the case of Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma the estimators turn out to be the usual sample versions of these measures of concordance.
This paper is organized as follows: In Section 2 we resume some results on a group of transformations of copulas, invariance of copulas under a subgroup, measures of concordance for copulas which are defined in terms of the group, and a biconvex form for copulas. In Section 3 we consider a class of bivariate measures of concordance which are defined in terms of the biconvex form and are generated by a copula which is invariant under the full group of transformations; this class contains Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma as well as certain interpolations as special cases. In Section 4 we use the empirical copula to construct an estimator of the value of such a measure of concordance when the copula to be measured in unknown. To complete the discussion, we conclude with an Appendix on estimation under partial information on the copula to be measured: If the copula is known to be invariant under a specific subgroup of the group of transformations, then the value of every measure of concordance is equal to zero and the estimation problem is void.
We denote by the vector in whose coordinates are all equal to [math] and by the vector in whose coordinates are all equal to . For a set , the indicator function is defined by if and else.
2 Preliminaries
In this section, we recall some definitions and results for the general dimension and point out the particularities in the case which are important for the subject of this paper.
A group of transformations of copulas
Let denote the collection of all copulas . A map is said to be a transformation on . Let denote the collection of all transformations on and define the composition by letting . The composition is associative and the transformation given by satisfies for every and is therefore called the identity on . Thus, is a semigroup with neutral element .
We now introduce two types of elementary transformations. To this end, let denote the collection of all functions . For such that we define the transposition by letting
[TABLE]
and for we define the partial reflection by letting
[TABLE]
Every transposition and every partial reflection is an involution in , and there exists a smallest subgroup of containing all transpositions and all partial reflections. The group is a representation of the hyperoctahedral group with elements.
A transformation is called
- –
a permutation if it can be expressed as a finite composition of transpositions, and it is called
- –
a reflection if it can be expressed as a finite composition of partial reflections.
Every transformation in can be expressed as a composition of a permutation and a reflection. We denote by
- –
the set of all permutations and by
- –
the set of all reflections.
Then and are subgroups of , and is commutative while is not.
Among the reflections, the total reflection
[TABLE]
is of particular importance. The total reflection is an involution which transforms every copula into its survival copula. Define
- –
and
- –
Then is the center of , and is a subgroup of . The total reflection also generates an order relation on which compares not only two copulas but also their survival copulas: For we write if and . Then is an order relation on which is called the concordance order.
**2.1 Remark (Bivariate case). ** Assume that and let
[TABLE]
Then we have and
[TABLE]
Moreover, is the smallest subgroup of containing and , and the concordance order coincides with the pointwise order on .
Proofs and further details on the group of transformations may be found in Fuchs and Schmidt [2014] () and in Fuchs [2014]. We note in passing that in Fuchs and Schmidt [2014] the symbol is used instead of .
Invariance of copulas with respect to a subgroup
For a subgroup , a copula is said to be –invariant if it satisfies for every . For example, the product copula is –invariant, and the upper Fréchet–Hoeffding bound is –invariant. Moreover, for every copula and any subgroup , the mean
[TABLE]
is a copula since is convex, and is –invariant since is a subgroup. The collection of all –invariant copulas is convex.
**2.2 Remark (Bivariate case). ** Assume that . Then the lower Fréchet–Hoeffding bound is a copula which is –invariant.
Proofs and further details on invariance of copulas may be found in Fuchs and Schmidt [2014] () and in Fuchs [2016b].
Measures of concordance for copulas
A map is said to be a measure of concordance if it satisfies the following axioms:
- (i)
.
- (ii)
The identity holds for every and for all .
- (iii)
The identity holds for all .
These axioms are part of those proposed by Taylor [2007]. They imply that for every –invariant copula , and hence for every –invariant copula and in particular the product copula, the identity holds for every measure of concordance .
A measure of concordance is said to be
- –
convex if holds for all and all .
- –
order preserving if holds whenever satisfy .
