Paradoxes in Leaky Microbial Trade
Yoav Kallus, John H. Miller, Eric Libby

TL;DR
This paper models microbial communities where resource leakage and production decisions lead to complex, counter-intuitive dynamics, revealing paradoxes where improvements in efficiency or control can harm overall growth.
Contribution
It introduces a novel model capturing co-evolving metabolite dynamics, regulation, and population changes, uncovering three paradoxical behaviors in microbial trade economies.
Findings
More efficient producers can decrease in frequency.
Less inefficient producers can reduce population growth.
Selfish production optimization can lower overall growth.
Abstract
Microbes produce metabolic resources that are important for cell growth yet leak across membranes into the extracellular environment. Other microbes in the same environment can use these resources and adjust their own metabolic production accordingly---causing other resources to leak into the environment. The combined effect of these processes is an economy in which organismal growth and metabolic production are coupled to others in the community. We propose a model for the co-evolving dynamics of metabolite concentrations, production regulation, and population frequencies for the case of two cell types, each requiring and capable of producing two metabolites. In this model, beneficial trade relations emerge without any coordination, via individual-level production decisions that maximize each cell's growth rate given its perceived environment. As we vary production parameters of the…
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