Detecting planet pairs in mean motion resonances via astrometry method

TL;DR

This paper demonstrates that high-precision astrometry, like GAIA's, can effectively detect and characterize exoplanet pairs in mean motion resonances, with high accuracy especially for Jupiter pairs, aiding understanding of planetary system formation.

Contribution

It introduces a method to identify and reconstruct resonant planet pairs using astrometry, analyzing detection probabilities and effects of data cadence and system parameters.

Findings

High SNR (>10) enables over 80% reconstruction probability for resonant pairs.

Jupiter pairs are easier to detect than super-Earth pairs at similar SNR.

More uniform data sampling improves measurement accuracy.

Abstract

GAIA leads us to step into a new era with a high astrometry precision of 10 uas. Under such a precision, astrometry will play important roles in detecting and characterizing exoplanets. Specially, we can identify planet pairs in mean motion resonances(MMRs) via astrometry, which constrains the formation and evolution of planetary systems. In accordance with observations, we consider two Jupiters or two super-Earths systems in 1:2, 2:3 and 3:4 MMRs. Our simulations show the false alarm probabilities(FAPs) of a third planet are extremely small while the real two planets can be good fitted with signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)> 3. The probability of reconstructing a resonant system is related with the eccentricities and resonance intensity. Generally, when SNR >= 10, if eccentricities of both planets are larger than 0.01 and the resonance is quite strong, the probabilities to reconstruct the planet pair in MMRs >= 80%. Jupiter pairs in MMRs are reconstructed more easily than super-Earth pairs with similar SNR when we consider the dynamical stability. FAPs are also calculated when we detect planet pairs in or near MMRs. FAPs for 1:2 MMR are largest, i.e., FAPs > 15% when SNR <= 10. Extrapolating from the Kepler planet pairs near MMRs and assuming SNR to be 3, we will discover and reconstruct a few tens of Jupiter pairs and hundreds of super-Earth pairs in 2:3 and 1:2 MMRs within 30 pc. We also compare the differences between even and uneven data cadence and find that planets are better measured with more uniform phase coverage.