- –
concordance order preserving if holds whenever satisfy .
- –
continuous if holds for any sequence and any copula such that pointwise.
If is a concordance order preserving measure of concordance, then holds for all .
**2.3 Remark (Bivariate case). ** Assume that . Then a map is a measure of concordance if and only if it has the following properties:
- (i)
.
- (ii)
The identity holds for all .
- (iii)
The identity holds for all .
Moreover, a measure of concordance is concordance order preserving if and only if it is order preserving, and in this case holds for all .
Proofs and further details on measures of concordance (as defined above) may be found in Fuchs and Schmidt [2014] () and in Fuchs [2016b].
A biconvex form for copulas
Consider the map given by
[TABLE]
where denotes the probability measure associated with the copula ; see Fuchs [2016a]. The map is in either argument linear with respect to convex combinations and is therefore called a biconvex form. Moreover, the map is in either argument monotonically increasing with respect to the concordance order and it satisfies for all . Furthermore, there exist copulas such that , and if are –invariant, then . Later on, we will also use the identities and .
**2.4 Remark (Bivariate case). ** The biconvex form is symmetric if and only if .
Proofs and further details on the biconvex form may be found in Fuchs [2016a].
3 Measures of concordance generated by a copula
In the remainder of this paper we confine ourselves to the bivariate case and we consider a wide class of measures of concordance which are defined in terms of the biconvex form.
Consider a fixed copula . Then we have such that the map given by
[TABLE]
is well–defined; see Fuchs [2016b]. We have the following result (see Edwards et al. [2005], Behboodian et al. [2005], Fuchs and Schmidt [2014], Fuchs [2016b]):
**3.1 Proposition. ****
- (1)
The map is a measure of concordance if and only if is –invariant.
- (2)
If is –invariant, then is convex, order preserving and continuous.
- (3)
If is –invariant, then and the identity
[TABLE]
holds for all .
**3.2 Examples. **
- (1)
Spearman’s rho: The copula is –invariant and satisfies
[TABLE]
which means that is Spearman’s rho; see Fuchs and Schmidt [2014] and Nelsen [2006; Subsection 5.1.2].
- (2)
Gini’s gamma: The copula is –invariant and satisfies
[TABLE]
which means that is Gini’s gamma; see Fuchs and Schmidt [2014] and Nelsen [2006; Subsection 5.1.4].
- (3)
Linear interpolation: For define
[TABLE]
Then is a –invariant copula and the measure of concordance satisfies
[TABLE]
Therefore, is a weighted mean of Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma, and for the respective weights are distinct from and .
The last example can be extended to the case of arbitrary –invariant copulas in the place of and .
4 Estimation
We still assume that , and we also assume henceforth that the copula is –invariant.
For an arbitrary and unknown copula , our aim is to construct an estimator of on the basis of a sample of bivariate random vectors with sample size . This estimator is based on an appropriate definition of the empirical copula, which in turn relies on the relative rank transform.
The relative rank transform is constructed in three steps:
- –
Consider first the order transform which is defined coordinatewise by letting
[TABLE]
for all ; see e.g. Fuchs and Schmidt [2016]. The map is measurable and for every the coordinates of are increasing but need not be distinct.
- –
Consider next the rank transform which is defined coordinatewise as follows: Let and define
[TABLE]
and for let and define
[TABLE]
The map is measurable and onto, and it satisfies .
- –
Consider finally the relative rank transform given by
[TABLE]
The map is measurable and onto, and it satisfies .
Consider now a probability space and an i. i. d. family of random vectors such that is a copula for the distribution function of every . The family can be represented by the random matrix
[TABLE]
with and for all and . Define now
[TABLE]
with and for all and . Then the rows of the random matrix contain the relative ranks (without repetition) of the rows of the random matrix .
The map given by
[TABLE]
is called the empirical copula with sample size (although it is not a copula since it fails to be continuous). This definition is appropriate for our purpose but it differs from that used in Nelsen [2006; Section 5.6].
*4.1 Lemma. *** The empirical copula satisfies
[TABLE]
*for every . *
*Proof. * By continuity of and because of the identity for , we obtain
[TABLE]
as was to be shown.
Because of the previous result, we use the random variable
[TABLE]
as an estimator of when nothing is known about the copula . By contrast, if it is known that , then the coordinates of every are comonotone and the relative ordinal ranks satisfy almost surely. Therefore, we use the real number
[TABLE]
as an estimator of . Correspondingly, we use the real number
[TABLE]
as an estimator of .
**4.2 Lemma. ****
- (1)
.
- (2)
.
- (3)
If then .
- (4)
If then .
*Proof. * To prove (1), consider a realization
[TABLE]
of the random matrix . Then every row of the matrix
[TABLE]
contains each of the real numbers exactly once. Put
[TABLE]
and for proceed as follows: Consider the unique for which
[TABLE]
holds for some .
- –
If , put
[TABLE]
for every .
- –
If , consider the unique for which
[TABLE]
holds for some and put
[TABLE]
In either case, we obtain
[TABLE]
for all , and since is –increasing we also obtain
[TABLE]
After steps we thus obtain
[TABLE]
and hence . A similar algorithm yields . This proves (1).
Since is –invariant, we have
[TABLE]
and hence
[TABLE]
This proves (2).
Assume now that . Because of (2), this yields
[TABLE]
Since is –increasing, every term under the last sum is nonnegative and hence equal to [math]. This proves (3).
Assume finally that . Because of (3), this yields , and it then follows from (1) and (2) that .
Since the sequence is increasing with union and since , we see that there exists some such that , and hence , holds for every with . Since , we have . The following example shows that may be greater than :
**4.3 Example. ** According to Nelson [2006; Formula (3.1.5)], the map given by
[TABLE]
is a copula, and it is straightforward to prove that is –invariant and satisfies . Now Lemma 4 yields , and hence .
For the remainder of this section, we assume that the sample size satisfies . Then we have and the random variable
[TABLE]
is well–defined. We propose to use as an estimator of .
*4.4 Theorem. *** The estimator satisfies
[TABLE]
**4.5 Examples. **
- (1)
Spearman’s rho: Since
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
the estimator of Spearman’s rho satisfies
[TABLE]
Using the absolute ranks instead of the relative ranks , the previous identity can be written as
[TABLE]
which shows that the estimator is just the sample version of Spearman’s rho; see also Kruskal [1958], Joe [1990] and Pérez and Prieto–Alaiz [2016].
- (2)
Gini’s gamma: Since
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
the estimator of Gini’s gamma satisfies
[TABLE]
Straightforward although slightly tedious calculation yields
[TABLE]
which shows that the estimator is just the sample version of Gini’s gamma; see Nelsen [2006; Subsection 5.1.4].
- (3)
Linear interpolation: For consider the –invariant copula
[TABLE]
introduced in Example 3(3). The estimator of satisfies
[TABLE]
and hence is a weighted mean of the estimators of Spearman’s rho and Gini’s gamma; for the respective weights are distinct from and , due to the fact that .
The last example can be extended to the case of arbitrary –invariant copulas in the place of and .
5 Appendix
In certain cases in which some information on the copula is available, there is no need to estimate since this value is known. For example, the identities , and hold for every measure of concordance . Moreover, if the copula is –invariant, then the identity holds for every measure of concordance and the estimation problem for is void. The following result provides a class of continuous distribution functions for which the unique copula is –invariant:
*5.1 Theorem. *** Assume that is a copula for which there exists a distribution function with marginal distribution functions and a measurable function such that
[TABLE]
and
[TABLE]
*with bivariate Lebesgue measure holds for every . Then the copula is –invariant and the identity holds for every measure of concordance . *
*Proof. * Consider and any satisfying for all . Then we have
[TABLE]
This yields , and repeating the argument yields . Therefore, the copula is –invariant.
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March 20, 2024
